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We develop a new probabilistic method for deriving deviation estimates in directed planar polymer and percolation models. The key estimates are for exit points of geodesics as they cross transversal down-right boundaries. These bounds are…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-30 Elnur Emrah , Christopher Janjigian , Timo Seppäläinen

We prove a limit theorem on the convergence of the distributions of the scaled last exit time over a slowly moving nonlinear boundary for a class of Gaussian stationary processes. The limit is a double exponential (Gumbel) distribution.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-01 Nikita Karagodin

Inspired by strict-monotonicity criteria for the time constant in first passage percolation, we investigate convex ordering of point processes in relation to the time constant in first contact percolation. In a nutshell, first contact…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Benedikt Jahnel , Jonas Köppl , Lukas Lüchtrath , Anh Duc Vu

We consider first-passage percolation on the edges of $\mathbb{Z}^2 \times k,$ namely the slab of width $k$. Each edge is assigned independently a passage time of either 0 (with probability $1-p_c(\mathbb{S}_k)$) or 1 ((with probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-16 Wei Wu , Serena Sian Yuan

We consider a branching Brownian motion in $\mathbb{R}^d$ with $d \geq 1$ in which the position $X_t^{(u)}\in \mathbb{R}^d$ of a particle $u$ at time $t$ can be encoded by its direction $\theta^{(u)}_t \in \mathbb{S}^{d-1}$ and its distance…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-01 Julien Berestycki , Yujin H. Kim , Eyal Lubetzky , Bastien Mallein , Ofer Zeitouni

We introduce and study a class of abstract continuous action minimization problems that generalize continuous first and last passage percolation. In this class of models a limit shape exists. Our main result provides a framework under which…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-17 Yuri Bakhtin , Douglas Dow

We prove a strong law of large numbers for directed last passage times in an independent but inhomogeneous exponential environment. Rates for the exponential random variables are obtained from a discretisation of a speed function that may…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-03 Federico Ciech , Nicos Georgiou

We prove that the extremal process of branching Brownian motion, in the limit of large times, converges weakly to a cluster point process. The limiting process is a (randomly shifted) Poisson cluster process, where the positions of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-14 Louis-Pierre Arguin , Anton Bovier , Nicola Kistler

This note establishes a universal directed landscape limit for last passage percolation models in an intermediate scaling regime. We find as a quick consequence the transversal fluctuations for geodesics taken near the axis. We extend the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Sam McKeown , Xinyi Zhang

We consider the cardinality of supercritical oriented bond percolation in two dimensions. We show that, whenever the origin is conditioned to percolate, the process appropriately normalized converges asymptotically in distribution to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-23 Achillefs Tzioufas

We study an interacting particle system in which moving particles activate dormant particles linked by the components of critical bond percolation. Addressing a conjecture from Beckman, Dinan, Durrett, Huo, and Junge for a continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Matthew Junge

We explore first-passage phenomenology for biased active processes with a renewal-type structure, focusing in particular on paradigmatic run-and-tumble models in both discrete and continuous state spaces. In general, we show there is no…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-09 Yonathan Sarmiento , Benjamin Walter , Debraj Das , Samvit Mahapatra , Édgar Roldán , Rosemary J. Harris

We study a version of first passage percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ where the random passage times on the edges are replaced by contact times represented by random closed sets on $\mathbb{R}$. Similarly to the contact process without…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Benedikt Jahnel , Lukas Lüchtrath , Anh Duc Vu

We show that only considering the largest cluster suffices to obtain a first-order percolation transition. As opposed to previous realizations of explosive percolation our models obtain Gaussian cluster distributions and compact clusters as…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-07-15 N. A. M. Araújo , H. J. Herrmann

A well-known question in planar first-passage percolation concerns the convergence of the empirical distribution of weights as seen along geodesics. We demonstrate this convergence for an explicit model, directed last-passage percolation on…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-17 James B. Martin , Allan Sly , Lingfu Zhang

We prove a conjecture of Lalley and Sellke [Ann. Probab. 15 (1987)] asserting that the empirical (time-averaged) distribution function of the maximum of branching Brownian motion converges almost surely to a double exponential, or Gumbel,…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-10 Louis-Pierre Arguin , Anton Bovier , Nicola Kistler

We study first-passage percolation where edges in the left and right half-planes are assigned values according to different distributions. We show that the asymptotic growth of the resulting inhomogeneous first-passage process obeys a shape…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-19 Daniel Ahlberg , Michael Damron , Vladas Sidoravicius

First passage percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^2$ is a model for describing the spread of an infection on the sites of the square lattice. The infection is spread via nearest neighbor sites and the time dynamic is specified by random passage…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-19 Sven Erick Alm , Maria Deijfen

We study first-passage percolation through related optimization problems over paths of restricted length. The path length variable is in duality with a shift of the weights. This puts into a convex duality framework old observations about…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-21 Arjun Krishnan , Firas Rassoul-Agha , Timo Seppäläinen

In this paper, we study the quasi-stationary behavior of the one-dimensional diffusion process with a regular or exit boundary at 0 and an entrance boundary at $\infty$. By using the Doob's $h$-transform, we show that the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-15 Guoman He , Hanjun Zhang