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In this paper, we propose an approach for an application of Bayesian optimization using Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) and concepts from the statistical physics of classical systems. Our method leverages the power of modern machine learning…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-06 Anton Lebedev , Thomas Warford , M. Emre Şahin

Importance sampling is a promising variance reduction technique for Monte Carlo simulation based derivative pricing. Existing importance sampling methods are based on a parametric choice of the proposal. This article proposes an algorithm…

Applications · Statistics 2009-04-14 Jan C. Neddermeyer

We present a multilevel stochastic gradient descent method for the optimal control of systems governed by partial differential equations under uncertain input data. The gradient descent method used to find the optimal control leverages a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-04 Niklas Baumgarten , David Schneiderhan

Early stopping is a well known approach to reduce the time complexity for performing training and model selection of large scale learning machines. On the other hand, memory/space (rather than time) complexity is the main constraint in many…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-02 Tomas Angles , Raffaello Camoriano , Alessandro Rudi , Lorenzo Rosasco

In this paper, we present the Monte-Carlo Compressive Optimization algorithm, a new method to solve a combinatorial optimization problem that is assumed compressible. The method relies on random queries to the objective function in order to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-30 Baptiste Chevalier , Shimpei Yamaguchi , Wojciech Roga , Masahiro Takeoka

We investigate implicit regularization schemes for gradient descent methods applied to unpenalized least squares regression to solve the problem of reconstructing a sparse signal from an underdetermined system of linear measurements under…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-12 Tomas Vaškevičius , Varun Kanade , Patrick Rebeschini

Estimation of nonlinear dynamic models from data poses many challenges, including model instability and non-convexity of long-term simulation fidelity. Recently Lagrangian relaxation has been proposed as a method to approximate simulation…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-12 Jack Umenberger , Ian R. Manchester

We study the fixed design segmented regression problem: Given noisy samples from a piecewise linear function $f$, we want to recover $f$ up to a desired accuracy in mean-squared error. Previous rigorous approaches for this problem rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-15 Jayadev Acharya , Ilias Diakonikolas , Jerry Li , Ludwig Schmidt

Consider Least Squares Monte Carlo (LSM) algorithm, which is proposed by Longstaff and Schwartz (2001) for pricing American style securities. This algorithm is based on the projection of the value of continuation onto a certain set of basis…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-08-01 Oleksii Mostovyi

Many real world stochastic control problems suffer from the "curse of dimensionality". To overcome this difficulty, we develop a deep learning approach that directly solves high-dimensional stochastic control problems based on Monte-Carlo…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-23 Jiequn Han , Weinan E

A Monte Carlo method to optimize cuts on variables is presented and evaluated. The method gives a much higher signal to noise ratio than does a manual choice of cuts.

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-12-21 Erik Elfgren

We propose a novel reformulation of the stochastic optimal control problem as an approximate inference problem, demonstrating, that such a interpretation leads to new practical methods for the original problem. In particular we characterise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-09-22 Konrad Rawlik , Marc Toussaint , Sethu Vijayakumar

Sequential Monte Carlo methods, also known as particle methods, are a popular set of techniques for approximating high-dimensional probability distributions and their normalizing constants. These methods have found numerous applications in…

Computation · Statistics 2021-06-23 Jeremy Heng , Adrian N. Bishop , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

In this paper, we propose a stochastic optimization method that adaptively controls the sample size used in the computation of gradient approximations. Unlike other variance reduction techniques that either require additional storage or the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-01 Raghu Bollapragada , Richard Byrd , Jorge Nocedal

For many tasks of data analysis, we may only have the information of the explanatory variable and the evaluation of the response values are quite expensive. While it is impractical or too costly to obtain the responses of all units, a…

Computation · Statistics 2023-04-07 Wei Zheng , Ting Tian , Xueqin Wang

In this paper, we aim to compute numerical approximation integral by using an adaptive Monte Carlo algorithm. We propose a stratified sampling algorithm based on an iterative method which splits the strata following some quantities called…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-07-22 Toni Sayah

We argue that one can associate a pseudo-time with sequences of configurations generated in the course of classical Monte Carlo simulations for a single-minimum bound state, if the sampling is optimal. Hereby the sampling rates can be,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-05-29 Yang He , Vassiliy Lubchenko

We introduce a powerful and flexible MCMC algorithm for stochastic simulation. The method builds on a pseudo-marginal method originally introduced in [Genetics 164 (2003) 1139--1160], showing how algorithms which are approximations to an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-01 Christophe Andrieu , Gareth O. Roberts

This paper proposes the capped least squares regression with an adaptive resistance parameter, hence the name, adaptive capped least squares regression. The key observation is, by taking the resistant parameter to be data dependent, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-02 Qiang Sun , Rui Mao , Wen-Xin Zhou

Solving dynamic topology optimization problems often yields low-performing local optima. Instead of converging towards a design that exploits dynamic mechanisms, a less interesting, mass-driven solution is often generated. This necessitates…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Tom De Weer , Vanessa Cool , Elke Deckers