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We revisit the problem of maximising the expected length of increasing subsequence that can be selected from a marked Poisson process by an online strategy. Resorting to a natural size variable, the problem is represented in terms of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-10 Alexander Gnedin , Amirlan Seksenbayev

Given a sequence of independent random variables with a common continuous distribution, we consider the online decision problem where one seeks to minimize the expected value of the time that is needed to complete the selection of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-05 Alessandro Arlotto , Elchanan Mossel , J. Michael Steele

We find a two term asymptotic expansion for the optimal expected value of a sequentially selected monotone subsequence from a random permutation of length n. A striking feature of this expansion is that tells us that the expected value of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-16 Peichao Peng , J. Michael Steele

Given a sequence of $n$ independent random variables with common continuous distribution, we propose a simple adaptive online policy that selects a monotone increasing subsequence. We show that the expected number of monotone increasing…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-22 Alessandro Arlotto , Yehua Wei , Xinchang Xie

The online increasing subsequence problem is a stochastic optimisation task with the objective to maximise the expected length of subsequence chosen from a random series by means of a nonanticipating decision strategy. We study the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-09 Alexander Gnedin , Amirlan Seksenbayev

Consider a sequence of $n$ independent random variables with a common continuous distribution $F$, and consider the task of choosing an increasing subsequence where the observations are revealed sequentially and where an observation must be…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-02 Alessandro Arlotto , Vinh V. Nguyen , J. Michael Steele

The standard approach to analyzing the asymptotic complexity of probabilistic programs is based on studying the asymptotic growth of certain expected values (such as the expected termination time) for increasing input size. We argue that…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2023-07-13 Michal Ajdarów , Antonín Kučera

Suppose one has a collection of parameters indexed by a (possibly infinite dimensional) set. Given data generated from some distribution, the objective is to estimate the maximal parameter in this collection evaluated at this distribution.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-26 Alexander R. Luedtke , Mark J. van der Laan

This note is motivated by connections between the online and offline problems of selecting a possibly long subsequence from a Poisson-paced sequence of uniform marks under either a monotonicity or a sum constraint. The offline problem with…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Alexander Gnedin

We consider sequential selection of an alternating subsequence from a sequence of independent, identically distributed, continuous random variables, and we determine the exact asymptotic behavior of an optimal sequentially selected…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-15 Alessandro Arlotto , Robert W. Chen , Lawrence A. Shepp , J. Michael Steele

We consider estimation procedures which are recursive in the sense that each successive estimator is obtained from the previous one by a simple adjustment. The model considered in the paper is very general as we do not impose any…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Teo Sharia

We consider optimal stopping problems, in which a sequence of independent random variables is drawn from a known continuous density. The objective of such problems is to find a procedure which maximizes the expected reward; this is often…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-07 Hugh Entwistle , Christopher Lustri , Georgy Sofronov

This paper considers a class of real-time decision making problems to minimize the expected value of a function that depends on a random variable $\xi$ under an unknown distribution $\mathbb{P}$. In this process, samples of $\xi$ are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Dan Li , Sonia Martinez

In the online (time-series) search problem, a player is presented with a sequence of prices which are revealed in an online manner. In the standard definition of the problem, for each revealed price, the player must decide irrevocably…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-12-06 Spyros Angelopoulos , Shahin Kamali , Dehou Zhang

We consider maximum rooted tree extension counts in random graphs, i.e., we consider M_n = \max_v X_v where X_v counts the number of copies of a given tree in G_{n,p} rooted at vertex v. We determine the asymptotics of M_n when the random…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-29 Pedro Araújo , Simon Griffiths , Matas Šileikis , Lutz Warnke

We study maximum-likelihood-type estimation for diffusion processes when the coefficients are nonrandom and observation occurs in nonsynchronous manner. The problem of nonsynchronous observations is important when we consider the analysis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Teppei Ogihara

We consider the optimal value of information (VoI) problem, where the goal is to sequentially select a set of tests with a minimal cost, so that one can efficiently make the best decision based on the observed outcomes. Existing algorithms…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-07-18 Yuxin Chen , Jean-Michel Renders , Morteza Haghir Chehreghani , Andreas Krause

We revisit the problem of estimating the parameters of a partially observed diffusion process, consisting of a hidden state process and an observed process, with a continuous time parameter. The estimation is to be done online, i.e. the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-16 Simone Carlo Surace , Jean-Pascal Pfister

We show that a wide variety of generalized increasing subsequence problems admit a one parameter family of extensions for which we can exactly compute the mean length of the longest increasing subsequence. By the nature of the extension,…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Eric M. Rains

We study the problem of predicting the results of computations that are too expensive to run, via the observation of the results of smaller computations. We model this as an online learning problem with delayed feedback, where the length of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-08 Scott Garrabrant , Nate Soares , Jessica Taylor
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