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We consider the problem of change-point detection in multivariate time-series. The multivariate distribution of the observations is supposed to follow a graphical model, whose graph and parameters are affected by abrupt changes throughout…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-20 Loïc Schwaller , Stéphane Robin

This paper extends the study of fringe trees in random plane trees with a given degree statistic. While previous work established the asymptotic normality of the count of fringe trees isomorphic to a fixed tree, we investigate the case…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Gabriel Berzunza Ojeda , Cecilia Holmgren , Svante Janson

Analytical results are presented for the structure of networks that evolve via a preferential-attachment-random-deletion (PARD) model in the regime of overall network growth and in the regime of overall contraction. The phase transition…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-13 Barak Budnick , Ofer Biham , Eytan Katzav

We generalize the poissonian evolving random graph model of Bauer and Bernard to deal with arbitrary degree distributions. The motivation comes from biological networks, which are well-known to exhibit non poissonian degree distribution. A…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Stephane Coulomb , Michel Bauer

This work introduces a construction of conformal processes that combines the theory of branching processes with chordal Loewner evolution. The main novelty lies in the choice of driving measure for the Loewner evolution: given a finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Vivian Olsiewski Healey , Govind Menon

In this paper we consider two continuous-mass population models as analogues of logistic branching random walks, one is supported on a finite trait space and the other one is supported on an infinite trait space. For the first model with…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-18 Anton Bovier , Shi-Dong Wang

A fluctuation theorem is examined for the first-passage time of a biomolecular machine (e.g., a motor protein or an enzyme) in a nonequilibrium steady-state. For such machines in which the driven, observable process is coupled to a hidden…

Biological Physics · Physics 2025-09-15 D. Evan Piephoff , Jianshu Cao

We study the performance of a stochastic algorithm based on the power method that adaptively learns the large deviation functions characterizing the fluctuations of additive functionals of Markov processes, used in physics to model…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-30 Francesco Coghi , Hugo Touchette

We study the problem of change point localisation and inference for sequentially collected fragmented functional data, where each curve is observed only over discrete grids randomly sampled over a short fragment. The sequence of underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-10 Gengyu Xue , Haotian Xu , Yi Yu

We consider an evolving preferential attachment random graph model where at discrete times a new node is attached to an old node, selected with probability proportional to a superlinear function of its degree. For such schemes, it is known…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-20 Sunder Sethuraman , Shankar C. Venkataramani

The depth-weighted tree DWT($f$) with weight function $f:\{0,1,2,\ldots\}\to (0,\infty)$ is a dynamic random tree grown from a root $r$ where vertices arrive consecutively and every new vertex attaches to a parent $u$ with probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-18 Lyuben Lichev , Amitai Linker , Bas Lodewijks , Dieter Mitsche

We address the problem of finding influential training samples for a particular case of tree ensemble-based models, e.g., Random Forest (RF) or Gradient Boosted Decision Trees (GBDT). A natural way of formalizing this problem is studying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-14 Boris Sharchilev , Yury Ustinovsky , Pavel Serdyukov , Maarten de Rijke

We study a model of growing planar tree graphs where in each time step we separate the tree into two components by splitting a vertex and then connect the two pieces by inserting a new link between the daughter vertices. This model…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Francois David , Mark Dukes , Thordur Jonsson , Sigurdur Orn Stefansson

We study a special case of the vertex splitting model which is a recent model of randomly growing trees. For any finite maximum vertex degree $D$, we find a one parameter model, with parameter $\alpha \in [0,1]$ which has a so--called…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-01 Sigurdur Orn Stefansson

Many existing interpretation methods are based on Partial Dependence (PD) functions that, for a pre-trained machine learning model, capture how a subset of the features affects the predictions by averaging over the remaining features.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Jinyang Liu , Tessa Steensgaard , Marvin N. Wright , Niklas Pfister , Munir Hiabu

This paper concerns about the limiting distributions of change point estimators, in a high-dimensional linear regression time series context, where a regression object $(y_t, X_t) \in \mathbb{R} \times \mathbb{R}^p$ is observed at every…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-03 Haotian Xu , Daren Wang , Zifeng Zhao , Yi Yu

We investigate the limiting behavior of random tree growth in preferential attachment models. The tree stems from a root, and we add vertices to the system one-by-one at random, according to a rule which depends on the degree distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-21 Anna Rudas , Imre Péter Tóth

We introduce regenerative tree growth processes as consistent families of random trees with n labelled leaves, n>=1, with a regenerative property at branch points. This framework includes growth processes for exchangeably labelled Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-30 Jim Pitman , Douglas Rizzolo , Matthias Winkel

The evolution of two species with different fitness is investigated on degree-heterogeneous graphs. The population evolves either by one individual dying and being replaced by the offspring of a random neighbor (voter model (VM) dynamics)…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 T. Antal , S. Redner , V. Sood

In this study we introduce and analyze the statistical structural properties of a model of growing networks which may be relevant to social networks. At each step a new node is added which selects 'k' possible partners from the existing…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Laszlo Zalanyi , Gabor Csardi , Tamas Kiss , Mate Lengyel , Rebecca Warner , Jan Tobochnik , Peter Erdi