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The Wasserstein metric is introduced as a probabilistic method to enable quantitative evaluations of LES combustion models. The Wasserstein metric can directly be evaluated from scatter data or statistical results using probabilistic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-06-06 Ross Johnson , Hao Wu , Matthias Ihme

Impractical assumptions, an inherently myopic nature, and the crucial role of the initial design, all together contribute to making theoretical convergence proofs of little value in real-life Bayesian Optimization applications. In this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-13 Antonio Candelieri , Francesco Archetti

Random measures provide flexible parameters for Bayesian nonparametric models. Given two different priors for a random measure, we develop a natural framework to investigate the rate at which the corresponding posteriors merge, as the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-17 Marta Catalano , Hugo Lavenant

This work presents several expected generalization error bounds based on the Wasserstein distance. More specifically, it introduces full-dataset, single-letter, and random-subset bounds, and their analogues in the randomized subsample…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-29 Borja Rodríguez-Gálvez , Germán Bassi , Ragnar Thobaben , Mikael Skoglund

The default Gaussian latent in flow-based generative models poses challenges when learning certain distributions such as heavy-tailed ones. We introduce a general framework for learning data-adaptive latent distributions using…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-11 Jannis Chemseddine , Gregor Kornhardt , Richard Duong , Gabriele Steidl

In this work we study systems consisting of a group of moving particles. In such systems, often some important parameters are unknown and have to be estimated from observed data. Such parameter estimation problems can often be solved via a…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-11 Chen Cheng , Linjie Wen , Jinglai Li

In this note we consider the stability of posterior measures occuring in Bayesian inference w.r.t. perturbations of the prior measure and the log-likelihood function. This extends the well-posedness analysis of Bayesian inverse problems. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-24 Björn Sprungk

This work characterizes, analytically and numerically, two major effects of the quadratic Wasserstein ($W_2$) distance as the measure of data discrepancy in computational solutions of inverse problems. First, we show, in the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-24 Bjorn Engquist , Kui Ren , Yunan Yang

Data represented by probability measures arise as empirical distributions, posterior distributions, and feature-based representations of complex objects. We study heterogeneity in a population of probability measures through the expected…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Kisung You

This paper presents a distance-based discriminative framework for learning with probability distributions. Instead of using kernel mean embeddings or generalized radial basis kernels, we introduce embeddings based on dissimilarity of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-16 Alain Rakotomamonjy , Abraham Traoré , Maxime Berar , Rémi Flamary , Nicolas Courty

In this work, we present a new perspective on the origin and interpretation of adaptive filters. By applying Bayesian principles of recursive inference from the state-space model and using a series of simplifications regarding the structure…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Leszek Szczecinski , Jacob Benesty , Eduardo Vinicius Kuhn

Bayesian inference typically requires the computation of an approximation to the posterior distribution. An important requirement for an approximate Bayesian inference algorithm is to output high-accuracy posterior mean and uncertainty…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-03 Jonathan H. Huggins , Trevor Campbell , Mikołaj Kasprzak , Tamara Broderick

Consider the Gaussian sequence model under the additional assumption that a fixed fraction of the means is known. We study the problem of variance estimation from a frequentist Bayesian perspective. The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-19 Gianluca Finocchio , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

We derive first-order (in the stepsize) bounds on the bias in Wasserstein distances of the invariant measure of stochastic gradient kinetic Langevin dynamics with minimal assumptions on the stochastic gradient noise. These bounds sharpen…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-28 Daniel Paulin , Peter A. Whalley

This article discusses a partially adapted particle filter for estimating the likelihood of a nonlinear structural econometric state space models whose state transition density cannot be expressed in closed form. The filter generates the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-05 Jamie Hall , Michael K. Pitt , Robert Kohn

Bayesian estimation is a powerful theoretical paradigm for the operation of quantum sensors. However, the Bayesian method for statistical inference generally suffers from demanding calibration requirements that have so far restricted its…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-09-22 Samuel P. Nolan , Augusto Smerzi , Luca Pezzè

Class imbalance is a pervasive problem in predictive toxicology, where the number of non-toxic compounds often exceeds the number of toxic ones. Models trained on such data often perform well on the majority class but poorly on the minority…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-10 Stanley E. Lazic

We study Bayesian inverse problems with mixed noise, modeled as a combination of additive and multiplicative Gaussian components. While traditional inference methods often assume fixed or known noise characteristics, real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Paul Hagemann , Robert Gruhlke , Bernhard Stankewitz , Claudia Schillings , Gabriele Steidl

We establish the first mathematically rigorous link between Bayesian, variational Bayesian, and ensemble methods. A key step towards this it to reformulate the non-convex optimisation problem typically encountered in deep learning as a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-24 Veit David Wild , Sahra Ghalebikesabi , Dino Sejdinovic , Jeremias Knoblauch

We introduce a novel and scalable Bayesian framework for multivariate-density-density regression (DDR), designed to model relationships between multivariate distributions. Our approach addresses the critical issue of distributions residing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-24 Khai Nguyen , Yang Ni , Peter Mueller