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A demanding challenge in Bayesian inversion is to efficiently characterize the posterior distribution. This task is problematic especially in high-dimensional non-Gaussian problems, where the structure of the posterior can be very chaotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-04 Tapio Helin , Martin Burger

This paper presents a new approach to a robust Gaussian process (GP) regression. Most existing approaches replace an outlier-prone Gaussian likelihood with a non-Gaussian likelihood induced from a heavy tail distribution, such as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-15 Chiwoo Park , David J. Borth , Nicholas S. Wilson , Chad N. Hunter , Fritz J. Friedersdorf

Inverse problems are prevalent in both scientific research and engineering applications. In the context of Bayesian inverse problems, sampling from the posterior distribution can be particularly challenging when the forward models are…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-17 Zhihang Xu , Xiaoyu Zhu , Daoji Li , Qifeng Liao

An efficient algorithm is proposed for Bayesian model calibration, which is commonly used to estimate the model parameters of non-linear, computationally expensive models using measurement data. The approach is based on Bayesian statistics:…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-11-06 L. M. M. van den Bos , B. Sanderse , W. A. A. M. Bierbooms , G. J. W. van Bussel

We propose a novel sparse spectrum approximation of Gaussian process (GP) tailored for Bayesian optimization. Whilst the current sparse spectrum methods provide desired approximations for regression problems, it is observed that this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Ang Yang , Cheng Li , Santu Rana , Sunil Gupta , Svetha Venkatesh

We introduce a methodology for robust Bayesian estimation with robust divergence (e.g., density power divergence or {\gamma}-divergence), indexed by a single tuning parameter. It is well known that the posterior density induced by robust…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-04 Shouto Yonekura , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Calibration is nowadays one of the most important processes involved in the extraction of valuable data from measurements. The current availability of an optimum data cube measured from a heterogeneous set of instruments and surveys relies…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2012-08-13 Maria Jose Marquez

We study the calibration of Gaussian process (GP) predictive distributions in the interpolation setting from a design-marginal perspective. Conditioning on the data and averaging over a design measure \mu, we formalize \mu-coverage for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-08 Aurélien Pion , Emmanuel Vazquez

The performance of Maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation is studied analytically for binary symmetric multi-channel Hidden Markov processes. We reduce the estimation problem to a 1D Ising spin model and define order parameters that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-11 Avik Halder , Ansuman Adhikary

Calibration of computer models is a key step in making inferences, predictions, and decisions for complex science and engineering systems. We formulate and analyze a nonparametric Bayesian methodology for computer model calibration. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Haiyi Shi , Lei Yang , Jiarui Chi , Troy Butler , Haonan Wang , Derek Bingham , Don Estep

Recent advancements in remote sensing technology and the increasing size of satellite constellations allows massive geophysical information to be gathered daily on a global scale by numerous platforms of different fidelity. The…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-11 Si Cheng , Bledar A. Konomi , Jessica L. Matthews , Georgios Karagiannis , Emily L. Kang

Numerical integration and emulation are fundamental topics across scientific fields. We propose novel adaptive quadrature schemes based on an active learning procedure. We consider an interpolative approach for building a surrogate…

Computation · Statistics 2021-01-20 F. Llorente , L. Martino , V. Elvira , D. Delgado , J. López-Santiago

The data reduction procedure for radio interferometers can be viewed as a combined calibration and imaging problem. We present an algorithm that unifies cross-calibration, self-calibration, and imaging. Being a Bayesian method, that…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-07-23 Philipp Arras , Philipp Frank , Reimar Leike , Rüdiger Westermann , Torsten Enßlin

Posterior sampling by Monte Carlo methods provides a more comprehensive solution approach to inverse problems than computing point estimates such as the maximum posterior using optimization methods, at the expense of usually requiring many…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-28 Paolo Villani , Daniel Andrés-Arcones , Jörg F. Unger , Martin Weiser

We consider the inverse problem of recovering an unknown functional parameter $u$ in a separable Banach space, from a noisy observation $y$ of its image through a known possibly non-linear ill-posed map ${\mathcal G}$. The data $y$ is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-14 Sergios Agapiou , Martin Burger , Masoumeh Dashti , Tapio Helin

This paper considers maximum-a-posteriori (MAP) and linear discriminant based MAP detectors to detect changes in the mean and covariance of a stochastic input, driving specific network nodes, using noisy measurements from sensors…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-10 Rajasekhar Anguluri , Vaibhav Katewa , Sandip Roy , Fabio Pasqualetti

In recent years, Bayesian inference in large-scale inverse problems found in science, engineering and machine learning has gained significant attention. This paper examines the robustness of the Bayesian approach by analyzing the stability…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-06 Alfredo Garbuno-Inigo , Tapio Helin , Franca Hoffmann , Bamdad Hosseini

The detection and flux estimation of point sources in cosmic microwave background (CMB) maps is a very important task in order to clean the maps and also to obtain relevant astrophysical information. In this paper we propose a maximum a…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-20 F. Argueso , E. Salerno , D. Herranz , J. L. Sanz , E. E. Kuruoglu , K. Kayabol

We study linear models under heavy-tailed priors from a probabilistic viewpoint. Instead of computing a single sparse most probable (MAP) solution as in standard deterministic approaches, the focus in the Bayesian compressed sensing…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2014-03-05 George Papandreou , Alan Yuille

Bayesian adaptive designs enable flexible clinical trials by adapting features based on accumulating data. Among these, Bayesian Response-Adaptive Randomization (BRAR) skews patient allocation towards more promising treatments based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-05 Daniel Kaddaj , Stef Baas , Edwin Y. N. Tang , David S. Robertson , Lukas Pin , Sofía S. Villar