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We consider small-time asymptotics for diffusion processes conditioned by their initial and final positions, under the assumption that the diffusivity has a sub-Riemannian structure, not necessarily of constant rank. We show that, if the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-16 Ismael Bailleul , Laurent Mesnager , James Norris

We consider the limiting behavior of fluctuations of small noise diffusions with multiple scales around their homogenized deterministic limit. We allow full dependence of the coefficients on the slow and fast motion. These processes arise…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-20 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We prove that bridges of subelliptic diffusions on a compact manifold, with distinct ends, satisfy a large deviation principle in a space of Holder continuous functions, with a good rate function, when the travel time tends to 0. This leads…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-13 Ismael Bailleul

We study lower and upper bounds for the density of a diffusion process in ${\mathbb{R}}^n$ in a small (but not asymptotic) time, say $\delta$. We assume that the diffusion coefficients $\sigma_1,\ldots,\sigma_d$ may degenerate at the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-03 Vlad Bally , Lucia Caramellino , Paolo Pigato

We prove that if the Markov generator of a diffusion process satisfies the two step strong H\"ormander condition, the conditioned hypoelliptic bridge satisfies an integral bound and is a continuous semi-martingale.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-09 Xue-Mei Li

We consider the problem of simulating diffusion bridges, which are diffusion processes that are conditioned to initialize and terminate at two given states. The simulation of diffusion bridges has applications in diverse scientific fields…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-19 Jeremy Heng , Valentin De Bortoli , Arnaud Doucet , James Thornton

In this paper, we establish a relationship between the asymptotic form of conditional boundary crossing probabilities and first passage time densities for diffusion processes. Namely, we show that, under broad assumptions, the first…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-18 Konstantin A. Borovkov , Andrew N. Downes

The paper presents new simple sharp bounds for transition density functions for time-homogeneous diffusions processes. The bounds are obtained under mild conditions on the drift and diffusion coefficients, extending and substantially…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-08 Andrew N. Downes

Conditions on the generator of a Markov process to control the fluctuations of its bridges are found. In particular, continuous time random walks on graphs and gradient diffusions are considered. Under these conditions, a concentration of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-08 Giovanni Conforti

We consider triangular arrays of Markov chains that converge weakly to a diffusion process. Local limit theorems for transition densities are proved. The observation time [0,T] may be fixed or lim n T = 0, where nh = T and h is a mesh…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Valentin Konakov

An inductive procedure is developed to calculate the asymptotic behavior at time zero of a diffusion with polynomial drift and degenerate, additive noise. The procedure gives rise to two different rescalings of the process; namely, a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-17 Juraj Földes , David P. Herzog

We study the small-time fluctuations for diffusion processes which are conditioned by their initial and final positions, under the assumptions that the diffusivity has a sub-Riemannian structure and that the drift vector field lies in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-28 Karen Habermann

We provide Large Deviation estimates for the bridge of a $d$-dimensional general diffusion process as the conditioning time tends to $0$ and apply these results to the evaluation of the asymptotics of its exit time probabilities. We are…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-19 Paolo Baldi , Lucia Caramellino , Maurizia Rossi

Suppose $X$ is a multidimensional diffusion process. Assume that at time zero the state of $X$ is fully observed, but at time $T>0$ only linear combinations of its components are observed. That is, one only observes the vector $L X_T$ for a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Joris Bierkens , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer

Motivated by the polynuclear growth model, we consider a Brownian bridge b(t) with b(\pm T)=0 conditioned to stay above the semicircle c_T(t)=\sqrtT^2-t^2. In the limit of large T, the fluctuation scale of b(t)-c_T(t) is T^{1/3} and its…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Patrik L. Ferrari , Herbert Spohn

We consider triangular arrays of Markov chains that converge weakly to a diffusion process. Second order Edgeworth type expansions for transition densities are proved. The paper differs from recent results in two respects. We allow…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Valentin Konakov , Enno Mammen

Simulation of conditioned diffusion processes is an essential tool in inference for stochastic processes, data imputation, generative modelling, and geometric statistics. Whilst simulating diffusion bridge processes is already difficult on…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-24 Erlend Grong , Karen Habermann , Stefan Sommer

This paper investigates a diffusion process in a narrow tubular domain with reflecting boundary conditions, where the geometry serves as a singular perturbation of an underlying graph in $\mathbb{R}^2$ or $\mathbb{R}^3$. The construction…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-04 Wen-Tai Hsu

We present a detailed study of the evolution of the number of connected components in sub-critical multiplicative random graph processes. We consider a model where edges appear independently after an exponential time at rate equal to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Josué Corujo

We consider the asymptotic behavior of the KPZ fixed point $\{\mathsf H(x,t)\}_{x\in\mathbb R, t>0}$ conditioned on $\mathsf H(0,T)=L$ as $L$ goes to infinity. The main result is a conditional limit theorem for the fluctuations of $\mathsf…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-12 Zhipeng Liu , Yizao Wang
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