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We propose an informal test for stationarity in a time series which checks for the compatibility of nonlinear approximations to the dynamics made in different segments of the sequence. The segments are compared directly, rather than via…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Thomas Schreiber

The emergent dynamics of complex systems often arise from the internal dynamical interactions among different elements and hence is to be modeled using multiple variables that represent the different dynamical processes. When such systems…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-11-05 Shivam Kumar , R. Misra , G. Ambika

Many, if not most, systems of interest in science are naturally described as nonlinear dynamical systems. Empirically, we commonly access these systems through time series measurements. Often such time series may consist of discrete random…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Manuel Brenner , Florian Hess , Georgia Koppe , Daniel Durstewitz

Data-driven modeling is useful for reconstructing nonlinear dynamical systems when the underlying process is unknown or too expensive to compute. Having reliable uncertainty assessment of the forecast enables tools to be deployed to predict…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-01 Mengyang Gu , Yizi Lin , Victor Chang Lee , Diana Qiu

Many engineered as well as naturally occurring dynamical systems do not have an accurate mathematical model to describe their dynamic behavior. However, in many applications, it is possible to probe the system with external inputs and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-24 Vignesh Narayanan , Wei Miao , Jr-Shin Li

Observability is a fundamental structural property of any dynamic system and describes the possibility of reconstructing the state that characterizes the system from observing its inputs and outputs. Despite the huge effort made to study…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-31 Agostino Martinelli

We consider the task of learning a dynamical system from high-dimensional time-course data. For instance, we might wish to estimate a gene regulatory network from gene expression data measured at discrete time points. We model the dynamical…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-12 Shizhe Chen , Ali Shojaie , Daniela M. Witten

Reconstructing the states of the nodes of a dynamical network is a problem of fundamental importance in the study of neuronal and genetic networks. An underlying related problem is that of observability, i.e., identifying the conditions…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2017-03-31 Afroza Shirin , Dionicio F. Rios , Francesco Sorrentino

A central challenge in neuroscience is understanding how neural system implements computation through its dynamics. We propose a nonlinear time series model aimed at characterizing interpretable dynamics from neural trajectories. Our model…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-28 Yuan Zhao , Il Memming Park

Predicting the response of nonlinear dynamical systems subject to random, broadband excitation is important across a range of scientific disciplines, such as structural dynamics and neuroscience. Building data-driven models requires…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-27 Joseph Massingham , Ole Nielsen , Tore Butlin

The identification of a linear system model from data has wide applications in control theory. The existing work that provides finite sample guarantees for linear system identification typically uses data from a single long system…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-09 Lei Xin , Baike She , Qi Dou , George Chiu , Shreyas Sundaram

Empirical modelling often aims for the simplest model consistent with the data. A new technique is presented which quantifies the consistency of the model dynamics as a function of location in state space. As is well-known, traditional…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 Patrick E. McSharry , Leonard A. Smith

We consider the problem of learning a realization of a partially observed dynamical system with linear state transitions and bilinear observations. Under very mild assumptions on the process and measurement noises, we provide a finite time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-26 Yahya Sattar , Yassir Jedra , Sarah Dean

In this work we propose an objective function to guide the search for a state space reconstruction of a dynamical system from a time series of measurements. This statistics can be evaluated on any reconstructed attractor, thereby allowing a…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2012-05-16 L. C. Uzal , G. L. Grinblat , P. F. Verdes

We introduce the problem of reconstructing a sequence of multidimensional real vectors where some of the data are missing. This problem contains regression and mapping inversion as particular cases where the pattern of missing data is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-09-16 Miguel Á. Carreira-Perpiñán

We propose an approach for learning the causal structure in stochastic dynamical systems with a $1$-step functional dependency in the presence of latent variables. We propose an information-theoretic approach that allows us to recover the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-01-25 Saber Salehkaleybar , Jalal Etesami , Negar Kiyavash

This paper addresses the problem of resilient state estimation and attack reconstruction for bounded-error nonlinear discrete-time systems with nonlinear observations/ constraints, where both sensors and actuators can be compromised by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-26 Mohammad Khajenejad , Zeyuan Jin , Thach Ngoc Dinh , Sze Zheng Yong

Performing multiple experiments is common when learning internal mechanisms of complex systems. These experiments can include perturbations to parameters or external disturbances. A challenging problem is to efficiently incorporate all…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Zuogong Yue , Johan Thunberg , Wei Pan , Lennart Ljung , Jorge Goncalves

We consider the problem of learning the dynamics of autonomous linear systems (i.e., systems that are not affected by external control inputs) from observations of multiple trajectories of those systems, with finite sample guarantees.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-27 Lei Xin , George Chiu , Shreyas Sundaram

Nonlinear dynamical systems are ubiquitous in nature and they are hard to forecast. Not only they may be sensitive to small perturbations in their initial conditions, but they are often composed of processes acting at multiple scales.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-10-06 Chenyu Dong , Davide Faranda , Adriano Gualandi , Valerio Lucarini , Gianmarco Mengaldo