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Multiple testing problems arising in modern scientific applications can involve simultaneously testing thousands or even millions of hypotheses, with relatively few true signals. In this paper, we consider the multiple testing problem where…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-28 Ang Li , Rina Foygel Barber

The False Discovery Rate (FDR) is a new statistical procedure to control the number of mistakes made when performing multiple hypothesis tests, i.e. when comparing many data against a given model hypothesis. The key advantage of FDR is that…

Bayesian inference and the use of posterior or posterior predictive probabilities for decision making have become increasingly popular in clinical trials. The current practice in Bayesian clinical trials relies on a hybrid…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-30 Shirin Golchi , James Willard

The proposed approach extends the confidence posterior distribution to the semi-parametric empirical Bayes setting. Whereas the Bayesian posterior is defined in terms of a prior distribution conditional on the observed data, the confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-05-02 David R. Bickel

False discovery rate (FDR) is commonly used for correction for multiple testing in neuroimaging studies. However, when using two-tailed tests, making directional inferences about the results can lead to a vastly inflated error rate, even…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Anderson M. Winkler , Paul A. Taylor , Thomas E. Nichols , Chris Rorden

Practical employment of Bayesian trial designs is still rare. Even if accepted in principle, the regulators have commonly required that such designs be calibrated according to an upper bound for the frequentist type I error rate. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-25 Elja Arjas , Dario Gasbarra

Improved procedures, in terms of smaller missed discovery rates (MDR), for performing multiple hypotheses testing with weak and strong control of the family-wise error rate (FWER) or the false discovery rate (FDR) are developed and studied.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-10 Edsel A. Peña , Joshua D. Habiger , Wensong Wu

We propose an online false discovery rate (FDR) controlling method based on conditional local FDR (LIS), designed for infectious disease datasets that are discrete and exhibit complex dependencies. Unlike existing online FDR methods, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-23 Seohwa Hwang , Junyong Park

Prior information often takes the form of parameter constraints. Bayesian methods include such information through prior distributions having constrained support. By using posterior sampling algorithms, one can quantify uncertainty without…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-25 Leo L Duan , Alexander L Young , Akihiko Nishimura , David B Dunson

The ratio of Bayesian evidences is a popular tool in cosmology to compare different models. There are however several issues with this method: Bayes' ratio depends on the prior even in the limit of non-informative priors, and Jeffrey's…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-12-16 Luca Amendola , Vrund Patel , Ziad Sakr , Elena Sellentin , Kevin Wolz

Phase III randomized clinical trials play a monumentally critical role in the evaluation of new medical products. Because of the intrinsic nature of uncertainty embedded in our capability in assessing the efficacy of a medical product,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-25 Changyu Shen , Xiaochun Li

We propose the use of a new false discovery rate (FDR) controlling procedure as a model selection penalized method, and compare its performance to that of other penalized methods over a wide range of realistic settings: nonorthogonal design…

Applications · Statistics 2009-05-19 Yoav Benjamini , Yulia Gavrilov

In many practical applications of multiple hypothesis testing using the False Discovery Rate (FDR), the given hypotheses can be naturally partitioned into groups, and one may not only want to control the number of false discoveries (wrongly…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-01 Rina Foygel Barber , Aaditya Ramdas

We consider controlling the false discovery rate for testing many time series with an unknown cross-sectional correlation structure. Given a large number of hypotheses, false and missing discoveries can plague an analysis. While many…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-10 Junpei Komiyama , Masaya Abe , Kei Nakagawa , Kenichiro McAlinn

This paper studies the distributed conditional feature screening for massive data with ultrahigh-dimensional features. Specifically, three distributed partial correlation feature screening methods (SAPS, ACPS and JDPS methods) are firstly…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 Naiwen Pang , Xiaochao Xia

Complex large-scale studies, such as those related to microarray data and fMRI studies, often involve testing multiple hierarchically ordered hypotheses. However, most existing false discovery rate (FDR) controlling procedures do not…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-15 Gavin Lynch , Wenge Guo

One important partition of algorithms for controlling the false discovery rate (FDR) in multiple testing is into offline and online algorithms. The first generally achieve significantly higher power of discovery, while the latter allow…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-05 Tijana Zrnic , Daniel L. Jiang , Aaditya Ramdas , Michael I. Jordan

Bayesian inference is often implemented using approximations, which can yield interval estimates that are too narrow, not fully capturing the uncertainty in the posterior distribution. We address the question of how to adjust these…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-23 Tiffany Cai , Philip Greengard , Ben Goodrich , Andrew Gelman

While data-driven confounder selection requires careful consideration, it is frequently employed in observational studies. Widely recognized criteria for confounder selection include the minimal-set approach, which involves selecting…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-21 Kazuharu Harada , Masataka Taguri

Bayesian doubly robust (DR) causal inference faces a fundamental dilemma: joint modeling of outcome and propensity score suffers from the feedback problem where outcome information contaminates propensity score estimation, while two-step…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-05 Shunichiro Orihara , Tomotaka Momozaki , Shonosuke Sugasawa