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Fully Bayesian Unfolding differs from other unfolding methods by providing the full posterior probability of unfolded spectra for each bin. We extended the method for the feature of regularization which could be helpful for unfolding…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-01-17 Petr Baron

This article proposes an efficient Bayesian inference for piecewise exponential hazard (PEH) models, which allow the effect of a covariate on the survival time to vary over time. The proposed inference methodology is based on a particle…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-01 Parfait Munezero

The design of reliable indicators to anticipate critical transitions in complex systems is an im portant task in order to detect a coming sudden regime shift and to take action in order to either prevent it or mitigate its consequences. We…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-12-14 Martin Heßler , Oliver Kamps

In this paper the Bayesian analysis is applied to assign a probability density to the value of a quantity having a definite sign. This analysis is logically consistent with the results, positive or negative, of repeated measurements.…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-11-13 D Calonico , F Levi , L Lorini , G Mana

In this work, we propose a method for efficient learning of a multi-dimensional function. This method combines the Bayesian neural networks and the query-by-committee method. A committee made of deep Bayesian neural networks not only can…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-11-13 Li Chen , Xiao Liang , Hui Zhai

We develop an empirical Bayes procedure for estimating the cell means in an unbalanced, two-way additive model with fixed effects. We employ a hierarchical model, which reflects exchangeability of the effects within treatment and within…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-30 Lawrence D. Brown , Gourab Mukherjee , Asaf Weinstein

Bayesian methods have been very successful in quantifying uncertainty in physics-based problems in parameter estimation and prediction. In these cases, physical measurements y are modeled as the best fit of a physics-based model…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-02-06 Dave Higdon , Jordan D. McDonnell , Nicolas Schunck , Jason Sarich , Stefan M. Wild

We propose a Bayesian evidence-based inference framework based on relative belief ratios and apply it to discriminating between one and two incoherent optical point sources using spatial-mode demultiplexing (SPADE). Unlike the Helstrom…

A sufficient condition for entanglement in two-mode continuous systems is constructed based on interference visibility and the uncertainty of the total particle number. The observables to be measured (particle numbers and particle number…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Geza Toth , Christoph Simon , Juan Ignacio Cirac

The choice of unfolding method for a cross-section measurement is tightly coupled to the model dependence of the efficiency correction and the overall impact of cross-section modeling uncertainties in the analysis. A key issue is the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-07-14 Roger G. Huang , Andrew Cudd , Masaki Kawaue , Tatsuya Kikawa , Benjamin Nachman , Vinicius Mikuni , Callum Wilkinson

A Bayesian nonparametric method for unimodal densities on the real line is provided by considering a class of species sampling mixture models containing random densities that are unimodal and not necessarily symmetric. This class of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Man-Wai Ho

A method to interpret probe spectra of driven degenerate atomic systems is discussed. The dressed-atom multiphoton spectroscopy (DAMS) is based on a dressing of the atomic system with the strong coupling field, followed by a perturbative…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-05-19 H. -S. Chou , J. Evers

We propose a Bayesian inference framework to estimate uncertainties in inverse scattering problems. Given the observed data, the forward model and their uncertainties, we find the posterior distribution over a finite parameter field…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-17 Ana Carpio , Sergei Iakunin , Georg Stadler

Fitting the multi-wavelength spectral energy distributions (SEDs) of galaxies is a widely used technique to extract information about the physical properties of galaxies. However, a major difficulty lies in the numerous uncertainties…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2020-06-17 Yunkun Han , Zhanwen Han , Lulu Fan

This paper presents a Bayesian method for identification of jump Markov linear system parameters. A primary motivation is to provide accurate quantification of parameter uncertainty without relying on asymptotic in data-length arguments. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-11 Mark P. Balenzuela , Adrian G. Wills , Christopher Renton , Brett Ninness

Bayesian inference provides a principled way of estimating the parameters of a stochastic process that is observed discretely in time. The overdamped Brownian motion of a particle confined in an optical trap is generally modelled by the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-02-01 Sudipta Bera , Shuvojit Paul , Rajesh Singh , Dipanjan Ghosh , Avijit Kundu , Ayan Banerjee , R. Adhikari

Exoplanet research is carried out at the limits of the capabilities of current telescopes and instruments. The studied signals are weak, and often embedded in complex systematics from instrumental, telluric, and astrophysical sources.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-02-06 Hannu Parviainen

A Bayesian probability based approach is applied to the problem of detecting and parameterizing oscillations in the upper solar atmosphere for the first time. Due to its statistical origin, this method provides a mechanism for determining…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-12-18 M. S. Marsh , J. Ireland , T. Kucera

Rigorously quantifying the information in high contrast imaging data is important for informing follow-up strategies to confirm the substellar nature of a point source, constraining theoretical models of planet-disk interactions, and…

These lecture notes highlight the mathematical and computational structure relating to the formulation of, and development of algorithms for, the Bayesian approach to inverse problems in differential equations. This approach is fundamental…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-03 Masoumeh Dashti , Andrew M. Stuart