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Providing transport users and operators with accurate forecasts on travel times is challenging due to a highly stochastic traffic environment. Public transport users are particularly sensitive to unexpected waiting times, which negatively…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-25 Hector Rodriguez-Deniz , Mattias Villani

In urban settings, bus transit stands as a significant mode of public transportation, yet faces hurdles in delivering accurate and reliable arrival times. This discrepancy often culminates in delays and a decline in ridership, particularly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Narges Rashvand , Sanaz Sadat Hosseini , Mona Azarbayjani , Hamed Tabkhi

Public transport systems are expected to reduce pollution and contribute to sustainable development. However, disruptions in public transport such as delays may negatively affect mobility choices. To quantify delays, aggregated data from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-12 Przemysław Wrona , Maciej Grzenda , Marcin Luckner

Public transport routing plays a crucial role in transit network design, ensuring a satisfactory level of service for passengers. However, current routing solutions rely on traditional operational research heuristics, which can be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-25 Nadav Shalit , Michael Fire , Dima Kagan , Eran Ben-Elia

Urban bus transit agencies need reliable, network-wide delay predictions to provide accurate arrival information to passengers and support real-time operational control. Accurate predictions help passengers plan their trips, reduce waiting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Emna Boudabbous , Mohamed Karaa , Lokman Sboui , Julio Montecinos , Omar Alam

In recent years many studies of urban mobility based on large data sets have been published: most of them based on crowdsourced GPS data or smart-card data. We present, what is to our knowledge the first, exploration of public transport…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-07-26 Piotr Szymański , Michał Żołnieruk , Piotr Oleszczyk , Igor Gisterek , Tomasz Kajdanowicz

The Massachusetts Bay Transportation Authority (MBTA) is the main public transit provider in Boston, operating multiple means of transport, including trains, subways, and buses. However, the system often faces delays and fluctuations in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Sai Siddharth Nalamalpu , Kaining Yuan , Aiden Zhou , Eugene Pinsky

An important aspect of public bus transit is its reliability of being on-time, which has a major impact on bus ridership. Currently, there is no unified national standard to measure bus on-time performance in the United States. This paper…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-23 Snehanshu Banerjee , Mohammadreza Jabehdari , Ross Turlington , Cole Greene

With the rise of big data technologies, many smart transportation applications have been rapidly developed in recent years including bus arrival time predictions. This type of applications help passengers to plan trips more efficiently…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-24 Dairui Liu , Jingxiang Sun , Shen Wang

This paper presents an effective framework for estimating time of arrival of vehicles (buses) in an Intelligent Transit Management System (ITMS) having sparse position updates. Our contributions towards this is firstly in implementing a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-22 Shivika Sharma , Nandini Mawane , Dhruthick Gowda M , Mayur Taware , Chetan Kumar , Yash Chandrashekhar Dixit , Rakshit Ramesh

Since flight delay hurts passengers, airlines, and airports, its prediction becomes crucial for the decision-making of all stakeholders in the aviation industry and thus has been attempted by various previous research. However, previous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Ke Liu , Kaijing Ding , Xi Cheng , Guanhao Xu , Xin Hu , Tong Liu , Siyuan Feng , Binze Cai , Jianan Chen , Hui Lin , Jilin Song , Chen Zhu

Public transport is one of the major forms of transportation in the world. This makes it vital to ensure that public transport is efficient. This research presents a novel real-time GPS bus transit data for over 500 routes of buses…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-10-22 Anubhav Jain , Avdesh Kumar , Saumya Balodi , Pravesh Biyani

Flight delays are a significant challenge in the aviation industry, causing major financial and operational disruptions. To improve passenger experience and reduce revenue loss, flight delay prediction models must be both precise and…

A major source of delays in public transportation is the clustering instability, which causes late buses to become progressively later while the buses trailing it become progressively earlier. In this paper, we study this instability and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-21 Sam A. Hill

Accurate forecasting of bus travel time and its uncertainty is critical to service quality and operation of transit systems; for example, it can help passengers make better decisions on departure time, route choice, and even transport mode…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-15 Xiaoxu Chen , Zhanhong Cheng , Jian Gang Jin , Martin Trepanier , Lijun Sun

We investigate the factors contributing to departure and arrival delays at a major international airport and develop predictive models to estimate both the likelihood and duration of delays. Using logistic regression, random forest, and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-01-06 Xavier Lemay , Fabian Bastin

Accurate and reliable travel time predictions in public transport networks are essential for delivering an attractive service that is able to compete with other modes of transport in urban areas. The traditional application of this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-15 Niklas Christoffer Petersen , Filipe Rodrigues , Francisco Camara Pereira

Quality of service (QoS) provisioning in next-generation mobile communications systems entails a deep understanding of the delay performance. The delay in wireless networks is strongly affected by the traffic arrival process and the service…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-04-23 Marios Kountouris , Nikolaos Pappas , Apostolos Avranas

Bus transit systems are the backbone of public transportation in the United States. An important indicator of the quality of service in such infrastructures is on-time performance at stops, with published transit schedules playing an…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-12-06 Sanchita Basak , Fangzhou Sun , Saptarshi Sengupta , Abhishek Dubey

Train delays can propagate rapidly throughout the Urban Rail Transit (URT) network under networked operation conditions, posing significant challenges to operational departments. Accurately predicting passenger travel choices under train…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-02 Chen Chen , Yuxin He , Hao Wang , Jingjing Chen , Qin Luo
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