Related papers: Correlated time-changed L\'evy Processes
This article studies the estimation of the causal effect of a time-varying treatment on time-to-an-event or on some other continuously distributed outcome. The paper applies to the situation where treatment is repeatedly adapted to…
The objective of the paper is to price weather contracts using temperature as the underlying process when the later follows a mean-reverting dynamics driven by a time-changed Brownian motion coupled to a Gamma Levy subordinator and…
We present online prediction methods for time series that let us explicitly handle nonstationary artifacts (e.g. trend and seasonality) present in most real time series. Specifically, we show that applying appropriate transformations to…
Time series forecasting is important across various domains for decision-making. In particular, financial time series such as stock prices can be hard to predict as it is difficult to model short-term and long-term temporal dependencies…
In this article, the problem of semi-parametric inference on the parameters of a multidimensional L\'{e}vy process $L_t$ with independent components based on the low-frequency observations of the corresponding time-changed L\'{e}vy process…
The well-scaled transition to the diffusion limit in the framework of the theory of continuous-time random walk (CTRW)is presented starting from its representation as an infinite series that points out the subordinated character of the CTRW…
Three similar convergence notions are considered. Two of them are the long established notions of convergent dynamics and incremental stability. The other is the more recent notion of contraction analysis. All three convergence notions…
The problem of appropriately matching items subject to compatibility constraints arises in a number of important applications. While most of the literature on matching theory focuses on a static setting with a fixed number of items, several…
Connectionist temporal classification (CTC) is commonly adopted for sequence modeling tasks like speech recognition, where it is necessary to preserve order between the input and target sequences. However, CTC is only applied to…
The Cauchy-Schwarz (CS) divergence was developed by Pr\'{i}ncipe et al. in 2000. In this paper, we extend the classic CS divergence to quantify the closeness between two conditional distributions and show that the developed conditional CS…
This paper introduces a couple of new time-frequency transforms, designed to adapt their scale to specific features of the analyzed function. Such an adaptation is implemented via so-called focus functions, which control the window scale as…
In this paper, we analyze a L{\'e}vy model based on two popular concepts - subordination and L{\'e}vy copulas. More precisely, we consider a two-dimensional L{\'e}vy process such that each component is a time-changed (subordinated) Brownian…
Cellular automata (CA) is an important modelling paradigm for complex systems. In the design of cellular automata, the most difficult task is to find the transformation rules that describe the temporal evolution or pattern of a modelled…
Counterfactual explanations are increasingly proposed as interpretable mechanisms to achieve algorithmic recourse. However, current counterfactual techniques for time series classification are predominantly designed with static data…
In this note we consider continuous-time systems x'(t) = A(t) x(t) + B(t) u(t), y(t) = C(t) x(t) + D(t) u(t), as well as discrete-time systems x(t+1) = A(t) x(t) + B(t) u(t), y(t) = C(t) x(t) + D(t) u(t) whose coefficient matrices A, B, C…
We present an extension of the window flow control analysis by R. Agrawal et.al. (Reference [1]), C.-S. Chang (Reference [6]), and C.-S. Chang et. al. (Reference [8]) to a system with random service time and fixed feedback delay. We…
In quantitative finance, we often model asset prices as a noisy Ito semimartingale. As this model is not identifiable, approximating by a time-changed Levy process can be useful for generative modelling. We give a new estimate of the…
This paper describes recent development and test implementation of a continuous time recurrent neural network that has been configured to predict rates of change in securities. It presents outcomes in the context of popular technical…
Treatment effects can be estimated from observational data as the difference in potential outcomes. In this paper, we address the challenge of estimating the potential outcome when treatment-dose levels can vary continuously over time.…
We consider a setting where multiple entities inter-act with each other over time and the time-varying statuses of the entities are represented as multiple correlated time series. For example, speed sensors are deployed in different…