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This paper proposes a new type of recurrence where we divide the Markov chains into intervals that start when the chain enters into a subset A, then sample another subset B far away from A and end when the chain again return to A. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-24 Lars Holden

Hypothesis testing in singular statistical models is often regarded as inherently problematic due to non-identifiability and degeneracy of the Fisher information. We show that the fundamental obstruction to testing in such models is not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-02 Sean Plummer

Independence testing is a fundamental problem in statistical inference: given samples from a joint distribution $p$ over multiple random variables, the goal is to determine whether $p$ is a product distribution or is $\epsilon$-far from all…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-06 Maryam Aliakbarpour , Alireza Azizi , Ria Stevens

The conventional perspective on Markov chains considers decision problems concerning the probabilities of temporal properties being satisfied by traces of visited states. However, consider the following query made of a stochastic system…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Rajab Aghamov , Christel Baier , Toghrul Karimov , Joris Nieuwveld , Joël Ouaknine , Jakob Piribauer , Mihir Vahanwala

Motivated by applications in telecommunications, computer scienceand physics, we consider a discrete-time Markov process withrestart. At each step the process eitherwith a positive probability restarts from a given distribution, orwith the…

Performance · Computer Science 2017-03-13 Konstantin Avrachenkov , Alexey Piunovskiy , Yi Zhang

High-dimensional auto-regressive models provide a natural way to model influence between $M$ actors given multi-variate time series data for $T$ time intervals. While there has been considerable work on network estimation, there is limited…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-13 Lili Zheng , Garvesh Raskutti

We formulate nonparametric and semiparametric hypothesis testing of multivariate stationary linear time series in a unified fashion and propose new test statistics based on estimators of the spectral density matrix. The limiting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-03 Yoshihiro Yajima , Yasumasa Matsuda

Most existing literature on supervised machine learning assumes that the training dataset is drawn from an i.i.d. sample. However, many real-world problems exhibit temporal dependence and strong correlations between the marginal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-18 Nikola Sandrić

This article provides the first procedure for computing a fully data-dependent interval that traps the mixing time $t_{\text{mix}}$ of a finite reversible ergodic Markov chain at a prescribed confidence level. The interval is computed from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-04 Daniel Hsu , Aryeh Kontorovich , Csaba Szepesvári

Markov networks are frequently used in sciences to represent conditional independence relationships underlying observed variables arising from a complex system. It is often of interest to understand how an underlying network differs between…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-26 Byol Kim , Song Liu , Mladen Kolar

We study irreducible time-homogenous Markov chains with finite state space in discrete time. We obtain results on the sensitivity of the stationary distribution and other statistical quantities with respect to perturbations of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Eilon Solan , Nicolas Vieille

This paper provides an overview of results and concepts in minimax robust hypothesis testing for two and multiple hypotheses. It starts with an introduction to the subject, highlighting its connection to other areas of robust statistics and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-05-21 Michael Fauß , Abdelhak M. Zoubir , H. Vincent Poor

We consider the problem of identifying, from its first $m$ noisy moments, a probability distribution on $[0,1]$ of support $k<\infty$. This is equivalent to the problem of learning a distribution on $m$ observable binary random variables…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-08 Spencer Gordon , Bijan Mazaheri , Leonard J. Schulman , Yuval Rabani

We exhibit an efficient procedure for testing, based on a single long state sequence, whether an unknown Markov chain is identical to or $\varepsilon$-far from a given reference chain. We obtain nearly matching (up to logarithmic factors)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-26 Geoffrey Wolfer , Aryeh Kontorovich

We study the large deviations of Markov chains under the sole assumption that the state space is discrete. In particular, we do not require any of the usual irreducibility and exponential tightness assumptions. Using subadditive arguments,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Léo Daures

In this letter, we consider multiple statistical classification problem where a sequence of n independent and identically distributed observations, that are generated by one of M discrete sources, need to be classified. The source…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-08-31 Hüseyin Afşer

We study the following independence testing problem: given access to samples from a distribution $P$ over $\{0,1\}^n$, decide whether $P$ is a product distribution or whether it is $\varepsilon$-far in total variation distance from any…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-01-04 Arnab Bhattacharyya , Clément L. Canonne , Joy Qiping Yang

Randomized benchmarking is a promising tool for characterizing the noise in experimental implementations of quantum systems. In this paper, we prove that the estimates produced by randomized benchmarking (both standard and interleaved) for…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-12-18 Joel J. Wallman , Steven T. Flammia

This paper studies distributed binary test of statistical independence under communication (information bits) constraints. While testing independence is very relevant in various applications, distributed independence test is particularly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-29 Sebastian Espinosa , Jorge F. Silva , Pablo Piantanida

The parameters of a discrete stationary Markov model are transition probabilities between states. Traditionally, data consist in sequences of observed states for a given number of individuals over the whole observation period. In such a…

Computation · Statistics 2012-04-30 Alberto Pasanisi , Shuai Fu , Nicolas Bousquet