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Conformal predictive systems are sets of predictive distributions with theoretical out-of-sample calibration guarantees. The calibration guarantees are typically that the set of predictions contains a forecast distribution whose prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-03 Sam Allen , Enrico Pescara , Johanna Ziegel

The ability to design complex neural network architectures which enable effective training by stochastic gradient descent has been the key for many achievements in the field of deep learning. However, developing such architectures remains a…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-07-04 Marcus Märtens , Dario Izzo

The major challenge in designing a discriminative learning algorithm for predicting structured data is to address the computational issues arising from the exponential size of the output space. Existing algorithms make different assumptions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-06-29 Shankar Vembu

We consider linear structural equation models with explicitly modelled latent variables. In such models, observed and latent variables solve linear equations including stochastic noise terms. The goal of our work is to identify the direct…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-28 Tom Hochsprung , Nils Sturma , Jakob Runge , Mathias Drton , Andreas Gerhardus

Graph-based change point detection (CPD) play an irreplaceable role in discovering anomalous graphs in the time-varying network. While several techniques have been proposed to detect change points by identifying whether there is a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Yongshun Gong , Xue Dong , Jian Zhang , Meng Chen

Differential equations are used to model and predict the behaviour of complex systems in a wide range of fields, and the ability to solve them is an important asset for understanding and predicting the behaviour of these systems.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Siddharth Nand , Yuecheng Cai

Network models have been widely used to study diverse systems and analyze their dynamic behaviors. Given the structural variability of networks, an intriguing question arises: Can we infer the type of system represented by a network based…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Gonzalo Travieso , Joao Merenda , Odemir M. Bruno

A biological regulatory network can be modeled as a discrete function that contains all available information on network component interactions. From this function we can derive a graph representation of the network structure as well as of…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2009-10-09 Heike Siebert

Adaptive networks today rely on overparameterized fixed topologies that cannot break through the statistical conflicts they encounter in the data they are exposed to, and are prone to "catastrophic forgetting" as the network attempts to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Zeki Doruk Erden , Boi Faltings

In this paper we introduce a new technique for depicting the phase portrait of stochastic differential equations. Following previous work for deterministic systems, we represent the phase space by means of a generalization of the method of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-06-01 Francisco Balibrea-Iniesta , Carlos Lopesino , Stephen Wiggins , Ana M. Mancho

Estimating the structure of directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) of features (variables) plays a vital role in revealing the latent data generation process and providing causal insights in various applications. Although there have been many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-06 Shaohua Fan , Shuyang Zhang , Xiao Wang , Chuan Shi

Neural network methods are increasingly applied to solve phase transition problems, particularly in identifying critical points in non-equilibrium phase transitions, offering more convenience compared to traditional methods. In this paper,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-12 Feng Gao , Jianmin Shen , Shanshan Wang , Wei Li , Dian Xu

A network as a substrate for dynamic processes may have its own dynamics. We propose a model for networks which evolve together with diffusing particles through a coupled dynamics, and investigate emerging structural property. The model…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Sang-Woo Kim , Jae Dong Noh

Directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) encode a lot of information about a particular distribution in their structure. However, compute required to infer these structures is typically super-exponential in the number of variables, as inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Jeroen Berrevoets , Nabeel Seedat , Fergus Imrie , Mihaela van der Schaar

Learning curve extrapolation predicts neural network performance from early training epochs and has been applied to accelerate AutoML, facilitating hyperparameter tuning and neural architecture search. However, existing methods typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Yanna Ding , Zijie Huang , Xiao Shou , Yihang Guo , Yizhou Sun , Jianxi Gao

This paper develops a framework for identification, estimation, and inference on the causal mechanisms driving endogenous social network formation. Identification is challenging because of unobserved confounders and reverse causality;…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-21 Maximilian Kasy , Elizabeth Linos , Sanaz Mobasseri

We consider the problem of causal discovery (structure learning) from heterogeneous observational data. Most existing methods assume a homogeneous sampling scheme, which leads to misleading conclusions when violated in many applications. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-01 Fangting Zhou , Kejun He , Yang Ni

Causal discovery aims to infer causal relationships among variables from observational data, typically represented by a directed acyclic graph (DAG). Most existing methods assume independent and identically distributed observations, an…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-27 Alex Chen , Qing Zhou

Network structure is growing popular for capturing the intrinsic relationship between large-scale variables. In the paper we propose to improve the estimation accuracy for large-dimensional factor model when a network structure between…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-30 Long Yu , Yong He , Xinsheng Zhang , Ji Zhu

In recent years, machine learning has been adopted to complex networks, but most existing works concern about the structural properties. To use machine learning to detect phase transitions and accurately identify the critical transition…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-01-08 Qi Ni , Ming Tang , Ying Liu , Ying-Cheng Lai