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Related papers: Switching Cost Models as Hypothesis Tests

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A new model for controlled sensing for multihypothesis testing is proposed and studied in the sequential setting. This new model, termed {\em controlled Markovian observation} model, exhibits a more complicated memory structure in the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-07-01 Sirin Nitinawarat , Venupogal V. Veeravalli

Suppose you are told that taking a statin will reduce your risk of a heart attack or stroke by 3% in the next ten years, or that women have better emotional intelligence than men. You may wonder how accurate the 3% is, or how confident we…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-03-19 Michael Wood

Model selection in supervised learning provides costless guarantees as if the model that best balances bias and variance was known a priori. We study the feasibility of similar guarantees for cumulative regret minimization in the stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Sanath Kumar Krishnamurthy , Adrienne Margaret Propp , Susan Athey

This paper aims to develop an effective model-free inference procedure for high-dimensional data. We first reformulate the hypothesis testing problem via sufficient dimension reduction framework. With the aid of new reformulation, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-17 Xu Guo , Runze Li , Zhe Zhang , Changliang Zou

A general framework is given to analyze the falsifiability of economic models based on a sample of their observable components. It is shown that, when the restrictions implied by the economic theory are insufficient to identify the unknown…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-25 Ivar Ekeland , Alfred Galichon , Marc Henry

Inference after model selection has been an active research topic in the past few years, with numerous works offering different approaches to addressing the perils of the reuse of data. In particular, major progress has been made recently…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-02 Snigdha Panigrahi , Jonathan Taylor , Asaf Weinstein

We consider the problem of distributed binary hypothesis testing of two sequences that are generated by an i.i.d. doubly-binary symmetric source. Each sequence is observed by a different terminal. The two hypotheses correspond to different…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-01-03 Eli Haim , Yuval Kochman

Bayesian model comparison is often based on the posterior distribution over the set of compared models. This distribution is often observed to concentrate on a single model even when other measures of model fit or forecasting ability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Oscar Oelrich , Shutong Ding , Måns Magnusson , Aki Vehtari , Mattias Villani

We consider the problem of contextual multi-armed bandits in the setting of hypothesis transfer learning. That is, we assume having access to a previously learned model on an unobserved set of contexts, and we leverage it in order to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Steven Bilaj , Sofien Dhouib , Setareh Maghsudi

In observational causal inference, in order to emulate a randomized experiment, weights are used to render treatments independent of observed covariates. This property is known as balance; in its absence, estimated causal effects may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-16 David Arbour , Drew Dimmery , Arjun Sondhi

When constructing a model to estimate the causal effect of a treatment, it is necessary to control for other factors which may have confounding effects. Because the ignorability assumption is not testable, however, it is usually unclear…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Spencer Woody , Carlos M. Carvalho , Jared S. Murray

The problem of existence of adaptive confidence bands for an unknown density $f$ that belongs to a nested scale of H\"{o}lder classes over $\mathbb{R}$ or $[0,1]$ is considered. Whereas honest adaptive inference in this problem is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-24 Marc Hoffmann , Richard Nickl

A family of variable stage size multistage tests of simple hypotheses is described, based on efficient multistage sampling procedures. Using a loss function that is a linear combination of sampling costs and error probabilities, these tests…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Jay Bartroff

Belief functions are a powerful and popular framework for the mathematical characterisation of uncertainty, in particular in situations in which lack of data renders learning a probability distribution for the problem impractical. The first…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-11 Fabio Cuzzolin

Statistical hypothesis testing is the central method to demarcate scientific theories in both exploratory and inferential analyses. However, whether this method befits such purpose remains a matter of debate. Established approaches to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-10-29 Orestis Loukas , Ho-Ryun Chung

Measurement uncertainty relations are lower bounds on the errors of any approximate joint measurement of two or more quantum observables. The aim of this paper is to provide methods to compute optimal bounds of this type. The basic method…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-06-08 René Schwonnek , David Reeb , Reinhard F. Werner

Model-free knockoffs is a recently proposed technique for identifying covariates that is likely to have an effect on a response variable. The method is an efficient method to control the false discovery rate in hypothesis tests for separate…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-29 Lars Holden , Kristoffer Hellton

We consider the problem of efficient statistical inference for comparing two regression curves estimated from two samples of dependent measurements. Based on a representation of the best pair of linear unbiased estimators in continuous time…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-29 Holger Dette , Kirsten Schorning , Maria Konstantinou

In this paper we suggest two statistical hypothesis tests for the regression function of binary classification based on conditional kernel mean embeddings. The regression function is a fundamental object in classification as it determines…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-22 Ambrus Tamás , Balázs Csanád Csáji

This note points out how confidence interval estimates for standard deviation transform into confidence interval estimates for the power of F-tests at fixed alternative means. An application is shown for the test of a two-sided hypothesis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-13 Ali Akbar Jafari , Abdollreza Bazargan-Lari , Mingfei