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We introduce a class of Bayesian matrix dynamic factor models that accommodates time-varying volatility, outliers, and cross-sectional correlation in the idiosyncratic components. For model comparison, we employ an importance-sampling…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-11 Wei Zhang

We study the estimation of high-dimensional covariance matrices under elliptical factor models with 2 + {\epsilon}th moment. For such heavy-tailed data, robust estimators like the Huber-type estimator in Fan, Liu and Wang (2018) can not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-27 Yi Ding , Xinghua Zheng

We present four novel tests of equal predictive accuracy and encompassing \`a la Pitarakis (2023, 2025) for factor-augmented regressions, where factors are estimated using cross-section averages (CAs) of grouped series. Our inferential…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-17 Alessandro Morico , Ovidijus Stauskas

Multivariate elliptically-contoured distributions are widely used for modeling correlated and non-Gaussian data. In this work, we study the kurtosis of the elliptical model, which is an important parameter in many statistical analysis.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-23 Bowen Zhou , Peirong Xu , Cheng Wang

In this article, we study large-dimensional matrix factor models and estimate the factor loading matrices and factor score matrix by minimizing square loss function. Interestingly, the resultant estimators coincide with the Projected…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-22 Yong He , Xinbing Kong , Long Yu , Xinsheng Zhang , Changwei Zhao

Electric Network Frequency (ENF) fluctuations constitute a powerful tool in multimedia forensics. An efficient approach for ENF estimation is introduced with temporal windowing based on the filter-bank Capon spectral estimator. A type of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-17 Georgios Karantaidis , Constantine Kotropoulos

Functional principal component analysis is essential in functional data analysis, but the inferences will become unconvincing when some non-Gaussian characteristics occur, such as heavy tail and skewness. The focus of this paper is to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-02 Rou Zhong , Shishi Liu , Jingxiao Zhang , Haocheng Li

Estimates of the approximate factor model are increasingly used in empirical work. Their theoretical properties, studied some twenty years ago, also laid the ground work for analysis on large dimensional panel data models with cross-section…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-08-04 Jushan Bai , Serena Ng

Correlation matrices play a key role in many multivariate methods (e.g., graphical model estimation and factor analysis). The current state-of-the-art in estimating large correlation matrices focuses on the use of Pearson's sample…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-29 Fang Han , Han Liu

Factor analysis, a classical multivariate statistical technique is popularly used as a fundamental tool for dimensionality reduction in statistics, econometrics and data science. Estimation is often carried out via the Maximum Likelihood…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-19 Koulik Khamaru , Rahul Mazumder

In a very high-dimensional vector space, two randomly-chosen vectors are almost orthogonal with high probability. Starting from this observation, we develop a statistical factor model, the random factor model, in which factors are chosen at…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-27 Antti J. Tanskanen , Jani Lukkarinen , Kari Vatanen

This paper studies estimation of linear panel regression models with heterogeneous coefficients, when both the regressors and the residual contain a possibly common, latent, factor structure. Our theory is (nearly) efficient, because based…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-03-01 Marco Avarucci , Paolo Zaffaroni

In this paper, we propose an easy-to-implement residual-based specification testing procedure for detecting structural changes in factor models, which is powerful against both smooth and abrupt structural changes with unknown break dates.…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-22 Bin Peng , Liangjun Su , Yayi Yan

This article considers to model large-dimensional matrix time series by introducing a regression term to the matrix factor model. This is an extension of classic matrix factor model to incorporate the information of known factors or useful…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-26 Yongchang Hui , Yuteng Zhang , Siting Huang

Most factor modelling research in vector or matrix-valued time series assume all factors are pervasive/strong and leave weaker factors and their corresponding series to the noise. Weaker factors can in fact be important to a group of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-14 Weilin Chen , Clifford Lam

We propose an efficient algorithmic framework for time domain circuit simulation using exponential integrator. This work addresses several critical issues exposed by previous matrix exponential based circuit simulation research, and makes…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Hao Zhuang , Wenjian Yu , Ilgweon Kang , Xinan Wang , Chung-Kuan Cheng

Regression with a spherical response is challenging due to the absence of linear structure, making standard regression models inadequate. Existing methods, mainly parametric, lack the flexibility to capture the complex relationship induced…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Houren Hong , Janice L. Scealy , Andrew T. A. Wood , Yanrong Yang

A fundamental problem in statistics is estimating the shape matrix of an Elliptical distribution. This generalizes the familiar problem of Gaussian covariance estimation, for which the sample covariance achieves optimal estimation error.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-16 Lap Chi Lau , Akshay Ramachandran

This paper proposes a new robust smooth-threshold estimating equation to select important variables and automatically estimate parameters for high dimensional longitudinal data. A novel working correlation matrix is proposed to capture…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-30 Liya Fu , Jiaqi Li , You-Gan Wang

This paper addresses the problem of providing robust estimators under a functional logistic regression model. Logistic regression is a popular tool in classification problems with two populations. As in functional linear regression,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-16 Graciela Boente , Marina Valdora