Related papers: Fractional Risk Process in Insurance
In this paper we introduce the space-fractional Poisson process whose state probabilities $p_k^\alpha(t)$, $t>0$, $\alpha \in (0,1]$, are governed by the equations $(\mathrm d/\mathrm dt)p_k(t) = -\lambda^\alpha (1-B)p_k^\alpha(t)$, where…
In this paper, we demonstrate through the use of matrix calculus a transparent analysis of fractional inhomogeneous Markov models for life insurance where transition matrices commute. The resulting formulae are intuitive matrix…
The paper considers a Cox process where the stochastic intensity function for the Poisson data model is itself a non-homogeneous Poisson process. We show that it is possible to obtain the marginal data process, namely a non-homogeneous…
Increased day-trading activity and the subsequent jump in intraday volatility and trading volume fluctuations has raised considerable interest in models for financial market microstructure. We investigate the random transitions between two…
We investigate the Levy insurance risk model with tax under Cram\'er's condition. A direct analogue of Cram\'er's estimate for the probability of ruin in this model is obtained, together with the asymptotic distribution, conditional on ruin…
Prediction modelling of claim frequency is an important task for pricing and risk management in non-life insurance and needed to be updated frequently with the changes in the insured population, regulatory legislation and technology.…
Fractional equations have become the model of choice in several applications where heterogeneities at the microstructure result in anomalous diffusive behavior at the macroscale. In this work we introduce a new fractional operator…
In this paper, a Bayesian method for piecewise regression is adapted to handle counting processes data distributed as Poisson. A numerical code in Mathematica is developed and tested analyzing simulated data. The resulting method is…
We revisit Schnieper's model, which decomposes incurred but not reported (IBNR) reserves into two components: reserves for newly reported claims (true IBNR) and reserves for changes over time in the estimated cost of already reported claims…
This paper introduces a new stochastic process with values in the set Z of integers with sign. The increments of process are Poisson differences and the dynamics has an autoregressive structure. We study the properties of the process and…
Recently the so-called Prabhakar generalization of the fractional Poisson counting process attracted much interest for his flexibility to adapt real world situations. In this renewal process the waiting times between events are IID…
Cascades of Poisson processes are probabilistic models for spatio-temporal phenomena in which (i) previous events may trigger subsequent events, and (ii) both the background and triggering processes are conditionally Poisson. Such phenomena…
In many insurance contexts, dependence between risks of a portfolio may arise from their frequencies. We investigate a dependent risk model in which we assume the vector of count variables to be a tree-structured Markov random field with…
This chapter is an attempt to present a mathematical theory of compound fractional Poisson processes. The chapter begins with the characterization of a well-known L\'evy process: The compound Poisson process. The semi-Markov extension of…
Based on a discrete version of the Pollaczeck-Khinchine formula, a general method to calculate the ultimate ruin probability in the Gerber-Dickson risk model is provided when claims follow a negative binomial mixture distribution. The…
In this article we consider an aggregate loss model with dependent losses. The losses occurrence process is governed by a two-state Markovian arrival process (MAP2), a Markov renewal process process that allows for (1) correlated…
We introduce and study here a renewal process defined by means of a time-fractional relaxation equation with derivative order $\alpha(t)$ varying with time $t\geq0$. In particular, we use the operator introduced by Scarpi in the Seventies…
In this paper we consider the classical and Erlang(2) risk processes when the inter-claim times and claim amounts are dependent. We assume that the dependence structure is defined through a Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern (FGM) copula and show…
Fractional renewal processes as a generalization of Poisson process are already in the literature. In this paper, by introducing a new concept of generalized density function, the authors construct new fractional renewal processes in the…
If a given aggregate process $S$ is a compound mixed Poisson process under a probability measure $P$, a characterization of all probability measures $Q$ on the domain of $P$, such that $P$ and $Q$ are progressively equivalent and $S$…