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We study the identification of dynamic discrete choice models with sophisticated, quasi-hyperbolic time preferences under exclusion restrictions. We consider both standard finite horizon problems and empirically useful infinite horizon…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-11 Jaap H. Abbring , Øystein Daljord , Fedor Iskhakov

We study identification of dynamic discrete choice models with hyperbolic discounting. We show that the standard discount factor, present bias factor, and instantaneous utility functions for the sophisticated agent are point-identified from…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-01 Taiga Tsubota

This paper investigates how the discount factor and payoff functions can be identified in stationary infinite-horizon dynamic discrete choice models. In single-agent models, we show that common nonparametric assumptions on per-period…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-29 Yu Hao , Hiroyuki Kasahara , Katsumi Shimotsu

This paper uncovers tight bounds on the number of preferences permissible in identified random utility models. We show that as the number of alternatives in a discrete choice model becomes large, the fraction of preferences admissible in an…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-12-03 Christopher P. Chambers , Christopher Turansick

This paper derives a novel representation of the exponential discounting model that allows one to assess departures from the model via a measure of efficiency. The approach uses a revealed preference methodology that does not make any…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-29 Charles Gauthier

People often face trade-offs between costs and benefits occurring at various points in time. The predominant discounting approach is to use the exponential form. Central to this approach is the discount rate, a unique parameter that…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-08-13 Bach Dong-Xuan , Philippe Bich

We propose a robust method of discrete choice analysis when agents' choice sets are unobserved. Our core model assumes nothing about agents' choice sets apart from their minimum size. Importantly, it leaves unrestricted the dependence,…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-11 Levon Barseghyan , Maura Coughlin , Francesca Molinari , Joshua C. Teitelbaum

We characterize those ex-ante restrictions on the random utility model which lead to identification. We first identify a simple class of perturbations which transfer mass from a suitable pair of preferences to the pair formed by swapping…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-08-14 Peter P. Caradonna , Christopher Turansick

This paper is concerned with learning decision makers' preferences using data on observed choices from a finite set of risky alternatives. We propose a discrete choice model with unobserved heterogeneity in consideration sets and in…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-01-07 Levon Barseghyan , Francesca Molinari , Matthew Thirkettle

Under non-exponential discounting, we develop a dynamic theory for stopping problems in continuous time. Our framework covers discount functions that induce decreasing impatience. Due to the inherent time inconsistency, we look for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-13 Yu-Jui Huang , Adrien Nguyen-Huu

An important question in economics is how people choose between different payments in the future. The classical normative model predicts that a decision maker discounts a later payment relative to an earlier one by an exponential function…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-01-09 Alexander T. I. Adamou , Yonatan Berman , Diomides P. Mavroyiannis , Ole B. Peters

Discounting the influence of future events is a key paradigm in economics and it is widely used in computer-science models, such as games, Markov decision processes (MDPs), reinforcement learning, and automata. While a single game or MDP…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Udi Boker , Guy Hefetz

An agent acquires a costly flexible signal before making a decision. We explore to what degree knowledge of the agent's information costs helps predict her behavior. We establish an impossibility result: learning costs alone generate no…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-04-05 Elliot Lipnowski , Doron Ravid

This survey reviews recent developments in revealed preference theory. It discusses the testable implications of theories of choice that are germane to specific economic environments. The focus is on expected utility in risky environments;…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2019-12-04 Federico Echenique

In dynamic discrete choice models, some parameters, such as the discount factor, are being fixed instead of being estimated. This paper proposes two sensitivity analysis procedures for dynamic discrete choice models with respect to the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-30 Chun Pong Lau

The outcomes of elections, product sales, and the structure of social connections are all determined by the choices individuals make when presented with a set of options, so understanding the factors that contribute to choice is crucial. Of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-09 Kiran Tomlinson , Austin R. Benson

We characterize decreasing impatience, a common behavioral phenomenon in intertemporal choice. Discount factors that display decreasing impatience are characterized through a convexit y axiom for investments at fixed interest rates. Then we…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-08-08 Christopher P. Chambers , Federico Echenique , Alan D. Miller

We obtain a necessary and sufficient condition under which random-coefficient discrete choice models, such as mixed-logit models, are rich enough to approximate any nonparametric random utility models arbitrarily well across choice sets.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-12-12 Haoge Chang , Yusuke Narita , Kota Saito

This paper studies identification and estimation of a dynamic discrete choice model of demand for differentiated product using consumer-level panel data with few purchase events per consumer (i.e., short panel). Consumers are…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-19 Victor Aguirregabiria

A family of models of individual discrete choice are constructed by means of statistical averaging of choices made by a subject in a reinforcement learning process, where the subject has short, k-term memory span. The choice probabilities…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-20 Misha Perepelitsa
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