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The demand for artificial intelligence has grown significantly over the last decade and this growth has been fueled by advances in machine learning techniques and the ability to leverage hardware acceleration. However, in order to increase…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Joost Verbraeken , Matthijs Wolting , Jonathan Katzy , Jeroen Kloppenburg , Tim Verbelen , Jan S. Rellermeyer

In this work, we consider the problem of estimating the parameters of polynomially damped sinusoidal signals, commonly encountered in, for instance, spectroscopy. Generally, finding the parameter values of such signals constitutes a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-06-27 Filip Elvander , Johan Swärd , Andreas Jakobsson

Categorical random variables are a common staple in machine learning methods and other applications across disciplines. Many times, correlation within categorical predictors exists, and has been noted to have an effect on various algorithm…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-25 Rachel Traylor

Parametric unfolding of a true distribution distorted due to finite resolution and limited efficiency for the registration of individual events is discussed. Details of the computational algorithm of the unfolding procedure are presented.

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-07-08 Nikolay Gagunashvili

This work studies networked agents cooperating to track a dynamical state of nature under partial information. The proposed algorithm is a distributed Bayesian filtering algorithm for finite-state hidden Markov models (HMMs). It can be used…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-07 Mert Kayaalp , Virginia Bordignon , Stefan Vlaski , Vincenzo Matta , Ali H. Sayed

For systems with uncertain linear models, bounded additive disturbances and state and control constraints, a robust model predictive control algorithm incorporating online model adaptation is proposed. Sets of model parameters are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Xiaonan Lu , Mark Cannon , Denis Koksal-Rivet

Probabilistic models often have parameters that can be translated, scaled, permuted, or otherwise transformed without changing the model. These symmetries can lead to strong correlation and multimodality in the posterior distribution over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-20 Robert Nishihara , Thomas Minka , Daniel Tarlow

We propose a deep learning approach to probabilistic forecasting of macroeconomic and financial time series. Being able to learn complex patterns from a data rich environment, our approach is useful for a decision making that depends on…

General Economics · Economics 2022-04-15 Jozef Barunik , Lubos Hanus

Probabilistic mixture models have been widely used for different machine learning and pattern recognition tasks such as clustering, dimensionality reduction, and classification. In this paper, we focus on trying to solve the most common…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-08 Gustavo A Valencia-Zapata , Daniel Mejia , Gerhard Klimeck , Michael Zentner , Okan Ersoy

Estimating and quantifying uncertainty in unknown system parameters from limited data remains a challenging inverse problem in a variety of real-world applications. While many approaches focus on estimating constant parameters, a subset of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-09 Andrea Arnold

Wind power is playing an increasingly important role in electricity markets. However, it's inherent variability and uncertainty cause operational challenges and costs as more operating reserves are needed to maintain system reliability.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Yishen Wang , Zhi Zhou , Cong Liu , Audun Botterud

This work proposes multi-agent systems setting for concurrent engineering system design optimization and gradually paves the way towards examining graph theoretic constructs in the context of multidisciplinary design optimization problem.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-09-18 Amir Noori

In this article, a generalized version of Negative binomial-beta exponential distribution with five parameters have been introduced. Some interesting submodels have been derived from it. A comprehensive mathematical treatment of proposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-31 Anwar Hassan , Ishfaq Shah Ahmad , Peer Bilal Ahmad

Parameter fitting of data to a proposed equation almost always consider these parameters as independent variables. Here, the method proposed optimizes an arbitrary number of variables by the minimization of a function of a single variable.…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2010-06-15 Christopher G. Jesudason

This paper is concerned with the problem of distributed estimation for time-varying interconnected dynamic systems with arbitrary coupling structures. To guarantee the robustness of the designed estimators, novel distributed stability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-02 Yuchen Zhang , Bo Chen , Li Yu , Daniel W. C. Ho

We study the problem of estimating the parameters of a regression model from a set of observations, each consisting of a response and a predictor. The response is assumed to be related to the predictor via a regression model of unknown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-19 Carlos Alberto Gomez-Uribe

Compound Poisson distributions have been employed by many authors to fit experimental data, typically via the method of moments or maximum likelihood estimation. We propose a new technique and apply it to several sets of published data. It…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 S. R. Mane

We consider different models of stochastic dissipative equations and theoretically compute the probability distribution functions (actually the associated large deviation functions) of the time averaged injected power required to sustain a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 Jean Farago

Multi-model ensembles provide a pragmatic approach to the representation of model uncertainty in climate prediction. However, such representations are inherently ad hoc, and, as shown, probability distributions of climate variables based on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-08-26 T. N. Palmer , F. J. Doblas-Reyes , A. Weisheimer , G. J. Shutts , J. Berner , J. M. Murphy

Reliable uncertainty quantification is critical in multivariate time series forecasting problems arising in domains such as energy systems and transportation networks, among many others. Although Transformer-based architectures have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Rajdeep Pathak , Rahul Goswami , Madhurima Panja , Palash Ghosh , Tanujit Chakraborty