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We revisit Zadeh's notion of "evidence of the second kind" and show that it provides the foundation for a general theory of epistemic random fuzzy sets, which generalizes both the Dempster-Shafer theory of belief functions and possibility…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-02-17 Thierry Denoeux

We introduce an approach to the foundations of physics that is more in line with the foundations of mathematics. The idea is to examine current theories and find a set of starting physical assumptions that are sufficient to rederive them,…

General Physics · Physics 2022-03-18 Gabriele Carcassi , Christine A. Aidala

Subset models provide a new semantics for justifcation logic. The main idea of subset models is that evidence terms are interpreted as sets of possible worlds. A term then justifies a formula if that formula is true in each world of the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-10-06 Eveline Lehmann , Thomas Studer

Rotational invariance of physical laws is a generally accepted principle. We show that it leads to an additional external constraint on local realistic models of physical phenomena involving measurements of multiparticle spin 1/2…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 Koji Nagata , Wieslaw Laskowski , Marcin Wiesniak , Marek Zukowski

In the 1940's, a physicist named Cox provided the first formal justification for the axioms of probability based on the subjective or Bayesian interpretation. He showed that if a measure of belief satisfies several fundamental properties,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-12 David Heckerman

Consistent belief functions represent collections of coherent or non-contradictory pieces of evidence, but most of all they are the counterparts of consistent knowledge bases in belief calculus. The use of consistent transformations cs[.]…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-07-31 Fabio Cuzzolin

Traditional belief revision frameworks often rely on the principle of minimalism, which advocates minimal changes to existing beliefs. However, research in human cognition suggests that people are inherently driven to seek explanations for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Stylianos Loukas Vasileiou , William Yeoh

Any act of problem-solving combines prior knowledge, local search, and a third element that is less often discussed: the extraction of information from search to update understanding. I propose a model of mathematical problem-solving as a…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Asvin G

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used as agents that interact with users and with the world. To do so successfully, LLMs must construct representations of the world and form probabilistic beliefs about them. To provide…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Linlu Qiu , Fei Sha , Kelsey Allen , Yoon Kim , Tal Linzen , Sjoerd van Steenkiste

Common Knowledge Logic is meant to describe situations of the real world where a group of agents is involved. These agents share knowledge and make strong statements on the knowledge of the other agents (the so called \emph{common…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2007-12-20 Pierre Lescanne , Jérôme Puisségur

We consider the two-fold problem of representing collective beliefs and aggregating these beliefs. We propose modular, transitive relations for collective beliefs. They allow us to represent conflicting opinions and they have a clear…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Pedrito Maynard-Reid , Daniel Lehmann

Belief and plausibility are weaker measures of uncertainty than that of probability. They are motivated by the situations when full probabilistic information is not available. However, information can also be contradictory. Therefore, the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Sabine Frittella , Ondrej Majer , Sajad Nazari

Belief function theory provides a flexible way to combine information provided by different sources. This combination is usually followed by a decision making which can be handled by a range of decision rules. Some rules help to choose the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-01-29 Amira Essaid , Arnaud Martin , Grégory Smits , Boutheina Ben Yaghlane

We build confidence balls for the common density $s$ of a real valued sample $X_1,...,X_n$. We use resampling methods to estimate the projection of $s$ onto finite dimensional linear spaces and a model selection procedure to choose an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-07-27 Matthieu Lerasle

This paper presents a plausible reasoning system to illustrate some broad issues in knowledge representation: dualities between different reasoning forms, the difficulty of unifying complementary reasoning styles, and the approximate nature…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-26 Wray L. Buntine

A novel approach is presented for computing flexible body dynamics based on conventional structural dynamics models. This approach innovatively captures the rigid body motion component embedded within a flexible body's movement, generates…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-29 Xiaobo Liu

Our previous work on classifying complex ship images [1,2] has evolved into an effort to develop software tools for building and solving generic classification problems. Managing the uncertainty associated with feature data and other…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Lashon B. Booker , Naveen Hota , Gavin Hemphill

In this paper, we present a decision support system based on belief functions and the pignistic transformation. The system is an integration of an evidential system for belief function propagation and a valuation-based system for Bayesian…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 Hong Xu , Yen-Teh Hsia , Philippe Smets

Belief revision of knowledge bases represented by a set of sentences in a given logic has been extensively studied but for specific logics, mainly propositional, and also recently Horn and description logics. Here, we propose to generalize…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-01-17 Marc Aiguier , Jamal Atif , Isabelle Bloch , Céline Hudelot

In the presence of model risk, it is well-established to replace classical expected values by worst-case expectations over all models within a fixed radius from a given reference model. This is the "robustness" approach. We show that…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-07 Thomas Kruse , Judith C. Schneider , Nikolaus Schweizer
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