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This study aims to improve the spatial representation of uncertainties when regressing surface wind speeds from large-scale atmospheric predictors for sub-seasonal forecasting. Sub-seasonal forecasting often relies on large-scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Ganglin Tian , Anastase Alexandre Charantonis , Camille Le Coz , Alexis Tantet , Riwal Plougonven

This article concerns the predictive modeling for spatio-temporal data as well as model interpretation using data information in space and time. We develop a novel approach based on supervised dimension reduction for such data in order to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-09 Heng-Hui Lue , ShengLi Tzeng

Deep learning is gaining increasing popularity for spatiotemporal forecasting. However, prior works have mostly focused on point estimates without quantifying the uncertainty of the predictions. In high stakes domains, being able to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Dongxia Wu , Liyao Gao , Xinyue Xiong , Matteo Chinazzi , Alessandro Vespignani , Yi-An Ma , Rose Yu

Ensemble of regression trees have become popular statistical tools for the estimation of conditional mean given a set of predictors. However, quantile regression trees and their ensembles have not yet garnered much attention despite the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-12 Bereket P. Kindo , Hao Wang , Timothy Hanson , Edsel A. Peña

We consider deep multivariate models for heterogeneous collections of random variables. In the context of computer vision, such collections may e.g. consist of images, segmentations, image attributes, and latent variables. When developing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Dmitrij Schlesinger , Boris Flach , Alexander Shekhovtsov

Linear quantile regression models aim at providing a detailed and robust picture of the (conditional) response distribution as function of a set of observed covariates. Longitudinal data represent an interesting field of application of such…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-30 Maria Francesca Marino , Nikos Tzavidis , Marco Alfo'

Sequential deep learning models such as RNN, causal CNN and attention mechanism do not readily consume continuous-time information. Discretizing the temporal data, as we show, causes inconsistency even for simple continuous-time processes.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Da Xu , Chuanwei Ruan , Evren Korpeoglu , Sushant Kumar , Kannan Achan

Quantile regression has demonstrated promising utility in longitudinal data analysis. Existing work is primarily focused on modeling cross-sectional outcomes, while outcome trajectories often carry more substantive information in practice.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-19 Huijuan Ma , Limin Peng , Haoda Fu

Linear time-invariant systems are very popular models in system theory and applications. A fundamental problem in system identification that remains rather unaddressed in extant literature is to leverage commonalities amongst related linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-03 Aditya Modi , Mohamad Kazem Shirani Faradonbeh , Ambuj Tewari , George Michailidis

Spatio-temporal prediction of levels of an environmental exposure is an important problem in environmental epidemiology. Our work is motivated by multiple studies on the spatio-temporal distribution of mobile source, or traffic related,…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-14 Nikolay Bliznyuk , Christopher J. Paciorek , Joel Schwartz , Brent Coull

To tackle ever-increasing city traffic congestion problems, researchers have proposed deep learning models to aid decision-makers in the traffic control domain. Although the proposed models have been remarkably improved in recent years,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-10 Hyunwook Lee , Cheonbok Park , Seungmin Jin , Hyeshin Chu , Jaegul Choo , Sungahn Ko

Due to their flexibility and predictive performance, machine-learning based regression methods have become an important tool for predictive modeling and forecasting. However, most methods focus on estimating the conditional mean or specific…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-15 Rui Li , Howard D. Bondell , Brian J. Reich

Spatial-temporal prediction is a fundamental problem for constructing smart city, which is useful for tasks such as traffic control, taxi dispatching, and environmental policy making. Due to data collection mechanism, it is common to see…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Huaxiu Yao , Yiding Liu , Ying Wei , Xianfeng Tang , Zhenhui Li

Explosive growth in spatio-temporal data and its wide range of applications have attracted increasing interests of researchers in the statistical and machine learning fields. The spatio-temporal regression problem is of paramount importance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Aniruddha Rajendra Rao , Qiyao Wang , Haiyan Wang , Hamed Khorasgani , Chetan Gupta

Multivariate categorical data occur in many applications of machine learning. One of the main difficulties with these vectors of categorical variables is sparsity. The number of possible observations grows exponentially with vector length,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-10 Yarin Gal , Yutian Chen , Zoubin Ghahramani

Long-term traffic prediction has always been a challenging task due to its dynamic temporal dependencies and complex spatial dependencies. In this paper, we propose a model that combines hybrid Transformer and spatio-temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-31 Wang Zhu , Doudou Zhang , Baichao Long , Jianli Xiao

Large volumes of spatio-temporal data are increasingly collected and studied in diverse domains including, climate science, social sciences, neuroscience, epidemiology, transportation, mobile health, and Earth sciences. Spatio-temporal data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-20 Gowtham Atluri , Anuj Karpatne , Vipin Kumar

We address the problem of unsupervised semantic segmentation of outdoor LiDAR point clouds in diverse traffic scenarios. The key idea is to leverage the spatiotemporal nature of a dynamic point cloud sequence and introduce drastically…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-25 Xiao Li , Pan He , Aotian Wu , Sanjay Ranka , Anand Rangarajan

Shared mobility services require accurate demand models for effective service planning. On the one hand, modeling the full probability distribution of demand is advantageous because the entire uncertainty structure preserves valuable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Frederik Boe Hüttel , Inon Peled , Filipe Rodrigues , Francisco C. Pereira

Multivariate time series modeling and prediction problems are abundant in many machine learning application domains. Accurate interpretation of such prediction outcomes from a machine learning model that explicitly captures temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Tryambak Gangopadhyay , Sin Yong Tan , Zhanhong Jiang , Rui Meng , Soumik Sarkar