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Machine learning systems operate under the assumption that training and test data are sampled from a fixed probability distribution. However, this assumptions is rarely verified in practice, as the conditions upon which data was acquired…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-09 Eduardo Fernandes Montesuma , Fred Maurice Ngolè Mboula , Antoine Souloumiac

Bayesian methods of sampling from a posterior distribution are becoming increasingly popular due to their ability to precisely display the uncertainty of a model fit. Classical methods based on iterative random sampling and posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-04 Jacopo Guidolin , Vyacheslav Kungurtsev , Ondřej Kuželka

This paper proposes a general interpretable predictive system with shared information. The system is able to perform predictions in a multi-task setting where distinct tasks are not bound to have the same input/output structure. Embeddings…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Maciej Żelaszczyk , Jacek Mańdziuk

The Partially Collapsed Gibbs (PCG) sampler offers a new strategy for improving the convergence of a Gibbs sampler. PCG achieves faster convergence by reducing the conditioning in some of the draws of its parent Gibbs sampler. Although this…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-19 David A. van Dyk , Xiyun Jiao

We introduce two classes of Metropolis-Hastings algorithms for sampling target measures that are absolutely continuous with respect to non-Gaussian prior measures on infinite-dimensional Hilbert spaces. In particular, we focus on certain…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-24 Bamdad Hosseini

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods to sample from a probability distribution $\pi$ defined on a space $(\Theta,\mathcal{T})$ consist of the simulation of realisations of Markov chains $\{\theta_{n},n\geq1\}$ of invariant distribution…

Computation · Statistics 2021-01-06 Christophe Andrieu , Sinan Yıldırım , Arnaud Doucet , Nicolas Chopin

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are a powerful tool for computation with complex probability distributions. However the performance of such methods is critically dependant on properly tuned parameters, most of which are difficult if…

Computation · Statistics 2021-10-27 James A. Brofos , Marylou Gabrié , Marcus A. Brubaker , Roy R. Lederman

We consider the problem of drawing samples from posterior distributions formed under a Dirichlet prior and a truncated multinomial likelihood, by which we mean a Multinomial likelihood function where we condition on one or more counts being…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-04 Matthew James Johnson , Alan S. Willsky

Tasks such as record linkage and multi-target tracking, which involve reconstructing the set of objects that underlie some observed data, are particularly challenging for probabilistic inference. Recent work has achieved efficient and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Brian Milch , Stuart Russell

The Multiple Try Metropolis (MTM) method is a generalization of the classical Metropolis-Hastings algorithm in which the next state of the chain is chosen among a set of samples, according to normalized weights. In the literature, several…

Computation · Statistics 2014-05-20 Luca Martino , Jesse Read

We consider the application of active subspaces to inform a Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, thereby aggressively reducing the computational dimension of the sampling problem. We show that the original formulation, as proposed by Constantine,…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-08 Ingmar Schuster , Paul G. Constantine , T. J. Sullivan

We propose a new randomized optimization method for high-dimensional problems which can be seen as a generalization of coordinate descent to random subspaces. We show that an adaptive sampling strategy for the random subspace significantly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-19 Jonathan Lacotte , Mert Pilanci , Marco Pavone

In recent times empirical likelihood has been widely applied under Bayesian framework. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are frequently employed to sample from the posterior distribution of the parameters of interest. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Sanjay Chaudhuri , Teng Yin

This work includes a number of novel contributions for the multiple-source adaptation problem. We present new normalized solutions with strong theoretical guarantees for the cross-entropy loss and other similar losses. We also provide new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-23 Judy Hoffman , Mehryar Mohri , Ningshan Zhang

This paper discusses a Metropolis-Hastings algorithm developed by \citeA{MarsmanIsing}. The algorithm is derived from first principles, and it is proven that the algorithm becomes more efficient with more data and meets the growing demands…

Computation · Statistics 2018-08-14 Timo Bechger , Gunter Maris , Maarten Marsman

We study the class of first-order locally-balanced Metropolis--Hastings algorithms introduced in Livingstone & Zanella (2021). To choose a specific algorithm within the class the user must select a balancing function $g:\mathbb{R} \to…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-05 Jure Vogrinc , Samuel Livingstone , Giacomo Zanella

We investigate the properties of the Hybrid Monte-Carlo algorithm (HMC) in high dimensions. HMC develops a Markov chain reversible w.r.t. a given target distribution $\Pi$ by using separable Hamiltonian dynamics with potential $-\log\Pi$.…

The computation of Bayesian estimates of system parameters and functions of them on the basis of observed system performance data is a common problem within system identification. This is a previously studied issue where stochastic…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-09 Johan Dahlin , Adrian Wills , Brett Ninness

Even the best scientific equipment can only partially observe reality. Recorded data is often lower-dimensional, e.g., two-dimensional pictures of the three-dimensional world. Combining data from multiple experiments then results in a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-05-26 Michael Plainer , Felix Dietrich , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

A new class of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, based on simulating piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs), have recently shown great promise: they are non-reversible, can mix better than standard MCMC algorithms, and…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-23 Augustin Chevallier , Paul Fearnhead , Matthew Sutton