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In this paper, we propose an efficient importance sampling algorithm for rare event simulation under copula models. In the algorithm, the derived optimal probability measure is based on the criterion of minimizing the variance of the…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-07 Siang Cheng , Cheng-Der Fuh , Tianxiao Pang

Despite the fact that copulas are commonly considered as analytically smooth/regular objects, derivatives of copulas have to be handled with care. Triggered by a recently published result characterizing multivariate copulas via…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-13 Nicolas Dietrich , Wolfgang Trutschnig

Dependence strucuture estimation is one of the important problems in machine learning domain and has many applications in different scientific areas. In this paper, a theoretical framework for such estimation based on copula and copula…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-11 Jian Ma , Zengqi Sun

We introduce novel information-theoretic measures termed the multivariate cumulative copula fractional inaccuracy measure and the multivariate survival copula fractional inaccuracy measure, constructed respectively from multivariate copulas…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Aman Pandey , Chanchal Kundu

The CMB power spectra are studied for different families of single field new and chaotic inflation models in the effective field theory approach to inflation. We implement a systematic expansion in 1/N_e where N_e ~ 50 is the number of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 D. Boyanovsky , H. J. de Vega , C. M. Ho , N. G. Sanchez

Let $\mathcal{C}$ denote the family of all coherent distributions on the unit square $[0,1]^2$, i.e. all those probability measures $\mu$ for which there exists a random vector $(X,Y)\sim \mu$, a pair $(\mathcal{G},\mathcal{H})$ of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-17 Stanisław Cichomski , Adam Osękowski

This paper addresses the problem of quickest detection of a change in the maximal coherence between columns of a $n\times p$ random matrix based on a sequence of matrix observations having a single unknown change point. The random matrix is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-01 Taposh Banerjee , Hamed Firouzi , Alfred O. Hero

In this paper, we study a semiparametric family of bivariate copulas. The family is generated by an univariate function, determining the symmetry (radial symmetry, joint symmetry) and dependence property (quadrant dependence, total…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-31 Cécile Amblard , Stéphane Girard

We model the elasticity of the cerebral cortex as a layered material with bending energy along the layers and elastic energy between them in both planar and polar geometries. The cortex is also subjected to axons pulling from the underlying…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-02-09 O. V. Manyuhina , David Mayett , J. M. Schwarz

Costas arrays have been an interesting combinatorial object for decades because of their optimal aperiodic auto-correlation properties. Meanwhile, it is interesting to find families of Costas arrays or extended arrays with small maximal…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Runfeng Liu , Qi Wang

This note proves an upper bound for the fluctuations of a second-class particle in the totally asymmetric simple exclusion process. The proof needs a lower tail estimate for the last-passage growth model associated with the exclusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Timo Seppalainen

This paper proposes different methods to consistently detect multiple breaks in copula-based dependence measures, mainly focusing on Spearman's $\rho$. The leading model is a factor copula model due to its usefulness for analyzing data in…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-13 Marvin Borsch , Alexander Mayer , Dominik Wied

In multivariate analysis, uncertainty arises from two sources: the marginal distributions of the variables and their dependence structure. Quantifying the dependence structure is crucial, as it provides valuable insights into the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-19 Swaroop Georgy Zachariah , Mohd. Arshad , Ashok Kumar Pathak

Fully describing the entire data set is essential in multivariate risk assessment, since moderate levels of one variable can influence another, potentially leading it to be extreme. Additionally, modelling both non-extreme and extreme…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-11 Lídia M. André , Jonathan A. Tawn

The study of dependence between random variables is the core of theoretical and applied statistics. Static and dynamic copula models are useful for describing the dependence structure, which is fully encrypted in the copula probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-20 Dominque Guégan , Matteo Iacopini

Based on a multisector general equilibrium framework, we show that the sectoral elasticity of substitution plays the key role in the evolution of asymmetric tails of macroeconomic fluctuations and the establishment of robustness against…

General Economics · Economics 2024-12-31 Satoshi Nakano , Kazuhiko Nishimura

Using one of the key property of copulas that they remain invariant under an arbitrary monotonous change of variable, we investigate the null hypothesis that the dependence between financial assets can be modeled by the Gaussian copula. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Y. Malevergne , D. Sornette

We introduce a novel model for time-varying, asymmetric, tail-dependent copulas in high dimensions that incorporates both spectral dynamics and regularization. The dynamics of the dependence matrix' eigenvalues are modeled in a score-driven…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Koos B. Gubbels , Andre Lucas

We propose a new class of extreme-value copulas which are extreme-value limits of conditional normal models. Conditional normal models are generalizations of conditional independence models, where the dependence among observed variables is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-16 Pavel Krupskii , Marc G. Genton

Uncertain information on input parameters of reliability models is usually modeled by considering these parameters as random, and described by marginal distributions and a dependence structure of these variables. In numerous real-world…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-30 Nazih Benoumechiara , Bertrand Michel , Philippe Saint-Pierre , Nicolas Bousquet