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We consider the problem of detecting deviations from a white noise assumption in time series. Our approach differs from the numerous methods proposed for this purpose with respect to two aspects. First, we allow for non-stationary time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Patrick Bastian

A new portmanteau test statistic is proposed for detecting nonlinearity in time series data. In this paper, we elaborate on the Toeplitz autocorrelation matrix to the autocorrelation and cross-correlation of residuals and squared residuals…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-01 Esam Mahdi , Thomas J. Fisher

We develop and implement a novel fast bootstrap for dependent data. Our scheme is based on the i.i.d. resampling of the smoothed moment indicators. We characterize the class of parametric and semi-parametric estimation problems for which…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-19 Davide La Vecchia , Alban Moor , Olivier Scaillet

We consider model-free monitoring procedures for strict stationarity of a given time series. The new criteria are formulated as L2-type statistics incorporating the empirical characteristic function. Asymptotic as well as Monte Carlo…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-10 Sangyeol Lee , Simos G. Meintanis , Charl Pretorius

This study develops an asymptotic theory for estimating the time-varying characteristics of locally stationary functional time series (LSFTS). We investigate a kernel-based method to estimate the time-varying covariance operator and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-23 Daisuke Kurisu

Spatio-temporal covariances are important for describing the spatio-temporal variability of underlying random processes in geostatistical data. For second-order stationary processes, there exist subclasses of covariance functions that…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-05 Huang Huang , Ying Sun

This paper is devoted to testing for the explosive bubble under time-varying non-stationary volatility. Because the limiting distribution of the seminal Phillips et al. (2011) test depends on the variance function and usually requires a…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-16 Eiji Kurozumi , Anton Skrobotov , Alexey Tsarev

A class of tests for change-point detection designed to be particularly sensitive to changes in the cross-sectional rank correlation of multivariate time series is proposed. The derived procedures are based on several multivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-27 Ivan Kojadinovic , Jean-François Quessy , Tom Rohmer

We assume a second-order source separation model where the observed multivariate time series is a linear mixture of latent, temporally uncorrelated time series with some components pure white noise. To avoid the modelling of noise, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-07 Markus Matilainen , Klaus Nordhausen , Joni Virta

We propose a bootstrap-based test to detect a mean shift in a sequence of high-dimensional observations with unknown time-varying heteroscedasticity. The proposed test builds on the U-statistic based approach in Wang et al. (2022), targets…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-17 Teng Wu , Stanislav Volgushev , Xiaofeng Shao

Stationarity is a very general, qualitative assumption, that can be assessed on the basis of application specifics. It is thus a rather attractive assumption to base statistical analysis on, especially for problems for which less general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-02 Daniil Ryabko

We consider the problem of testing the stationarity and isotropy of a spatial point pattern based on the concept of local spectra. Using a logarithmic transformation, the mechanism of the proposed test is approximately identical to a simple…

Applications · Statistics 2017-01-31 Azam Saadatjouy , Ali R. Taheriyoun , Mohammad Q. Vahidi-Asl

Variational inference is a general approach for approximating complex density functions, such as those arising in latent variable models, popular in machine learning. It has been applied to approximate the maximum likelihood estimator and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-19 Yen-Chi Chen , Y. Samuel Wang , Elena A. Erosheva

We study a $U(1)\times U(1)$ system in (2+1)-dimensions with long-range interactions and mutual statistics. The model has the same form after the application of operations from the modular group, a property which we call modular invariance.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-30 Scott D. Geraedts , Olexei I. Motrunich

The literature on time series of functional data has focused on processes of which the probabilistic law is either constant over time or constant up to its second-order structure. Especially for long stretches of data it is desirable to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-21 Anne van Delft , Michael Eichler

In this paper we propose statistical inference tools for the covariance operators of functional time series in the two sample and change point problem. In contrast to most of the literature the focus of our approach is not testing the null…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-15 Holger Dette , Kevin Kokot

Many statistical applications require the quantification of joint dependence among more than two random vectors. In this work, we generalize the notion of distance covariance to quantify joint dependence among d >= 2 random vectors. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-18 Shubhadeep Chakraborty , Xianyang Zhang

An important issue in functional time series analysis is whether an observed series comes from a purely random process. We extend the BDS test, a widely-used nonlinear independence test, to the functional time series. Like the BDS test in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-05 Xin Huang , Han Lin Shang , Tak Kuen Siu

The problem of constructing a simultaneous confidence surface for the 2-dimensional mean function of a non-stationary functional time series is challenging as these bands can not be built on classical limit theory for the maximum absolute…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-27 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu

We propose nonparametric open-end sequential testing procedures that can detect all types of changes in the contemporary distribution function of possibly multivariate observations. Their asymptotic properties are theoretically investigated…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-15 Mark Holmes , Ivan Kojadinovic , Alex Verhoijsen