Related papers: Dynamic Initial Margin via Chebyshev Tensors
We present a new unbiased algorithm that estimates the expected value of f(U) via Monte Carlo simulation, where U is a vector of d independent random variables, and f is a function of d variables. We assume that f does not depend equally on…
Option pricing is a significant problem for option risk management and trading. In this article, we utilize a framework to present financial data from different sources. The data is processed and represented in a form of 2D tensors in three…
A new multivariate stochastic volatility estimation procedure for financial time series is proposed. A Wishart autoregressive process is considered for the volatility precision covariance matrix, for the estimation of which a two step…
A common issue in learning decision-making policies in data-rich settings is spurious correlations in the offline dataset, which can be caused by hidden confounders. Instrumental variable (IV) regression, which utilises a key unconfounded…
We consider a multidimensional Ito semimartingale regularly sampled on [0,t] at high frequency $1/\Delta_n$, with $\Delta_n$ going to zero. The goal of this paper is to provide an estimator for the integral over [0,t] of a given function of…
Differential ML (Huge and Savine 2020) is a technique for training neural networks to provide fast approximations to complex simulation-based models for derivatives pricing and risk management. It uses price sensitivities calculated through…
Differential machine learning combines automatic adjoint differentiation (AAD) with modern machine learning (ML) in the context of risk management of financial Derivatives. We introduce novel algorithms for training fast, accurate pricing…
This paper analyzes the classical linear regression model with measurement errors in all the variables. First, we provide necessary and sufficient conditions for identification of the coefficients. We show that the coefficients are not…
In this paper we develop a direct simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC) method for simulating highly nonequilibrium dynamics of nearly degenerate ultra-cold gases. We show that our method can simulate the high-energy collision of two thermal clouds…
We generalize the recently developed diagrammatic Monte Carlo techniques for quantum impurity models from an imaginary time to a Keldysh formalism suitable for real-time and nonequilibrium calculations. Both weak-coupling and…
We describe a novel method to compute the components of dynamo tensors from direct magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) simulations. Our method relies upon an extension and generalisation of the standard H\"ogbom CLEAN algorithm widely used in radio…
Inference for Dirichlet process hierarchical models is typically performed using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, which can be roughly categorised into marginal and conditional methods. The former integrate out analytically the…
We apply the event-chain Monte Carlo algorithm to the three-dimensional ferromagnetic Heisenberg model. The algorithm is rejection-free and also realizes an irreversible Markov chain that satisfies global balance. The autocorrelation…
This paper proposes a method for estimating the norms of a system in a pure data-driven fashion based on their identified Impulse Response (IR) coefficients. The calculation of norms is briefly reviewed and the main expressions for the…
We consider initial value problems of nonlinear dynamical systems, which include physical parameters. A quantity of interest depending on the solution is observed. A discretisation yields the trajectories of the quantity of interest in many…
The uncertainty and robustness of Computable General Equilibrium models can be assessed by conducting a Systematic Sensitivity Analysis. Different methods have been used in the literature for SSA of CGE models such as Gaussian Quadrature…
We consider the problem of inference in discrete probabilistic models, that is, distributions over subsets of a finite ground set. These encompass a range of well-known models in machine learning, such as determinantal point processes and…
In this work we propose deep learning-based algorithms for the computation of systemic shortfall risk measures defined via multivariate utility functions. We discuss the key related theoretical aspects, with a particular focus on the…
We address the problem of parameter estimation for diffusion driven stochastic volatility models through Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). To avoid degeneracy issues we introduce an innovative reparametrisation defined through…
Article describes the results of the development and using of Rare-Event Monte-Carlo Simulation Algorithms for Dynamic Fault Trees Estimation. For Fault Trees estimation usually analytical methods are used (Minimal Cut sets, Markov Chains,…