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Decisions by humans depend on their estimations given some uncertain sensory data. These decisions can also be influenced by the behavior of others. Here we present a mathematical model to quantify this influence, inviting a further study…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-09-25 Gabriel Madirolas , Alfonso Perez-Escudero , Gonzalo G. de Polavieja

The appreciation and utilisation of risk and uncertainty can play a key role in helping to solve some of the many ethical issues that are posed by AI. Understanding the uncertainties can allow algorithms to make better decisions by…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-08-14 Nicholas Gray

The theory of rational choice assumes that when people make decisions they do so in order to maximize their utility. In order to achieve this goal they ought to use all the information available and consider all the choices available to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-04-07 Tshilidzi Marwala

Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) research traditionally focuses on algorithms that optimize for specific goals under deterministic rules. Yet, human-like intelligence exhibits adaptive spontaneity - an ability to make unexpected…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Rahul Kabali

We suggest a model of a multi-agent society of decision makers taking decisions being based on two criteria, one is the utility of the prospects and the other is the attractiveness of the considered prospects. The model is the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-01-17 V. I. Yukalov , E. P. Yukalova , D. Sornette

Artificial Intelligence (AI) has been used extensively in automatic decision making in a broad variety of scenarios, ranging from credit ratings for loans to recommendations of movies. Traditional design guidelines for AI models focus…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-09-27 Marisa Vasconcelos , Carlos Cardonha , Bernardo Gonçalves

When collaborating with an AI system, we need to assess when to trust its recommendations. If we mistakenly trust it in regions where it is likely to err, catastrophic failures may occur, hence the need for Bayesian approaches for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Federico Cerutti , Lance M. Kaplan , Angelika Kimmig , Murat Sensoy

Algorithms of inference in a computer system oriented to input and semantic processing of text information are presented. Such inference is necessary for logical questions when the direct comparison of objects from a question and database…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2012-02-02 Yuriy Ostapov

We investigate how the choice of decision makers can be varied under the presence of risk and uncertainty. Our analysis is based on the approach we have previously applied to individual decision makers, which we now generalize to the case…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-09-03 V. I. Yukalov , D. Sornette

We investigate the applicability of the formalism of quantum mechanics to everyday life. It seems to be directly relevant for situations in which the very act of coming to a conclusion or decision on one issue affects one's confidence about…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-11-13 Steven Gratton

We present a novel task that measures how people generalize objects' causal powers based on observing a single (Experiment 1) or a few (Experiment 2) causal interactions between object pairs. We propose a computational modeling framework…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-11-25 Bonan Zhao , Christopher G. Lucas , Neil R. Bramley

Integrating theoretical neuroscience, decision theory, and probabilistic inference offers a promising route to understanding human cognition, yet concrete methodological bridges between agentic AI models and behavioral data analysis remain…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-01 Dirk Ostwald , Rasmus Bruckner , Franziska Usée , Belinda Fleischmann , Joram Soch , Sean Mulready

This paper proposes a statistical framework of using artificial intelligence to improve human decision making. The performance of each human decision maker is benchmarked against that of machine predictions. We replace the diagnoses made by…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-10 Kai Feng , Han Hong , Ke Tang , Jingyuan Wang

When making decisions under risk, people often exhibit behaviors that classical economic theories cannot explain. Newer models that attempt to account for these irrational behaviors often lack neuroscience bases and require the introduction…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-01-24 Ho Ka Chan , Taro Toyoizumi

Detection rules have traditionally been designed for rational agents that minimize the Bayes risk (average decision cost). With the advent of crowd-sensing systems, there is a need to redesign binary hypothesis testing rules for behavioral…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-10-07 V. Sriram Siddhardh Nadendla , Swastik Brahma , Pramod K. Varshney

We survey concepts at the frontier of research connecting artificial, animal and human cognition to computation and information processing---from the Turing test to Searle's Chinese Room argument, from Integrated Information Theory to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-12-25 Nicolas Gauvrit , Hector Zenil , Jesper Tegnér

Agent-based modelling is a powerful tool when simulating human systems, yet when human behaviour cannot be described by simple rules or maximising one's own profit, we quickly reach the limits of this methodology. Machine learning has the…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-01-21 Georg Jäger , Daniel Reisinger

This paper presents a framework for Quantum causal modeling based on the interpretation of causality as a relation between an observer's probability assignments to hypothetical or counterfactual experiments. The framework is based on the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-01-15 Jacques Pienaar

The review presents the basics of quantum decision theory, with the emphasis on temporary processes in decision making. The aim is to explain the principal points of the theory. The difference of an operationally testable rational choice…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-07-15 V. I. Yukalov

We describe a general approach to modeling rational decision-making agents who adopt either quantum or classical mechanics based on the Quantum Bayesian (QBist) approach to quantum theory. With the additional ingredient of a scheme by which…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-05-18 John B. DeBrota , Peter J. Love
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