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A key measure of performance and comfort in a road traffic network is the travel time that the users of the network experience to complete their journeys. Travel times on road traffic networks are stochastic, highly variable, and dependent…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-08-18 Nadir Farhi , Habib Haj-Salem , Jean-Patrick Lebacque

Control of systems of automated guided vehicles involves action planning at many levels. For efficient control of these systems, accurate estimation of cost parameters (speed, energy, task completion performance, \textit{et~cetera} is…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-08-24 Pragna Das , Lluís Ribas Xirgo

In this paper, we consider the task of predicting travel times between two arbitrary points in an urban scenario. We view this problem from two temporal perspectives: long-term forecasting with a horizon of several days and short-term…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-25 He Huang , Martin Pouls , Anne Meyer , Markus Pauly

Traffic assignment is a core component of many urban transport planning tools. It is used to determine how traffic is distributed over a transportation network. We study the task of computing traffic assignments for public transport: Given…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Julian Patzner , Matthias Müller-Hannemann

Airline operations are subject to many uncertainties, such as weather, varying demand, maintenance events, congestion, etc. Large amounts of information are currently ignored due to difficulties in processing big data sets. We explore the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-28 Ítalo Romani de Oliveira , Steve Altus , Sergey Tiourine , Euclides C. Pinto Neto , Alexandre Leite , Felipe C. F. de Azevedo

Providing transport users and operators with accurate forecasts on travel times is challenging due to a highly stochastic traffic environment. Public transport users are particularly sensitive to unexpected waiting times, which negatively…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-25 Hector Rodriguez-Deniz , Mattias Villani

Trajectory prediction of aerial vehicles is a key requirement in applications ranging from missile guidance to UAV collision avoidance. While most prediction methods assume deterministic target motion, real-world targets often exhibit…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Marc Schneider , Renato Loureiro , Torbjørn Cunis , Walter Fichter

Modal split prediction in transportation networks has the potential to support network operators in managing traffic congestion and improving transit service reliability. We focus on the problem of hourly prediction of the fraction of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-17 Aron Brenner , Manxi Wu , Saurabh Amin

Many factors can affect the predictability of public bus services such as traffic, weather and local events. Other aspects, such as day of week or hour of day, may influence bus travel times as well, either directly or in conjunction with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Matthias Kormaksson , Luciano Barbosa , Marcos R. Vieira , Bianca Zadrozny

While benefiting people's daily life in so many ways, smartphones and their location-based services are generating massive mobile device location data that has great potential to help us understand travel demand patterns and make…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-10 Chenfeng Xiong , Aref Darzi , Yixuan Pan , Sepehr Ghader , Lei Zhang

Temporal prediction is critical for making intelligent and robust decisions in complex dynamic environments. Motion prediction needs to model the inherently uncertain future which often contains multiple potential outcomes, due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-10 Yichuan Charlie Tang , Ruslan Salakhutdinov

Travel time estimation is a critical task, useful to many urban applications at the individual citizen and the stakeholder level. This paper presents a novel hybrid algorithm for travel time estimation that leverages historical and sparse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Nikolaos Zygouras , Nikolaos Panagiotou , Yang Li , Dimitrios Gunopulos , Leonidas Guibas

Most optimal routing problems focus on minimizing travel time or distance traveled. Oftentimes, a more useful objective is to maximize the probability of on-time arrival, which requires statistical distributions of travel times, rather than…

In the modern transportation industry, accurate prediction of travelers' next destinations brings multiple benefits to companies, such as customer satisfaction and targeted marketing. This study focuses on developing a precise model that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Salih Salihoglu , Gulser Koksal , Orhan Abar

Previous methods that predict system-wide travel time, predominantly grounded in graph neural networks, remain limited to typical and recurring demand patterns. While they successfully predict future congestion following daily commute, they…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Łukasz Gorczyca , Kacper Drozd , Michał Bujak , Rafał Kucharski

Car-hailing services have become a prominent data source for urban traffic studies. Extracting useful information from car-hailing trace data is essential for effective traffic management, while discrepancies between car-hailing vehicles…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-24 Jiannan Mao , Lan Liu , Hao Huang , Weike Lu , Kaiyu Yang , Tianli Tang , Haotian Shi

Travel time on a route varies substantially by time of day and from day to day. It is critical to understand to what extent this variation is correlated with various factors, such as weather, incidents, events or travel demand level in the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-17 Shuguan Yang , Sean Qian

Accurate and reliable bus travel time prediction in real-time is essential for improving the operational efficiency of public transportation systems. However, this remains a challenging task due to the limitations of existing models and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-11 Yuran Sun , James Spall , Wai Wong , Xilei Zhao

This article considers the stochastic on-time arrival problem in transit networks where both the travel time and the waiting time for transit services are stochastic. A specific challenge of this problem is the combinatorial solution space…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-12-04 Yang Liu , Sebastien Blandin , Samitha Samaranayake

We investigate the autonomous navigation of a mobile robot in the presence of other moving vehicles under time-varying uncertain environmental disturbances. We first predict the future state distributions of other vehicles to account for…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-09-09 Junhong Xu , Kai Yin , Lantao Liu