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Epidemic spreading and cascading failure are two important dynamical processes over complex networks. They have been investigated separately for a long history. But in the real world, these two dynamics sometimes may interact with each…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-19 Lurong Jiang , Xinyu Jin , Yongxiang Xia , Bo Ouyang , Duanpo Wu

The resurgence of measles is largely attributed to the decline in vaccine adoption and the increase in mobility. Although the vaccine for measles is readily available and highly successful, its current adoption is not adequate to prevent…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-26 Sheryl L. Chang , Mahendra Piraveenan , Mikhail Prokopenko

The dynamics of epidemics depend on how people's behavior changes during an outbreak. At the beginning of the epidemic, people do not know about the virus, then, after the outbreak of epidemics and alarm, they begin to comply with the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-29 I. A. Kastalskiy , E. V. Pankratova , E. M. Mirkes , V. B. Kazantsev , A. N. Gorban

Using a stochastic Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) meta-population model of disease transmission, we present analytical calculations and numerical simulations dissecting the interplay between stochasticity and the division of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-17 Philip Bittihn , Ramin Golestanian

The mobility patterns of individuals in China during the early outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic exhibit reversible changes -- in many regions, the mobility first decreased significantly and later restored. Based on this observation, here…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-25 Xincheng Shu , Zhongyuan Ruan

Interactions in time-varying complex systems are often very heterogeneous at the topological level (who interacts with whom) and at the temporal level (when interactions occur and how often). While it is known that temporal heterogeneities…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-11-21 Juan Ignacio Perotti , Hang-Hyun Jo , Petter Holme , Jari Saramäki

The metapopulation framework is adopted in a wide array of disciplines to describe systems of well separated yet connected subpopulations. The subgroups or patches are often represented as nodes in a network whose links represent the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-03-27 Suyu Liu , Andrea Baronchelli , Nicola Perra

Many complex networks exhibit vulnerability to spreading of epidemics, and such vulnerability relates to the viral strain as well as to the network characteristics. For instance, the structure of the network plays an important role in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-14 Mina Youssef , Caterina Scoglio

Epidemic models are increasingly used in real-world networks to understand diffusion phenomena (such as the spread of diseases, emotions, innovations, failures) or the transport of information (such as news, memes in social on-line…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-12-06 Piet Van Mieghem

Network structure can have significant effects on the propagation of diseases, memes, and information on social networks. Such effects depend on the specific type of dynamical process that affects the nodes and edges of a network, and it is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-01-25 Jonas Søgaard Juul , Mason A. Porter

A stochastic SIR (susceptible $\to$ infective $\to$ recovered) epidemic model defined on a social network is analysed. The underlying social network is described by an Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi random graph but, during the course of the epidemic,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-17 Frank Ball , Tom Britton

We develop a theory for the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model on networks that incorporate both network structure and dynamic correlations. This theory can account for the multistage onset of the epidemic phase in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-07 Chao-Ran Cai , Zhi-Xi Wu , Petter Holme

We design a linear chain trick algorithm for dynamical systems for which we have oscillatory time histories in the distributed time delay. We make use of this algorithmic framework to analyse memory effects in disease evolution in a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-24 Adam Mielke , Mads Peter Sørensen , John Wyller

Metapopulation epidemic models describe epidemic dynamics in networks of spatially distant patches connected with pathways for migration of individuals. In the present study, we deal with a susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-08-22 Akari Matsuki , Gouhei Tanaka

Infectious diseases that incorporate pre-symptomatic transmission are challenging to monitor, model, predict and contain. We address this scenario by studying a variant of a stochastic susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered model on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-07 Bo Li , David Saad

Epidemic spreading processes on dynamic multiplex networks provide a more accurate description of natural spreading processes than those on single layered networks. To describe the influence of different individuals in the awareness layer…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Minyu Feng , Xiangxi Li , Yuhan Li , Qin Li

We calculate epidemic thresholds and investigate the dynamics of a disease in a networked metapopulation model. To study the specific role of mobility levels and network geometry, we utilize the SIR-Network model and consider a range of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-07 Haridas K. Das , Lucas M. Stolerman

The last decade saw the advent of increasingly realistic epidemic models that leverage on the availability of highly detailed census and human mobility data. Data-driven models aim at a granularity down to the level of households or single…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-08-10 Nicola Perra , Duygu Balcan , Bruno Gonçalves , Alessandro Vespignani

In this work, we study the epidemic SIR model on a system which takes into consideration face-to-face interaction networks. This approach has been used as prototype to describe people interactions in different kinds of social organizations…

Transportation networks play a critical part in the spread of infectious diseases between populations. In this work, we define a networked susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered epidemic process with loss of immunity over time (SEIRS) that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-22 Brooks A. Butler , Raphael Stern , Philip E. Paré