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On many social networking web sites such as Facebook and Twitter, resharing or reposting functionality allows users to share others' content with their own friends or followers. As content is reshared from user to user, large cascades of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-03-20 Justin Cheng , Lada A. Adamic , P. Alex Dow , Jon Kleinberg , Jure Leskovec

Popularity of content in social media is unequally distributed, with some items receiving a disproportionate share of attention from users. Predicting which newly-submitted items will become popular is critically important for both…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2010-04-30 Kristina Lerman , Tad Hogg

It is well-known that online behavior is long-tailed, with most cascaded actions being short and a few being very long. A prominent drawback in generative models for online events is the inability to describe unpopular items well. This work…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-08-18 Quyu Kong , Marian-Andrei Rizoiu , Lexing Xie

Information spreading social media platforms has become ubiquitous in our lives due to viral information propagation regardless of its veracity. Some information cascades turn out to be viral since they circulated rapidly on the Internet.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-08-31 Ece Çiğdem Mutlu , Amirarsalan Rajabi , Ivan Garibay

We study learning on social media with an equilibrium model of users interacting with shared news stories. Rational users arrive sequentially, observe an original story (i.e., a private signal) and a sample of predecessors' stories in a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-10 Krishna Dasaratha , Kevin He

It's by now folklore that to understand the activity pattern of a user in an online social network (OSN) platform, one needs to look at his friends or the ones he follows. The common perception is that these friends exert influence on the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Michael Sidorov , Dan Vilenchik

Bayesian Persuasion is proposed as a tool for social media platforms to combat the spread of misinformation. Since platforms can use machine learning to predict the popularity and misinformation features of to-be-shared posts, and users are…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-02-15 Safwan Hossain , Andjela Mladenovic , Yiling Chen , Gauthier Gidel

Predicting popularity, or the total volume of information outbreaks, is an important subproblem for understanding collective behavior in networks. Each of the two main types of recent approaches to the problem, feature-driven and generative…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-08-31 Swapnil Mishra , Marian-Andrei Rizoiu , Lexing Xie

Information spread in social media depends on a number of factors, including how the site displays information, how users navigate it to find items of interest, users' tastes, and the `virality' of information, i.e., its propensity to be…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-02-03 Jeon-Hyung Kang , Kristina Lermam

Cascades of information-sharing are a primary mechanism by which content reaches its audience on social media, and an active line of research has studied how such cascades, which form as content is reshared from person to person, develop…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-02-04 Justin Cheng , Lada A Adamic , Jon Kleinberg , Jure Leskovec

The study of how science is discussed and how scholarly actors interact on social media has increasingly become popular in the field of scientometrics in recent years. While most prior studies focused on research outputs discussed on global…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2022-04-07 Ting Cong , Zhichao Fang , Rodrigo Costas

It is part of our daily social-media experience that seemingly ordinary items (videos, news, publications, etc.) unexpectedly gain an enormous amount of attention. Here we investigate how unexpected these events are. We propose a method…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-12-09 José M. Miotto , Eduardo G. Altmann

Predicting popularity of social media videos before they are published is a challenging task, mainly due to the complexity of content distribution network as well as the number of factors that play part in this process. As solving this task…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-04-27 Adam Bielski , Tomasz Trzcinski

Information cascade popularity prediction is a key problem in analyzing content diffusion in social networks. However, current related works suffer from three critical limitations: (1) temporal leakage in current evaluation--random…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Jie Peng , Rui Wang , Qiang Wang , Zhewei Wei , Bin Tong , Guan Wang , Bo Zheng

Information cascades, effectively facilitated by most social network platforms, are recognized as a major factor in almost every social success and disaster in these networks. Can cascades be predicted? While many believe that they are…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Cheng Li , Jiaqi Ma , Xiaoxiao Guo , Qiaozhu Mei

Information cascades are ubiquitous in various social networking web sites. What mechanisms drive information diffuse in the networks? How does the structure and size of the cascades evolve in time? When and which users will adopt a certain…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-12-29 Tao Wu , Leiting Chen , Xingping Xian , Yuxiao Guo

WeChat is a mobile messaging application that has 549 million active users as of Q1 2015, and "WeChat Moments" (WM) serves its social-networking function that allows users to post/share links of web pages. WM differs from the other social…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Zhuqi Li , Lin Chen , Yichong Bai , Kaigui Bian , Pan Zhou

Cascades on online networks have been a popular subject of study in the past decade, and there is a considerable literature on phenomena such as diffusion mechanisms, virality, cascade prediction, and peer network effects. However, a basic…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-03-28 Rahmtin Rotabi , Krishna Kamath , Jon Kleinberg , Aneesh Sharma

Social media comprises interactive applications and platforms for creating, sharing and exchange of user-generated contents. The past ten years have brought huge growth in social media, especially online social networking services, and it…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-03-09 Sheng Yu , Subhash Kak

Can we predict the future popularity of a song, movie or tweet? Recent work suggests that although it may be hard to predict an item's popularity when it is first introduced, peeking into its early adopters and properties of their social…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-04-01 Benjamin Shulman , Amit Sharma , Dan Cosley