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This work proposes a general framework for capturing noise-driven transitions in spatially extended non-equilibrium systems and explains the emergence of coherent patterns beyond the instability onset. The framework relies on stochastic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-16 Mickaël D. Chekroun , Honghu Liu , James C. McWilliams

The last decade has seen the success of stochastic parameterizations in short-term, medium-range and seasonal forecasts: operational weather centers now routinely use stochastic parameterization schemes to better represent model inadequacy…

Stochastic partial differential equations have been used in a variety of contexts to model the evolution of uncertain dynamical systems. In recent years, their applications to geophysical fluid dynamics has increased massively. For a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-08 Dan Crisan , Oana Lang , Alexander Lobbe , Peter Jan van Leeuwen , Roland Potthast

We consider fully discrete embedded finite element approximations for a shallow water hyperbolic problem and its reduced-order model. Our approach is based on a fixed background mesh and an embedded reduced basis. The Shifted Boundary…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-06-29 Xianyi Zeng , Giovanni Stabile , Efthymios N. Karatzas , Guglielmo Scovazzi , Gianluigi Rozza

Physical parameterizations are used as representations of unresolved subgrid processes within weather and global climate models or coarse-scale turbulent models, whose resolutions are too coarse to resolve small-scale processes. These…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-27 Mohamed Aziz Bhouri , Pierre Gentine

Many relevant problems in the area of systems and control, such as controller synthesis, observer design and model reduction, can be viewed as optimization problems involving dynamical systems: for instance, maximizing performance in the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-15 Pascal Den Boef , Jos Maubach , Wil Schilders , Nathan van de Wouw

This work investigates a three-dimensional slow-fast stochastic system with quadratic nonlinearity and additive noise, inspired by fluid dynamics. The deterministic counterpart exhibits a periodic orbit and a slow manifold. We demonstrate…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Mickaël D. Chekroun , Jeroen S. W. Lamb , Christian J. Pangerl , Martin Rasmussen

In this article we expand and develop the authors' recent proposed methodology for efficient stochastic superparameterization (SP) algorithms for geophysical turbulence. Geophysical turbulence is characterized by significant intermittent…

Computational Physics · Physics 2013-10-08 Ian Grooms , Andrew J Majda

Downscaling aims to link the behaviour of the atmosphere at fine scales to properties measurable at coarser scales, and has the potential to provide high resolution information at a lower computational and storage cost than numerical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-05-19 Rachel Prudden , Niall Robinson , Peter Challenor , Richard Everson

We extend our two-scale neural-network method for scalar singularly perturbed problems with one small parameter to dynamical systems with multiple small parameters. To accommodate multiple small parameters, we use a single effective scale…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Qiao Zhuang , Taorui Wang , Rita Wanjiku , Majid Bani-Yaghoub , Zhongqiang Zhang

A parameter estimation method is devised for a slow-fast stochastic dynamical system, where often only the slow component is observable. By using the observations only on the slow component, the system parameters are estimated by working on…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-03-20 Jian Ren , Jinqiao Duan

Conditioning diffusion and flow models have proven effective for super-resolving small-scale details in natural images.However, in physical sciences such as weather, super-resolving small-scale details poses significant challenges due to:…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Stathi Fotiadis , Noah Brenowitz , Tomas Geffner , Yair Cohen , Michael Pritchard , Arash Vahdat , Morteza Mardani

In this paper, we propose a local-global multiscale method for highly heterogeneous stochastic groundwater flow problems under the framework of reduced basis method and the generalized multiscale finite element method (GMsFEM). Due to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-02 Yiran Wang , Eric Chung , Shubin Fu

Complex systems display variability over a broad range of spatial and temporal scales. Some scales are unresolved due to computational limitations. The impact of these unresolved scales on the resolved scales needs to be parameterized or…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2009-01-22 Aijun Du , Jinqiao Duan

Addressing complex meteorological processes at a fine spatial resolution requires substantial computational resources. To accelerate meteorological simulations, researchers have utilized neural networks to downscale meteorological variables…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-30 Jing Hu , Honghu Zhang , Peng Zheng , Jialin Mu , Xiaomeng Huang , Xi Wu

The development of surrogate models to study uncertainties in hydrologic systems requires significant effort in the development of sampling strategies and forward model simulations. Furthermore, in applications where prediction time is…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-01-19 Chen Chen , Clint Dawson , Eirik Valseth

Stochastic gradient descent is an optimisation method that combines classical gradient descent with random subsampling within the target functional. In this work, we introduce the stochastic gradient process as a continuous-time…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-11 Jonas Latz

This work is about parameter estimation for a fast-slow stochastic system with non-Gaussian $\alpha$-stable L\'evy noise. When the observations are only available for slow components, a system parameter is estimated and the accuracy for…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-02-28 Ying Chao , Pingyuan Wei , Jinqiao Duan

We propose a combination of machine learning and flux limiting for property-preserving subgrid scale modeling in the context of flux-limited finite volume methods for the one-dimensional shallow-water equations. The numerical fluxes of a…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-04-29 Ilya Timofeyev , Alexey Schwarzmann , Dmitri Kuzmin

In this paper, a methodology for fine scale modeling of large scale structures is proposed, which combines the variational multiscale method, domain decomposition and model order reduction. The influence of the fine scale on the coarse…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Philipp Diercks , Karen Veroy , Annika Robens-Radermacher , Jörg F. Unger