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Modeling the time-varying covariance structures of high-dimensional variables is critical across diverse scientific and industrial applications; however, existing approaches exhibit notable limitations in either modeling flexibility or…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Taehee Lee , Jun S. Liu

We propose a dynamic multiplicative factor model for process data, which arise from complex problem-solving items, an emerging testing mode in large-scale educational assessment. The proposed model can be viewed as an extension of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-26 Fangyi Chen , Hok Kan Ling , Zhiliang Ying

The research paper addresses linear decomposition of time series of non-additive metrics that allows for the identification and interpretation of contributing factors (input features) of variance. Non-additive metrics, such as ratios, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-15 Alex Glushkovsky

Factor analysis is a flexible technique for assessment of multivariate dependence and codependence. Besides being an exploratory tool used to reduce the dimensionality of multivariate data, it allows estimation of common factors that often…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-19 Kelly C. M. Gonçalves , Afonso C. B. Silva

Despite the fact that they do not consider the temporal nature of data, classic dimensionality reduction techniques, such as PCA, are widely applied to time series data. In this paper, we introduce a factor decomposition specific for time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-06-17 Diego Vidaurre , Iead Rezek , Samuel L. Harrison , Stephen S. Smith , Mark Woolrich

Factor analysis is a widely used technique for dimension reduction in high-dimensional data. However, a key challenge in factor models lies in the interpretability of the latent factors. One intuitive way to interpret these factors is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-08 Xin Wang , Xialu Liu

We proposed a data-driven approach to dissect multivariate time series in order to discover multiple phases underlying dynamics of complex systems. This computing approach is developed as a multiple-dimension version of Hierarchical Factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-09 Xiaodong Wang , Fushing Hsieh

Particulate matter data now include various particle sizes, which often manifest as a collection of curves observed sequentially over time. When considering 51 distinct particle sizes, these curves form a high-dimensional functional time…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-03 Han Lin Shang , Israel Martinez Hernandez

The problem of estimating trend and seasonal variation in time-series data has been studied over several decades, although mostly using single time series. This paper studies the problem of estimating these components from functional data,…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-25 Liang-Hsuan Tai , Anuj Srivastava , Kyle A. Gallivan

Structural transformation, the shift from agrarian economies to more diversified industrial and service-based systems, is a key driver of economic development. However, in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), data scarcity and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-02 Ronald Katende

The paper describes the use of Bayesian regression for building time series models and stacking different predictive models for time series. Using Bayesian regression for time series modeling with nonlinear trend was analyzed. This approach…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-07 Bohdan M. Pavlyshenko

Multivariate spatially-oriented data sets are prevalent in the environmental and physical sciences. Scientists seek to jointly model multiple variables, each indexed by a spatial location, to capture any underlying spatial association for…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-19 Lu Zhang , Sudipto Banerjee

In many applications, it is of interest to study trends over time in relationships among categorical variables, such as age group, ethnicity, religious affiliation, political party and preference for particular policies. At each time point,…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-05-15 Tsuyoshi Kunihama , David B. Dunson

Multivariate spatio-temporal data arise more and more frequently in a wide range of applications; however, there are relatively few general statistical methods that can readily use that incorporate spatial, temporal and variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-15 Elynn Yi Chen , Qiwei Yao , Rong Chen

Functional data analysis, which models data as realizations of random functions over a continuum, has emerged as a useful tool for time series data. Often, the goal is to infer the dynamic connections (or time-varying conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-10 Chunshan Liu , Daniel R. Kowal , James Doss-Gollin , Marina Vannucci

Tensor time series, which is a time series consisting of tensorial observations, has become ubiquitous. It typically exhibits high dimensionality. One approach for dimension reduction is to use a factor model structure, in a form similar to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-19 Yuefeng Han , Rong Chen , Dan Yang , Cun-Hui Zhang

Mining frequent episodes aims at recovering sequential patterns from temporal data sequences, which can then be used to predict the occurrence of related events in advance. On the other hand, gradual patterns that capture co-variation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-21 Jerry Lonlac , Arnaud Doniec , Marin Lujak , Stephane Lecoeuche

We build a simple diagnostic criterion for approximate factor structure in large cross-sectional equity datasets. Given a model for asset returns with observable factors, the criterion checks whether the error terms are weakly…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-08 Patrick Gagliardini , Elisa Ossola , Olivier Scaillet

This paper presents a new method for modelling periodic signals having an aperiodic trend, using the method of variable projection. It is a major extension to the IEEE-standard 1057 by permitting the background to be time varying;…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-21 Johannes Handler , Dimitar Ninevski , Paul O'Leary

Factor analysis is a flexible technique for assessment of multivariate dependence and codependence. Besides being an exploratory tool used to reduce the dimensionality of multivariate data, it allows estimation of common factors that often…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-08 Vitor G. C. da Silva , Kelly C. M. Gonçalves , João B. M. Pereira