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Machine learning methods are widely and successfully used for probabilistic wind power forecasting, yet the pervasive issue of missing values (e.g., due to sensor faults or communication outages) has received limited attention. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Honglin Wen , Pierre Pinson , Jie Gu , Zhijian Jin

The future energy system will largely depend on volatile renewable energy sources and temperature-dependent loads, which makes the weather a central influencing factor. This article presents a novel approach for simulating weather scenarios…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-31 Jan Peper , David Kröger , Jonathan Kipp , Florian Ziel , Christian Rehtanz

Wind generation is expected to reach substantially higher levels of penetration in the near future. With the converter interface, the rotor inertia of doubly-fed induction generator (DFIG) based wind turbine generator is effectively…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-12-19 Siqi Wang , Kevin Tomsovic

The power grid frequency is the central observable in power system control, as it measures the balance of electrical supply and demand. A reliable frequency forecast can facilitate rapid control actions and may thus greatly improve power…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-24 Johannes Kruse , Benjamin Schäfer , Dirk Witthaut

Neural networks are increasingly being used in a variety of settings to predict wind direction and speed, two of the most important factors for estimating the potential power output of a wind farm. However, these predictions are arguably of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-06-22 Mariana C A Clare , Matthew D Piggott

The existing predictions of the energy density of gravitational waves produced during preheating mostly rely on computer simulations in which the matter field inhomogeneities essentially behave classically. In this article we follow instead…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-02-25 C. Armendariz-Picon

Accurate projections of wind energy potential under climate change are critical for effective long-term energy planning. While previous studies have highlighted the value of multi-model ensembles, they often fall short in capturing the full…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-02 Andrea Lira-Loarca , Francesco Ferrari , Andrea Mazzino

The growing penetration of variable renewable energy sources (VRES) requires additional flexibility reserve to ensure reliable power system operations. Current industry practice typically assumes a certain fraction of the VRES power…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-13 Zhirui Liang , Robert Mieth , Yury Dvorkin , Miguel A. Ortega-Vazquez

The transition to a fully renewable energy grid requires better forecasting of demand at the low-voltage level to increase efficiency and ensure reliable control. However, high fluctuations and increasing electrification cause huge forecast…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-16 Marcel Arpogaus , Marcus Voss , Beate Sick , Mark Nigge-Uricher , Oliver Dürr

Accurate renewable energy production forecasting has become a priority as the share of intermittent energy sources on the grid increases. Recent work has shown that convolutional deep learning models can successfully be applied to forecast…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-24 Sebastian Bosma , Negar Nazari

Artificial intelligence (AI)-based data-driven weather forecasting models have experienced rapid progress over the last years. Recent studies, with models trained on reanalysis data, achieve impressive results and demonstrate substantial…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-02 Christopher Bülte , Nina Horat , Julian Quinting , Sebastian Lerch

Wind turbines operate in the atmospheric boundary layer, where they are exposed to the turbulent atmospheric flows. As the response time of wind turbine is typically in the range of seconds, they are affected by the small scale intermittent…

In this paper, the highly acknowledged advantages of the Model Predictive Control (MPC) approach are utilized to regulate the wind turbines' output power in the partial load region. In this region, the purpose of the designed controller is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-11 Kamyar Ghanbarpour , Farhad Bayat , Abolfazl Jalilvand

This paper investigates the uncertain power flow analysis in distribution networks within the context of renewable power resources integration such as wind and solar power. The analysis aims to bound the worst-case voltage magnitude in any…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-03 Khaled Laib , Anton Korniienko , Florent Morel , Gérard Scorletti

The wind power ramp events threaten the power grid safety significantly. To improve the ramp prediction accuracy, a hybrid wavelet deep belief network algorithm with adaptive feature selection (WDBNAFS) is proposed. First, the wind power…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-14 Zhenhao Tang , Qingyu Meng , Shengxian Cao , Yang Li , Zhongha Mu , Xiaoya Pang

This paper addresses two vital issues which are barely discussed in the literature on robust unit commitment (RUC): 1) how much the potential operational loss could be if the realization of uncertainty is beyond the prescribed uncertainty…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-16 Cheng Wang , Feng Liu , Jianhui Wang , Feng Qiu , Wei Wei , Shengwei Mei , Shunbo Lei

We study linear policy approximations for the risk-conscious operation of an industrial energy system with uncertain wind power, significant and variable electricity demand, and high thermal output, as found in a modern foundry. The system…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Johannes Nicklaus , Lea Brass , Gunnar Schubert

Electricity price forecasting has become a critical tool for decision-making in energy markets, particularly as the increasing penetration of renewable energy introduces greater volatility and uncertainty. Historically, research in this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-11 Ciaran O'Connor , Mohamed Bahloul , Steven Prestwich , Andrea Visentin

Based on the Langevin equation it has been proposed to obtain power curves for wind turbines from high frequency data of wind speed measurements u(t) and power output P (t). The two parts of the Langevin approach, power curve and drift…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-11-09 Tanja A. Mücke , Matthias Wächter , Patrick Milan , Joachim Peinke

Wind power integration is an essential problem for modern power industry. In this paper, we develop a novel bilevel mixed integer optimization model to investigate wind power generation planning problem in an electricity market environment…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-01-13 Yifan Wang , Shixin Liu , Bo Zeng