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Learning individual-level causal effects from observational data, such as inferring the most effective medication for a specific patient, is a problem of growing importance for policy makers. The most important aspect of inferring causal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-07 Christos Louizos , Uri Shalit , Joris Mooij , David Sontag , Richard Zemel , Max Welling

Estimating causal effects from observational data is challenging, especially in the presence of latent confounders. Much work has been done on addressing this challenge, but most of the existing research ignores the bias introduced by the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-15 Yang Xie , Ziqi Xu , Debo Cheng , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Yinghao Zhang , Zaiwen Feng

Using deep latent variable models in causal inference has attracted considerable interest recently, but an essential open question is their ability to yield consistent causal estimates. While they have demonstrated promising results and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-25 Severi Rissanen , Pekka Marttinen

Estimating causal effects from observational data (at either an individual -- or a population -- level) is critical for making many types of decisions. One approach to address this task is to learn decomposed representations of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-15 Negar Hassanpour , Russell Greiner

Learning precise representations of users and items to fit observed interaction data is the fundamental task of collaborative filtering. Existing studies usually infer entangled representations to fit such interaction data, neglecting to…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-01-11 Zhiqiang Guo , Guohui Li , Jianjun Li , Chaoyang Wang , Si Shi

As an important problem in causal inference, we discuss the estimation of treatment effects (TEs). Representing the confounder as a latent variable, we propose Intact-VAE, a new variant of variational autoencoder (VAE), motivated by the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-22 Pengzhou Wu , Kenji Fukumizu

Variational autoencoders are powerful algorithms for identifying dominant latent structure in a single dataset. In many applications, however, we are interested in modeling latent structure and variation that are enriched in a target…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-14 Abubakar Abid , James Zou

Accurately estimating treatment effects over time is crucial in fields such as precision medicine, epidemiology, economics, and marketing. Many current methods for estimating treatment effects over time assume that all confounders are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-11 Mouad El Bouchattaoui , Myriam Tami , Benoit Lepetit , Paul-Henry Cournède

Inferring causal effects of a treatment, intervention or policy from observational data is central to many applications. However, state-of-the-art methods for causal inference seldom consider the possibility that covariates have missing…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-26 Imke Mayer , Julie Josse , Félix Raimundo , Jean-Philippe Vert

Domain adaptation and covariate shift are big issues in deep learning and they ultimately affect any causal inference algorithms that rely on deep neural networks. Causal effect variational autoencoder (CEVAE) is trained to predict the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-22 Daniel Jiwoong Im , Kyunghyun Cho , Narges Razavian

With the introduction of the variational autoencoder (VAE), probabilistic latent variable models have received renewed attention as powerful generative models. However, their performance in terms of test likelihood and quality of generated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-13 Lars Maaløe , Marco Fraccaro , Valentin Liévin , Ole Winther

Learning disentanglement aims at finding a low dimensional representation which consists of multiple explanatory and generative factors of the observational data. The framework of variational autoencoder (VAE) is commonly used to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-20 Mengyue Yang , Furui Liu , Zhitang Chen , Xinwei Shen , Jianye Hao , Jun Wang

Variational Autoencoders (VAE) are widely used for dimensionality reduction of large-scale tabular and image datasets, under the assumption of independence between data observations. In practice, however, datasets are often correlated, with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-25 Giora Simchoni , Saharon Rosset

Predicting customers' long-term revenue from sparse and irregular transaction data is central to marketing resource allocation in non-contractual settings, yet existing approaches face a trade-off. Traditional probabilistic customer base…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-27 Jeffrey Näf , Riana Valera Mbelson , Markus Meierer

Estimating direct and indirect causal effects from observational data is crucial to understanding the causal mechanisms and predicting the behaviour under different interventions. Causal mediation analysis is a method that is often used to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Ziqi Xu , Debo Cheng , Jiuyong Li , Jixue Liu , Lin Liu , Ke Wang

NOTE: This preprint has a flawed theoretical formulation. Please avoid it and refer to the ICLR22 publication https://openreview.net/forum?id=q7n2RngwOM. Also, arXiv:2109.15062 contains some new ideas on unobserved Confounding. As an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-22 Pengzhou Wu , Kenji Fukumizu

As an important problem in causal inference, we discuss the identification and estimation of treatment effects (TEs) under limited overlap; that is, when subjects with certain features belong to a single treatment group. We use a latent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-22 Pengzhou Wu , Kenji Fukumizu

Convenient access to observational data enables us to learn causal effects without randomized experiments. This research direction draws increasing attention in research areas such as economics, healthcare, and education. For example, we…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-12-03 Ruocheng Guo , Jundong Li , Huan Liu

Recommendation models are typically trained on observational user interaction data, but the interactions between latent factors in users' decision-making processes lead to complex and entangled data. Disentangling these latent factors to…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-04-18 Siyu Wang , Xiaocong Chen , Quan Z. Sheng , Yihong Zhang , Lina Yao

The task of causal representation learning aims to uncover latent higher-level causal variables that affect lower-level observations. Identifying the true latent causal variables from observed data, while allowing instantaneous causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Yuhang Liu , Zhen Zhang , Dong Gong , Mingming Gong , Biwei Huang , Anton van den Hengel , Kun Zhang , Javen Qinfeng Shi
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