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Estimation of parameters of a diffusion based on discrete time observations poses a difficult problem due to the lack of a closed form expression for the likelihood. From a Bayesian computational perspective it can be casted as a missing…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-30 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer

We introduce a location statistic for distributions on non-linear geometric spaces, the diffusion mean, serving as an extension and an alternative to the Fr\'echet mean. The diffusion mean arises as the generalization of Gaussian maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-06 Benjamin Eltzner , Pernille Hansen , Stephan F. Huckemann , Stefan Sommer

We study the analogue of Poisson ensembles of Markov loops ('loop soups') in the setting of one-dimensional diffusions. We give a detailed description of the corresponding intensity measure. The properties of this measure on loops lead us…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-11 Titus Lupu

Diffusion models have risen to prominence in time series forecasting, showcasing their robust capability to model complex data distributions. However, their effectiveness in deterministic predictions is often constrained by instability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Hao Yang , Zhanbo Feng , Feng Zhou , Robert C Qiu , Zenan Ling

This paper concerns the first passage times of Bessel processes to a point on the positive real line. We are interested in the case when the process starts at a position on its right and compute the densities of the distributions of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-17 Kohei Uchiyama

We consider the adaptive test for the parameter change in discretely observed ergodic diffusion processes based on the cusum test. Using two test statistics based on the two quasi-log likelihood functions of the diffusion parameter and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Yozo Tonaki , Yusuke Kaino , Masayuki Uchida

The general covariance of the diffusion equation is exploited in order to explore the curvature effects appearing on brownian motion over a d-dimensional curved manifold. We use the local frame defined by the so called Riemann normal…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-18 Pavel Castro-Villarreal

Von Renesse and the author (Ann. Prob. '09) developed a second order calculus on the Wasserstein space P([0,1]) of probability measures on the unit interval. The basic objects of interest had been Dirichlet form, semigroup and continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-20 Karl-Theodor Sturm

The aim of this paper is to study the law of the last passage time of a linear diffusion to a curved boundary. We start by giving a general expression for the density of such a random variable under some regularity assumptions. Following…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-26 Christophe Profeta

We study the asymptotic behavior of a self-interacting one-dimensional Brownian polymer first introduced by Durrett and Rogers [Probab. Theory Related Fields 92 (1992) 337--349]. The polymer describes a stochastic process with a drift which…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-11 Pierre Tarrès , Bálint Tóth , Benedek Valkó

We survey recent results of normal and anomalous diffusion of two types of random motions with long memory in ${\Bbb R}^d$ or ${\Bbb Z}^d$. The first class consists of random walks on ${\Bbb Z}^d$ in divergence-free random drift field,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-01 Bálint Tóth

Hydrodynamic projections, the projection onto conserved charges representing ballistic propagation of fluid waves, give exact transport results in many-body systems, such as the exact Drude weights. Focussing one one-dimensional systems, I…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-02-17 Benjamin Doyon

The simulation of exit times for diffusion processes is a challenging task since it concerns many applications in different fields like mathematical finance, neuroscience, reliability... The usual procedure is to use discretiza-tion schemes…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-14 Samuel Herrmann , C. Zucca

We reconsider the problem of diffusion of particles at constant speed and present a generalization of the Telegrapher process to higher dimensional stochastic media ($d>1$), where the particle can move along $2^d$ directions. We derive the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-31 S. Anantha Ramakrishna , N. Kumar

Diffusion with an incorporated resetting mechanism provides a reference framework for modeling a wide range of natural phenomena. Within this framework, the optimal resetting rate is a key quantity that arises from the optimization of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-12 Pedro Julián-Salgado , Pavel Castro-Villarreal , Leonardo Dagdug , Denis Boyer

The online increasing subsequence problem is a stochastic optimisation task with the objective to maximise the expected length of subsequence chosen from a random series by means of a nonanticipating decision strategy. We study the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-09 Alexander Gnedin , Amirlan Seksenbayev

We study a nonlinear, degenerate cross-diffusion model which involves two densities with two different drift velocities. A general framework is introduced based on its gradient flow structure in Wasserstein space to derive a notion of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-03-20 Inwon Kim , Alpár R. Mészáros

We study the Brownian motion of a particle in a bounded circular 2-dimensional domain, in search for a stationary target on the boundary of the domain. The process switches between two modes: one where it performs a two-dimensional…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-06-13 Abhinava Chatterjee , Christos Christou , Andreas Schadschneider

The random motion of a Brownian particle confined in some finite domain is considered. Quite generally, the relevant statistical properties involve infinite series, whose coefficients are related to the eigenvalues of the diffusion…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-04-26 Thomas Bickel

We consider a one-parameter family of Grushin-type singularities on surfaces, and discuss the possible diffusions that extend Brownian motion to the singularity. This gives a quick proof and clear intuition for the fact that heat can only…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-08 Ugo Boscain , Robert W. Neel