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Historically time-reversibility of the transitions or processes underpinning Markov chain Monte Carlo methods (MCMC) has played a key r\^ole in their development, while the self-adjointness of associated operators together with the use of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-17 Christophe Andrieu , Samuel Livingstone

We extend Monte Carlo samplers based on piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMP samplers) by formally defining different boundary conditions such as sticky floors, soft and hard walls and teleportation portals. This allows PDMP…

Computation · Statistics 2023-03-15 Joris Bierkens , Sebastiano Grazzi , Gareth Roberts , Moritz Schauer

Probabilistic programming uses programs to express generative models whose posterior probability is then computed by built-in inference engines. A challenging goal is to develop general purpose inference algorithms that work out-of-the-box…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-03 Carol Mak , Fabian Zaiser , Luke Ong

In most sampling algorithms, including Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, transition rates between states correspond to the probability of making a transition in a single time step, and are constrained to be less than or equal to 1. We derive a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-10-13 Andrew B. Berger , Mayur Mudigonda , Michael R. DeWeese , Jascha Sohl-Dickstein

This article presents a novel and practically useful link between geometric integration, low-discrepancy sampling and code coupling for Lagrangian and Eulerian Vlasov-Poisson solvers. Low-discrepancy sequences, also called quasi-random…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-26 Jakob Ameres

Monte Carlo methods represent the "de facto" standard for approximating complicated integrals involving multidimensional target distributions. In order to generate random realizations from the target distribution, Monte Carlo techniques use…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-21 L. Martino , V. Elvira , D. Luengo , J. Corander

Equilibrium systems evolve according to Detailed Balance (DB). This principe guided development of the Monte-Carlo sampling techniques, of which Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm is the famous representative. It is also known that DB is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-07-15 Konstantin S. Turitsyn , Michael Chertkov , Marija Vucelja

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a state of the art method for sampling from distributions with differentiable densities, but can converge slowly when applied to challenging multimodal problems. Running HMC with a time varying Hamiltonian,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-26 Reuben Cohn-Gordon , Uroš Seljak , Dries Sels

This work introduces a novel and efficient Bayesian federated learning algorithm, namely, the Federated Averaging stochastic Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (FA-HMC), for parameter estimation and uncertainty quantification. We establish rigorous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-10 Jiajun Liang , Qian Zhang , Wei Deng , Qifan Song , Guang Lin

Estimating failure probabilities of engineering systems is an important problem in many engineering fields. In this work we consider such problems where the failure probability is extremely small (e.g $\leq10^{-10}$). In this case, standard…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-05-24 Xinjuan Chen , Jinglai Li

In Kuznetsov et al. (2011) a new Monte Carlo simulation technique was introduced for a large family of Levy processes that is based on the Wiener-Hopf decomposition. We pursue this idea further by combining their technique with the recently…

As a special example of piecewise deterministic Markov process, bouncy particle sampler is a rejection-free, irreversible Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm and can draw samples from target distribution efficiently. We generalize bouncy…

Computation · Statistics 2017-06-20 Changye Wu , Christian P. Robert

We introduced the Hug and Hop Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for estimating expectations with respect to an intractable distribution. The algorithm alternates between two kernels: Hug and Hop. Hug is a non-reversible kernel that…

Computation · Statistics 2022-04-26 Matthew Ludkin , Chris Sherlock

Performing numerical integration when the integrand itself cannot be evaluated point-wise is a challenging task that arises in statistical analysis, notably in Bayesian inference for models with intractable likelihood functions. Markov…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-17 Lawrence Middleton , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet , Pierre E. Jacob

Recently non-reversible samplers based on simulating piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) have shown potential for efficient sampling in Bayesian inference problems. However, there remains a lack of guidance on how to best…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-28 Matthew Sutton , Paul Fearnhead

Completely random measures provide a principled approach to creating flexible unsupervised models, where the number of latent features is infinite and the number of features that influence the data grows with the size of the data set. Due…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-26 Peiyuan Zhu , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Trevor Campbell

Specifying a full Bayesian model that integrates multiple data sources can be challenging. One natural approach is to specify each individual model separately and join them afterwards. This is the approach adopted in Markov melding.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-22 Yixuan Liu , Robert J. B. Goudie

Piecewise deterministic Markov process samplers are attractive alternatives to Metropolis--Hastings algorithms. A central design question is how to incorporate partial velocity refreshment to ensure ergodicity without injecting excessive…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-20 Hirofumi Shiba , Kengo Kamatani

We present a short introduction into the framework of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. We illustrate the abstract mathematical setting with a series of examples related to dispersal of biological systems, cell cycle models, gene…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-08 Ryszard Rudnicki , Marta Tyran-Kaminska

Existing rigorous convergence guarantees for the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm use Gaussian auxiliary momentum variables, which are crucially symmetrically distributed. We present a novel convergence analysis for HMC utilizing new…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-12 Soumyadip Ghosh , Yingdong Lu , Tomasz Nowicki