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Related papers: On the Continuous Limit of Weak GARCH

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We construct fractionally integrated continuous-time GARCH models, which capture the observed long range dependence of squared volatility in high-frequency data. Since the usual Molchan-Golosov and Mandelbrot-van-Ness fractional kernels…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-01 Stephan Haug , Claudia Klüppelberg , German Straub

This article extends weak convergence bounds of Markov transition kernels to convergence bounds on the variance of the Markov kernel applied to Lipschitz functions. In the reversible case, weak convergence rates of the transition kernels…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-29 Austin Brown

We develop two new estimators for a general class of stationary GARCH models with possibly heavy tailed asymmetrically distributed errors, covering processes with symmetric and asymmetric feedback like GARCH, Asymmetric GARCH, VGARCH and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-29 Jonathan B. Hill

We expand our effective framework for weak convergence of measures on the real line by showing that effective convergence in the Prokhorov metric is equivalent to effective weak convergence. In addition, we establish a framework for the…

Logic · Mathematics 2021-11-05 Diego A. Rojas

We perform the Bayesian inference of a GARCH model by the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm with an adaptive proposal density. The adaptive proposal density is assumed to be the Student's t-distribution and the distribution parameters are…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-12-30 Tetsuya Takaishi

The majority of machine learning methods can be regarded as the minimization of an unavailable risk function. To optimize the latter, given samples provided in a streaming fashion, we define a general stochastic Newton algorithm and its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-30 Claire Boyer , Antoine Godichon-Baggioni

We assign a measure to an upper semicontinuous function which is subharmonic with respect to the mean curvature operator, so that it agrees with the mean curvature of its graph when the function is smooth. We prove that the measure is…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2009-12-03 Qiuyi Dai , Neil Trudinger , Xujia Wang

We propose different schemes for option hedging when asset returns are modeled using a general class of GARCH models. More specifically, we implement local risk minimization and a minimum variance hedge approximation based on an extended…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-06 Alexandru Badescu , Robert J. Elliott , Juan-Pablo Ortega

We investigate the existence of weak solutions to a certain system of partial differential equations, modelling the behaviour of a compressible non-Newtonian fluid for small Reynolds number. We construct the weak solutions despite the lack…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-05-24 Milan Pokorný , Maja Szlenk

We identify the fluctuations of the partition function of the continuous random energy model on a Galton-Watson tree in the so-called weak correlation regime. Namely, when the ``speed functions'', that describe the time-inhomogeneous…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-10 Maximilian Fels , Lisa Hartung , Anton Klimovsky

We consider a variational problem modeling transition between flat and wrinkled region in a thin elastic sheet, and identify the $\Gamma$-limit as the sheet thickness goes to 0, thus extending the previous work of the first author [Bella,…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-12-12 Peter Bella , Roberta Marziani

A family of continuous-time generalized autoregressive conditionally heteroscedastic processes, generalizing the $\operatorname {COGARCH}(1,1)$ process of Kl\"{u}ppelberg, Lindner and Maller [J. Appl. Probab. 41 (2004) 601--622], is…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter Brockwell , Erdenebaatar Chadraa , Alexander Lindner

In this paper we introduce a generalization of classical risk measures in which the risk is represented by a step function taking two values, corresponding to two endogenously determined market regimes. This extends the traditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Mihaela-Adriana Nistor , Ionel Popescu

This paper develops a theory of propagation of chaos for a system of weakly interacting particles whose terminal configuration is fixed as opposed to the initial configuration as customary. Such systems are modeled by backward stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Mathieu Laurière , Ludovic Tangpi

We consider a nonparametric version of the integer-valued GARCH(1,1) model for time series of counts. The link function in the recursion for the variances is not specified by finite-dimensional parameters, but we impose nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-01 Maximilian Wechsung , Michael H. Neumann

We establish the incompressible limit of weakly asymmetric simple exclusion processes coupled through particle collisions. The incompressible limit depends on various parameters in the particle system and is linked to fluid dynamics…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-13 Patrick van Meurs , Kenkichi Tsunoda , Lu Xu

This study addresses the computational challenges of forecasting volatility in high-dimensional commodity markets. Building on the Network log-ARCH framework, we introduce a novel class of network topologies from GARCH-informed correlation…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-23 Fayçal Djebari , Kahina Mehidi , Khelifa Mazouz , Philipp Otto

The present article deals with the averaging principle for a two-time-scale system of jump-diffusion stochastic differential equation. Under suitable conditions, the weak error is expanded in powers of timescale parameter. It is proved that…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-01 Bengong Zhang , Hongbo Fu , Li Wan , Jicheng Liu

The theory of regular model sets is highly developed, but does not cover examples such as the visible lattice points, the k-th power-free integers, or related systems. They belong to the class of weak model sets, where the window may have a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-11-29 Michael Baake , Christian Huck , Nicolae Strungaru

The mean field limit of large-population symmetric stochastic differential games is derived in a general setting, with and without common noise, on a finite time horizon. Minimal assumptions are imposed on equilibrium strategies, which may…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-13 Daniel Lacker