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Model approximations are common practice when estimating structural or quasi-structural models. The paper considers the econometric properties of estimators that utilize projections to reimpose information about the exact model in the form…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-03-05 Andreas Tryphonides

This note uses a simple example to show how moment inequality models used in the empirical economics literature lead to general minimax relative efficiency comparisons. The main point is that such models involve inference on a low…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-19 Timothy B. Armstrong

This paper proposes a simple and efficient estimation procedure for the model with non-ignorable missing data studied by Morikawa and Kim (2016). Their semiparametrically efficient estimator requires explicit nonparametric estimation and so…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-15 Chunrong Ai , Oliver Linton , Zheng Zhang

We consider learning causal relationships under conditional moment restrictions. Unlike causal inference under unconditional moment restrictions, conditional moment restrictions pose serious challenges for causal inference, especially in…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-09-30 Masahiro Kato , Masaaki Imaizumi , Kenichiro McAlinn , Haruo Kakehi , Shota Yasui

We consider the problem of adaptive inference on a regression function at a point under a multivariate nonparametric regression setting. The regression function belongs to a H\"older class and is assumed to be monotone with respect to some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Koohyun Kwon , Soonwoo Kwon

Important problems in causal inference, economics, and, more generally, robust machine learning can be expressed as conditional moment restrictions, but estimation becomes challenging as it requires solving a continuum of unconditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-19 Heiner Kremer , Jia-Jie Zhu , Krikamol Muandet , Bernhard Schölkopf

The asymptotic behavior of GMM estimators depends critically on whether the underlying moment condition model is correctly specified. Hong and Li (2023, Econometric Theory) showed that GMM estimators with nonsmooth (non-directionally…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-03 Byunghoon Kang , Seojeong Lee , Juha Song

We propose a method of moments (MoM) algorithm for training large-scale implicit generative models. Moment estimation in this setting encounters two problems: it is often difficult to define the millions of moments needed to learn the model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-29 Suman Ravuri , Shakir Mohamed , Mihaela Rosca , Oriol Vinyals

Parameters in climate models are usually calibrated manually, exploiting only small subsets of the available data. This precludes both optimal calibration and quantification of uncertainties. Traditional Bayesian calibration methods that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-04 Oliver R. A. Dunbar , Alfredo Garbuno-Inigo , Tapio Schneider , Andrew M. Stuart

In this article, we consider an imputation method to handle missing response values based on semiparametric quantile regression estimation. In the proposed method, the missing response values are generated using the estimated conditional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-15 Senniang Chen , Cindy L Yu

We study policy evaluation of offline contextual bandits subject to unobserved confounders. Sensitivity analysis methods are commonly used to estimate the policy value under the worst-case confounding over a given uncertainty set. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-25 Kei Ishikawa , Niao He

We develop an approach for estimating models described via conditional moment restrictions, with a prototypical application being non-parametric instrumental variable regression. We introduce a min-max criterion function, under which the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-15 Nishanth Dikkala , Greg Lewis , Lester Mackey , Vasilis Syrgkanis

We consider estimation in moment condition models and show that under any bound on identification strength, asymptotically admissible (i.e. undominated) estimators in a wide class of estimation problems must be uniformly continuous in the…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-11 Isaiah Andrews , Anna Mikusheva

The classic integrated conditional moment test is a promising method for testing regression model misspecification. However, it severely suffers from the curse of dimensionality. To extend it to handle the testing problem for parametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Falong Tan , Lixing Zhu

This paper considers inference for conditional moment inequality models using a multiscale statistic. We derive the asymptotic distribution of this test statistic and use the result to propose feasible critical values that have a simple…

Applications · Statistics 2015-12-10 Timothy B. Armstrong , Hock Peng Chan

Method of moment estimators exhibit appealing statistical properties, such as asymptotic unbiasedness, for nonconvex problems. However, they typically require a large number of samples and are extremely sensitive to model misspecification.…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-30 Dustin Tran , Minjae Kim , Finale Doshi-Velez

We introduce a new method for estimating the mean of an outcome variable within groups when researchers only observe the average of the outcome and group indicators across a set of aggregation units, such as geographical areas. Existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-01 Cory McCartan , Shiro Kuriwaki

A priori error bounds have been derived for different balancing-related model reduction methods. The most classical result is a bound for balanced truncation and singular perturbation approximation that is applicable for asymptotically…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Björn Liljegren-Sailer

Calibration, the practice of choosing the parameters of a structural model to match certain empirical moments, can be viewed as minimum distance estimation. Existing standard error formulas for such estimators require a consistent estimate…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-19 Matthew D. Cocci , Mikkel Plagborg-Møller

We propose a novel optimal transport-based version of the Generalized Method of Moment (GMM). Instead of handling overidentification by reweighting the data to satisfy the moment conditions (as in Generalized Empirical Likelihood methods),…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-11 Susanne Schennach , Vincent Starck