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This paper investigates the cross-correlations across multiple climate model errors. We build a Bayesian hierarchical model that accounts for the spatial dependence of individual models as well as cross-covariances across different climate…

Applications · Statistics 2012-03-02 Huiyan Sang , Mikyoung Jun , Jianhua Z. Huang

Profile likelihoods are rarely used in geostatistical models due to the computational burden imposed by repeated decompositions of large variance matrices. Accounting for uncertainty in covariance parameters can be highly consequential in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-04 Ruoyong Xu , Patrick Brown

We introduce a flexible and scalable class of Bayesian geostatistical models for discrete data, based on the class of nearest neighbor mixture transition distribution processes (NNMP), referred to as discrete NNMP. The proposed class…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-04 Xiaotian Zheng , Athanasios Kottas , Bruno Sansó

We introduce a class of proper scoring rules for evaluating spatial point process forecasts based on summary statistics. These scoring rules rely on Monte-Carlo approximations of expectations and can therefore easily be evaluated for any…

In applications of Gaussian processes where quantification of uncertainty is a strict requirement, it is necessary to accurately characterize the posterior distribution over Gaussian process covariance parameters. Normally, this is done by…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-01 Xiaoyu Xiong , Václav Šmídl , Maurizio Filippone

Phase-field methods offer a versatile computational framework for simulating large-scale morphological evolution. However, the applicability and predictability of phase-field models are inherently limited by their ad hoc nature, and there…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-10-30 Jaehyeok Jin , David R. Reichman

In real-world scenario, many phenomena produce a collection of events that occur in continuous time. Point Processes provide a natural mathematical framework for modeling these sequences of events. In this survey, we investigate…

We develop a stochastic modeling approach based on spatial point processes of log-Gaussian Cox type for a collection of around 5000 landslide events provoked by a precipitation trigger in Sicily, Italy. Through the embedding into a…

Applications · Statistics 2017-08-11 Luigi Lombardo , Thomas Opitz , Raphael Huser

Due to the availability of large molecular data-sets, covariance models are increasingly used to describe the structure of genetic variation as an alternative to more heavily parametrised biological models. We focus here on a class of…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-16 Gilles Guillot , René Schilling , Emilio Porcu , Moreno Bevilacqua

Many modern spatial models express the stochastic variation component as a basis expansion with random coefficients. Low rank models, approximate spectral decompositions, multiresolution representations, stochastic partial differential…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-20 Mitchell Krock , William Kleiber , Stephen Becker

A prevalent feature of high-dimensional data is the dependence among covariates, and model selection is known to be challenging when covariates are highly correlated. To perform model selection for the high-dimensional Cox proportional…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-04 Pierre Bayle , Jianqing Fan

We study how sampling geometry contributes to uncertainty in modeling spatial geophysical observations as sampled random fields characterized by stationary, isotropic, parametric covariance functions. We incorporate the signature of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Olivia L. Walbert , Frederik J. Simons , Arthur P. Guillaumin , Sofia C. Olhede

Active learning is proposed for selection of the next operating points in the design of experiments, for identifying linear parameter-varying systems. We extend existing approaches found in literature to multiple-input multiple-output…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-05 Robert Chin , Alejandro I. Maass , Nalika Ulapane , Chris Manzie , Iman Shames , Dragan Nešić , Jonathan E. Rowe , Hayato Nakada

We introduce a broad class of models called semiparametric spatial point process for making inference between spatial point patterns and spatial covariates. These models feature an intensity function with both parametric and nonparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-24 Xindi Lin , Bumjun Park , Christopher Zahasky , Hyunseung Kang

Regression trees and random forests are popular and effective non-parametric estimators in practical applications. A recent paper by Athey and Wager shows that the random forest estimate at any point is asymptotically Gaussian; in this…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-02 Kevin Li

Multivariate peaks over thresholds modeling based on generalized Pareto distributions has up to now only been used in few and mostly 2-dimensional situations. This paper contributes theoretical understanding, physically based models,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-04 Holger Rootzén , Johan Segers , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

A spatial point pattern is called anisotropic if its spatial structure depends on direction. Several methods for anisotropy analysis have been introduced in the literature. In this paper, we give an overview of nonparametric methods for…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-01 Tuomas Rajala , Claudia Redenbach , Aila Särkkä , Martina Sormani

Data on count processes arise in a variety of applications, including longitudinal, spatial and imaging studies measuring count responses. The literature on statistical models for dependent count data is dominated by models built from…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-08 Antonio Canale , David B. Dunson

We will consider multivariate stochastic processes indexed either by vertices or pairs of vertices of a dynamic network. Under a dynamic network we understand a network with a fixed vertex set and an edge set which changes randomly over…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-15 Alexander Kreiss

The paper introduces a generalization for known probabilistic models such as log-linear and graphical models, called here multiplicative models. These models, that express probabilities via product of parameters are shown to capture…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Ydo Wexler , Christopher Meek