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Although behavioral economics has demonstrated that there are many situations where rational choice is a poor empirical model, it has so far failed to provide quantitative models of economic problems such as price formation. We make a step…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Szabolcs Mike , J. Doyne Farmer

This work's purpose is to understand the dynamics of limit order books in order-driven markets. We try to illustrate a dynamical trading mechanism attached to the microstructure of limit order markets. We capture the iterative nature of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-13 Shilei Wang

We develop a cross-border market model for two countries based on a continuous trading mechanism, in which the transmission capacities that enable transactions between market participants from different countries are limited. Our market…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Cassandra Milbradt , Dörte Kreher

Statistical and dynamical characters of stock markets have been extensively studied, which now is providing the firm basis for econophysics and its application as ``stylized facts''. However, most of those studies are for markets under the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-09-04 Shota Nagumo , Takashi Shimada

Constant price impact functions, much used in financial literature, are shown to give rise to paradoxical outcomes since they do not allow for proper predictability removal: for instance the exploitation of a single large trade whose size…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-01-27 Damien Challet

We formulate a simplified model of a limit order book, in which the arrival process is independent of the current state. We prove a phase transition result: there exist prices $\kappa_b$ and $\kappa_a$ such that, for any $\epsilon > 0$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-19 Elena Yudovina

We demonstrate an application of risk-sensitive reinforcement learning to optimizing execution in limit order book markets. We represent taking order execution decisions based on limit order book knowledge by a Markov Decision Process; and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-07 Svitlana Vyetrenko , Shaojie Xu

The available liquidity at any time in financial markets falls largely short of the typical size of the orders that institutional investors would trade. In order to reduce the impact on prices due to the execution of large orders, traders…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-22 Louis Saddier , Matteo Marsili

Simulating limit order books (LOBs) has important applications across forecasting and backtesting for financial market data. However, deep generative models struggle in this context due to the high noise and complexity of the data. Previous…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-08 Alfred Backhouse , Kang Li , Jakob Foerster , Anisoara Calinescu , Stefan Zohren

This paper develops a new neural network architecture for modeling spatial distributions (i.e., distributions on R^d) which is computationally efficient and specifically designed to take advantage of the spatial structure of limit order…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-06 Justin Sirignano

This study pioneers the application of the market microstructure framework to an informal financial market. By scraping data from websites and social media about the Cuban informal currency market, we model the dynamics of bid/ask…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-07 Alejandro García Figal , Alejandro Lage Castellanos , Roberto Mulet

Developing a generative model of realistic order flow in financial markets is a challenging open problem, with numerous applications for market participants. Addressing this, we propose the first end-to-end autoregressive generative model…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-06 Peer Nagy , Sascha Frey , Silvia Sapora , Kang Li , Anisoara Calinescu , Stefan Zohren , Jakob Foerster

We analyze an optimal trade execution problem in a financial market with stochastic liquidity. To this end we set up a limit order book model in which both order book depth and resilience evolve randomly in time. Trading is allowed in both…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-16 Julia Ackermann , Thomas Kruse , Mikhail Urusov

A novel high-frequency market-making approach in discrete time is proposed that admits closed-form solutions. By taking advantage of demand functions that are linear in the quoted bid and ask spreads with random coefficients, we model the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-21 Jonathan Chávez-Casillas , José E. Figueroa-López , Chuyi Yu , Yi Zhang

Maglaras, Moallemi, and Zheng (2021) have introduced a flexible queueing model for fragmented limit-order markets, whose fluid limit remains remarkably tractable. In the present study we prove that, in the limit of small and frequent…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-08 Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Eyal Neuman , Yonatan Shadmi

We revisit the "epsilon-intelligence" model of Toth et al.(2011), that was proposed as a minimal framework to understand the square-root dependence of the impact of meta-orders on volume in financial markets. The basic idea is that most of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-23 Iacopo Mastromatteo , Bence Toth , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We introduce a novel large-scale deep learning model for Limit Order Book mid-price changes forecasting, and we name it `HLOB'. This architecture (i) exploits the information encoded by an Information Filtering Network, namely the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-05 Antonio Briola , Silvia Bartolucci , Tomaso Aste

We empirically study the market impact of trading orders. We are specifically interested in large trading orders that are executed incrementally, which we call hidden orders. These are reconstructed based on information about market member…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-13 Esteban Moro , Javier Vicente , Luis G. Moyano , Austin Gerig , J. Doyne Farmer , Gabriella Vaglica , Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario N. Mantegna

Continuous time financial market models are often motivated as scaling limits of discrete time models. The objective of this paper is to establish such a connection for a robust framework. More specifically, we consider discrete time models…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-17 David Criens

We study optimal liquidation strategies under partial information for a single asset within a finite time horizon. We propose a model tailored for high-frequency trading, capturing price formation driven solely by order flow through…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-08 Etienne Chevalier , Yadh Hafsi , Vathana Ly Vath