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Integrating deep learning with latent state space models has the potential to yield temporal models that are powerful, yet tractable and interpretable. Unfortunately, current models are not designed to handle missing data or multiple data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-25 Tan Zhi-Xuan , Harold Soh , Desmond C. Ong

In this paper, we consider the nonstationary matrix-valued time series with common stochastic trends. Unlike the traditional factor analysis which flattens matrix observations into vectors, we adopt a matrix factor model in order to fully…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-25 Degui Li , Yayi Yan , Qiwei Yao

Causal discovery from observational data remains fundamentally limited by identifiability constraints. Recent work has explored leveraging Large Language Models (LLMs) as sources of prior causal knowledge, but existing approaches rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Hyunjun Kim

In many real-world regression tasks, the data distribution is heavily skewed, and models learn predominantly from abundant majority samples while failing to predict minority labels accurately. While imbalanced classification has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Shayan Alahyari

An individualized risk prediction model that dynamically updates the probability of a clinical event from a specific cause is valuable for physicians to be able to optimize personalized treatment strategies in real-time by incorporating all…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-22 Qing Liu , Gong Tang , Joseph P. Costantino , Chung-Chou H. Chang

Modern deep learning heavily depends on adaptive optimizers such as Adam and its variants, which are renowned for their capacity to handle model scaling and streamline hyperparameter tuning. However, these algorithms typically experience…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-18 Son Nguyen , Lizhang Chen , Bo Liu , Qiang Liu

Genetic sequence data are well described by hidden Markov models (HMMs) in which latent states correspond to clusters of similar mutation patterns. Theory from statistical genetics suggests that these HMMs are nonhomogeneous (their…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-03 Lloyd T. Elliott , Yee Whye Teh

A novel deep neural network framework -- that we refer to as Deep Dynamic Factor Model (D$^2$FM) --, is able to encode the information available, from hundreds of macroeconomic and financial time-series into a handful of unobserved latent…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-23 Paolo Andreini , Cosimo Izzo , Giovanni Ricco

A High-dimensional and sparse (HiDS) matrix is frequently encountered in a big data-related application like an e-commerce system or a social network services system. To perform highly accurate representation learning on it is of great…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-19 Di Wu , Yi He , Xin Luo

Surgical segmentation is pivotal for scene understanding yet remains hindered by annotation scarcity and semantic inconsistency across diverse procedures. Existing approaches typically fine-tune natural foundation models (e.g., SAM) with…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-10 Qing Xu , Kun Yuan , Yuxiang Luo , Yuhao Zhai , Wenting Duan , Nassir Navab , Zhen Chen

Computational models that forecast the progression of Alzheimer's disease at the patient level are extremely useful tools for identifying high risk cohorts for early intervention and treatment planning. The state-of-the-art work in this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-30 Surya Teja Devarakonda , Joie Yeahuay Wu , Yi Ren Fung , Madalina Fiterau

Defining the number of latent factors has been one of the most challenging problems in factor analysis. Infinite factor models offer a solution to this problem by applying increasing shrinkage on the columns of factor loading matrices, thus…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-25 Margarita Grushanina

Producing probabilistic forecasts for large collections of similar and/or dependent time series is a practically relevant and challenging task. Classical time series models fail to capture complex patterns in the data, and multivariate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-30 Yuyang Wang , Alex Smola , Danielle C. Maddix , Jan Gasthaus , Dean Foster , Tim Januschowski

Factor models are widely applied to the analysis of multivariate data across disparate fields of research. However, modern scientific data are often incomplete, and estimating a factor model from partially observed data can be very…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Giuseppe Vinci

Many problems in robotics involve both continuous and discrete components, and modeling them together for estimation tasks has been a long standing and difficult problem. Hybrid Factor Graphs give us a mathematical framework to model these…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Varun Agrawal , Frank Dellaert

Sequence learning, prediction and replay have been proposed to constitute the universal computations performed by the neocortex. The Hierarchical Temporal Memory (HTM) algorithm realizes these forms of computation. It learns sequences in an…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-21 Younes Bouhadjar , Dirk J. Wouters , Markus Diesmann , Tom Tetzlaff

Heart failure (HF) is a critical condition in which the accurate prediction of mortality plays a vital role in guiding patient management decisions. However, clinical datasets used for mortality prediction in HF often suffer from an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Hanif Kia , Mansour Vali , Hadi Sabahi

For latent class models where the class weights depend on individual covariates, we derive a simple expression for computing the score vector and a convenient hybrid between the observed and the expected information matrices which is always…

Computation · Statistics 2015-11-13 Antonio Forcina

We introduce a novel Bayesian hybrid matrix factorisation model (HMF) for data integration, based on combining multiple matrix factorisation methods, that can be used for in- and out-of-matrix prediction of missing values. The model is very…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-18 Thomas Brouwer , Pietro Lió

Hidden Markov jump processes are an attractive approach for modeling clinical disease progression data because they are explainable and capable of handling both irregularly sampled and noisy data. Most applications in this context consider…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-15 Rui Meng , Soper Braden , Jan Nygard , Mari Nygrad , Herbert Lee