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Related papers: CaliCo: a R package for Bayesian calibration

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When probability predictions are too cautious for decision making, boldness-recalibration enables responsible emboldening while maintaining the probability of calibration required by the user. We formulate boldness-recalibration as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-21 Adeline P. Guthrie , Christopher T. Franck

To harness the full benefit of new computing platforms, it is necessary to develop software with parallel computing capabilities. This is no less true for statisticians than for astrophysicists. The R programming language, which is perhaps…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-08 George Ostrouchov , Wei-Chen Chen , Drew Schmidt

Multilevel compositional data, such as data sampled over time that are non-negative and sum to a constant value, are common in various fields. However, there is currently no software specifically built to model compositional data in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-23 Flora Le , Dorothea Dumuid , Tyman E. Stanford , Joshua F. Wiley

There are many practical difficulties in the calibration of computer models to experimental data. One such complication is the fact that certain combinations of the calibration inputs can cause the code to output data lacking fundamental…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-16 Peter W. Marcy , Curtis B. Storlie

When computer codes are used for modeling complex physical systems, their unknown parameters are tuned by calibration techniques. A discrepancy function may be added to the computer code in order to capture its discrepancy with the real…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-11 Kaniav Kamary , Merlin Keller , Pierre Barbillon , Cédric Gœury , Éric Parent

A new recalibration post-processing method is presented to improve the quality of the posterior approximation when using Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) algorithms. Recalibration may be used in conjunction with existing…

Computation · Statistics 2017-04-24 G. S. Rodrigues , D. Prangle , S. A. Sisson

This article introduces GuessCompx which is an R package that performs an empirical estimation on the time and memory complexities of an algorithm or a function. It tests multiple increasing-sizes samples of the user's data and attempts to…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-10-22 Marc Agenis-Nevers , Neeraj Dhanraj Bokde , Zaher Mundher Yaseen , Mayur Shende

Research in psychology generates interesting data sets and unique statistical modelling tasks. However, these tasks, while important, are often very specific, so appropriate statistical models and methods cannot be found in accessible…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-04 Jure Demšar , Grega Repovš , Erik Štrumbelj

In the recent literature on machine learning and decision making, calibration has emerged as a desirable and widely-studied statistical property of the outputs of binary prediction models. However, the algorithmic aspects of measuring model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Lunjia Hu , Arun Jambulapati , Kevin Tian , Chutong Yang

Numerical simulations are widely used to predict the behavior of physical systems, with Bayesian approaches being particularly well suited for this purpose. However, experimental observations are necessary to calibrate certain simulator…

The rapid development of modern technology facilitates the appearance of numerous unprecedented complex data which do not satisfy the axioms of Euclidean geometry, while most of the statistical hypothesis tests are available in Euclidean or…

Computation · Statistics 2023-10-24 Jin Zhu , Wenliang Pan , Wei Zheng , Xueqin Wang

We present the BayesBD package providing Bayesian inference for boundaries of noisy images. The BayesBD package implements flexible Gaussian process priors indexed by the circle to recover the boundary in a binary or Gaussian noised image,…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-23 Nicholas Syring , Meng Li

Bayesian calibration of computer models tunes unknown input parameters by comparing outputs with observations. For model outputs that are distributed over space, this becomes computationally expensive because of the output size. To overcome…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-05 Kai-Lan Chang , Serge Guillas

The capability of R to do symbolic mathematics is enhanced by the caracas package. This package uses the Python computer algebra library SymPy as a back-end but caracas is tightly integrated in the R environment. This enables the R user…

Applications · Statistics 2023-08-22 Mikkel Meyer Andersen , Søren Højsgaard

A computer model can be used for predicting an output only after specifying the values of some unknown physical constants known as calibration parameters. The unknown calibration parameters can be estimated from real data by conducting…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-18 Arvind Krishna , V. Roshan Joseph , Shan Ba , William A. Brenneman , William R. Myers

Calibration parameters in deterministic computer experiments are those attributes that cannot be measured or available in physical experiments. Kennedy and O'Hagan \cite{kennedy2001bayesian} suggested an approach to estimate them by using…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-31 Rui Tuo , C. F. Jeff Wu

Compute and memory constraints have historically prevented traffic simulation software users from fully utilizing the predictive models underlying them. When calibrating car-following models, particularly, accommodations have included 1)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-08 Franklin Abodo , Andrew Berthaume , Stephen Zitzow-Childs , Leonardo Bobadilla

Measurement error and missing data in variables used in statistical models are common, and can at worst lead to serious biases in analyses if they are ignored. Yet, these problems are often not dealt with adequately, presumably in part…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-13 Emma Skarstein , Stefanie Muff

Verifying the correctness of Bayesian computation is challenging. This is especially true for complex models that are common in practice, as these require sophisticated model implementations and algorithms. In this paper we introduce…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-22 Sean Talts , Michael Betancourt , Daniel Simpson , Aki Vehtari , Andrew Gelman

The R package walker extends standard Bayesian general linear models to the case where the effects of the explanatory variables can vary in time. This allows, for example, to model the effects of interventions such as changes in tax policy…

Computation · Statistics 2022-04-13 Jouni Helske