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Climate change poses significant challenges for accurate climate modeling due to the complexity and variability of non-Gaussian climate systems. To address the complexities of non-Gaussian systems in climate modeling, this thesis proposes a…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-28 Yunjin Tong

The majority of data assimilation (DA) methods in the geosciences are based on Gaussian assumptions. While these assumptions facilitate efficient algorithms, they cause analysis biases and subsequent forecast degradations. Non-parametric,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-12 Hristo G. Chipilski

Particle probability hypothesis density filtering has become a promising means for multi-target tracking due to its capability of handling an unknown and time-varying number of targets in non-linear non-Gaussian system. However, its…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-13 Wang Junjie , Zhao Lingling , Su Xiaohong , Ma Peijun

The crucial step in designing a particle filter for a particular application is the choice of importance density. The optimal scheme is to use the conditional posterior density of the state, but this cannot be sampled or calculated…

Computation · Statistics 2014-08-15 Pete Bunch , Simon Godsill

This presentation will introduce the audience to a new, emerging body of research on sequential Monte Carlo techniques in robotics. In recent years, particle filters have solved several hard perceptual robotic problems. Early successes were…

Robotics · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Sebastian Thrun

This article discusses a partially adapted particle filter for estimating the likelihood of a nonlinear structural econometric state space models whose state transition density cannot be expressed in closed form. The filter generates the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-05 Jamie Hall , Michael K. Pitt , Robert Kohn

Automatic lane tracking involves estimating the underlying signal from a sequence of noisy signal observations. Many models and methods have been proposed for lane tracking, and dynamic targets tracking in general. The Kalman Filter is a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-06-29 Jiawei Huang , Zhaowen Wang

Ensemble data assimilation methods such as the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) are a key component of probabilistic weather forecasting. They represent the uncertainty in the initial conditions by an ensemble which incorporates information…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-17 Sylvain Robert , Daniel Leuenberger , Hans R. Künsch

Data assimilation is an iterative approach to the problem of estimating the state of a dynamical system using both current and past observations of the system together with a model for the system's time evolution. Rather than solving the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Brian R. Hunt , Eric J. Kostelich , Istvan Szunyogh

State estimation in non-linear models is performed by tracking the posterior distribution recursively. A plethora of algorithms have been proposed for this task. Among them, the Gaussian particle filter uses a weighted set of particles to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-05 Karthik Comandur , Yunpeng Li , Santosh Nannuru

In this work, we develop tracking and estimation techniques relevant to underwater targets. Particularly, we explore particle filtering techniques for target tracking. It is a numerical approximation method for implementing a recursive…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-11 T M Feroz Ali

Nonlinear filtering is a pivotal problem that has attracted significant attention from mathematicians, statisticians, engineers, and various other scientific disciplines. The solution to this problem is governed by the so-called filtering…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-19 Dan Crisan , Etienne Pardoux

We explore the potential of three-dimensional data assimilation for assimilating sparsely-distributed 2-metre temperature observations across the coupled atmosphere-land interface into the soil moisture. Using idealised twin experiments…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-29 Tobias Finn , Gernot Geppert , Felix Ament

Differentiable particle filters are an emerging class of particle filtering methods that use neural networks to construct and learn parametric state-space models. In real-world applications, both the state dynamics and measurements can…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-04 Wenhan Li , Xiongjie Chen , Wenwu Wang , Víctor Elvira , Yunpeng Li

We present a particle filtering algorithm for stochastic models on infinite dimensional state space, making use of Girsanov perturbations to nudge the ensemble of particles into regions of higher likelihood. We argue that the optimal…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Maneesh Kumar Singh , Joshua Hope-Collins , Colin J. Cotter , Dan Crisan

In Data Assimilation, observations are fused with simulations to obtain an accurate estimate of the state and parameters for a given physical system. Combining data with a model, however, while accurately estimating uncertainty, is…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Nikolaj T. Mücke , Sander M. Bohté , Cornelis W. Oosterlee

Gaussian-process state-space models (GP-SSMs) provide a flexible nonparametric alternative for modeling time-series dynamics that are nonlinear or difficult to specify parametrically. While the Kalman filter is effective for linear-Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-02 Genshiro Kitagawa

This article considers the application of particle filtering to continuous-discrete optimal filtering problems, where the system model is a stochastic differential equation, and noisy measurements of the system are obtained at discrete…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-04-29 Simo Särkkä , Tommi Sottinen

Implicit particle filters for data assimilation generate high-probability samples by representing each particle location as a separate function of a common reference variable. This representation requires that a certain underdetermined…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-27 Matthias Morzfeld , Xuemin Tu , Ethan Atkins , Alexandre J. Chorin

Stochastic filtering is defined as the estimation of a partially observed dynamical system. A massive scientific and computational effort is dedicated to the development of numerical methods for approximating the solution of the filtering…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-04 Dan Crisan , Kai Li
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