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In model-based learning, an agent's model is commonly defined over transitions between consecutive states of an environment even though planning often requires reasoning over multi-step timescales, with intermediate states either…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-06 Alexey Zakharov , Matthew Crosby , Zafeirios Fountas

Modeling multivariate time series as temporal signals over a (possibly dynamic) graph is an effective representational framework that allows for developing models for time series analysis. In fact, discrete sequences of graphs can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Ivan Marisca , Andrea Cini , Cesare Alippi

We study anomaly detection and introduce an algorithm that processes variable length, irregularly sampled sequences or sequences with missing values. Our algorithm is fully unsupervised, however, can be readily extended to supervised or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-26 Oguzhan Karaahmetoglu , Fatih Ilhan , Ismail Balaban , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

Complex and nonlinear dynamical systems often involve parameters that change with time, accurate tracking of which is essential to tasks such as state estimation, prediction, and control. Existing machine-learning methods require full state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Zheng-Meng Zhai , Mohammadamin Moradi , Bryan Glaz , Mulugeta Haile , Ying-Cheng Lai

This paper addresses the problem of detecting and characterizing local variability in time series and other forms of sequential data. The goal is to identify and characterize statistically significant variations, at the same time…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-05 Jeffrey D. Scargle , Jay P. Norris , Brad Jackson , James Chiang

With nonignorable missing data, likelihood-based inference should be based on the joint distribution of the study variables and their missingness indicators. These joint models cannot be estimated from the data alone, thus requiring the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-06 Mauricio Sadinle , Jerome P. Reiter

Predictors are learned using past training data which may contain features that are unavailable at the time of prediction. We develop an approach that is robust against outlying missing features, based on the optimality properties of an…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-15 Xiuming Liu , Dave Zachariah , Petre Stoica

Anomaly detection is the task of detecting data which differs from the normal behaviour of a system in a given context. In order to approach this problem, data-driven models can be learned to predict current or future observations.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-30 Benedikt Eiteneuer , Oliver Niggemann

This paper considers the problem of learning, from samples, the dependency structure of a system of linear stochastic differential equations, when some of the variables are latent. In particular, we observe the time evolution of some…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-05-02 Ali Jalali , Sujay Sanghavi

We study the problem of system identification for stochastic continuous-time dynamics, based on a single finite-length state trajectory. We present a method for estimating the possibly unstable open-loop matrix by employing properly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Reza Sadeghi Hafshejani , Mohamad Kazem Shirani Fradonbeh

We present a deep neural network for a model-free prediction of a chaotic dynamical system from noisy observations. The proposed deep learning model aims to predict the conditional probability distribution of a state variable. The Long…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-05 Kyongmin Yeo

Topology learning of networked dynamical systems is an important problem with implications to optimal control, decision-making over networks, cybersecurity and safety. The majority of prior work in consistent topology estimation relies on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-15 Harish Doddi , Deepjyoti Deka , Murti Salapaka

We consider asymptotic problems in spectral analysis of stationary causal processes. Limiting distributions of periodograms and smoothed periodogram spectral density estimates are obtained and applications to the spectral domain bootstrap…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Xiaofeng Shao , Wei Biao Wu

The ability to accurately predict the surrounding environment is a foundational principle of intelligence in biological and artificial agents. In recent years, a variety of approaches have been proposed for learning to predict the physical…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-08-01 Alberto Cenzato , Alberto Testolin , Marco Zorzi

Probabilistic forecasting of multivariate time series is essential for various downstream tasks. Most existing approaches rely on the sequences being uniformly spaced and aligned across all variables. However, real-world multivariate time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Yijun Li , Cheuk Hang Leung , Qi Wu

Cyber-physical systems of today are generating large volumes of time-series data. As manual inspection of such data is not tractable, the need for learning methods to help discover logical structure in the data has increased. We propose a…

Learning a graph from data is the key to taking advantage of graph signal processing tools. Most of the conventional algorithms for graph learning require complete data statistics, which might not be available in some scenarios. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Amirhossein Javaheri , Arash Amini , Farokh Marvasti , Daniel P. Palomar

Learning large scale nonlinear ordinary differential equation (ODE) systems from data is known to be computationally and statistically challenging. We present a framework together with the adaptive integral matching (AIM) algorithm for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-27 Frederik Vissing Mikkelsen , Niels Richard Hansen

Interpretable classification of time series presents significant challenges in high dimensions. Traditional feature selection methods in the frequency domain often assume sparsity in spectral density matrices (SDMs) or their inverses, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-19 Sarbojit Roy , Malik Shahid Sultan , Hernando Ombao

Time series classification(TSC) has always been an important and challenging research task. With the wide application of deep learning, more and more researchers use deep learning models to solve TSC problems. Since time series always…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-27 Shibo Zhou , Yu Pan