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Motivated by a bidimensional discrete-time risk model in insurance, we study the second-order asymptotics for two kinds of tail probabilities of the stochastic discounted value of aggregate net losses including two business lines. These are…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Bingzhen Geng , Yang Liu , Shijie Wang

Despite the successes of probabilistic models based on passing noise through neural networks, recent work has identified that such methods often fail to capture tail behavior accurately, unless the tails of the base distribution are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-16 Feynman Liang , Liam Hodgkinson , Michael W. Mahoney

Asymptotic theory of tail index estimation has been studied extensively in the frequentist literature on extreme values, but rarely in the Bayesian context. We investigate whether popular Bayesian kernel mixture models are able to support…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-19 Cheng Li , Lizhen Lin , David B. Dunson

Predicting future human motion is critical for intelligent robots to interact with humans in the real world, and human motion has the nature of multi-granularity. However, most of the existing work either implicitly modeled…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Xiaoli Liu , Jianqin Yin

In active Brownian motion, an internal propulsion mechanism interacts with translational and rotational thermal noise and other internal fluctuations to produce directed motion. We derive the distribution of its extreme fluctuations and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-05-04 Patrick Pietzonka , Kevin Kleinbeck , Udo Seifert

In this thesis, we study asymptotic properties of the standard branching Brownian motion, with a specific emphasis on the additive martingales at high temperature. We start by presenting classic and fundamental tools for our investigation.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-30 Louis Chataignier

Exact explicit results are derived for the distribution of the partial busy period of the M/M/c multi-server queue for a general number of servers. A rudimentary spectral method leads to a representation that is amenable to efficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Josef Zuk , David Kirszenblat

We introduce a simulation scheme for Brownian semistationary processes, which is based on discretizing the stochastic integral representation of the process in the time domain. We assume that the kernel function of the process is regularly…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-24 Mikkel Bennedsen , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

In the study of heavy tail data, several models have been introduced. If the interest is in the tail of the distribution, block maxima or excess over thresholds are the typical approaches, wasting relevant information in the bulk of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Luis E. Nieto-Barajas

Nonintersecting Brownian bridges on the unit circle form a determinantal stochastic process exhibiting random matrix statistics for large numbers of walkers. We investigate the effect of adding a drift term to walkers on the circle…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-25 Robert Buckingham , Karl Liechty

The problems considered in the present paper have their roots in two different cultures. The 'true' (or myopic) self-avoiding walk model (TSAW) was introduced in the physics literature by Amit, Parisi and Peliti. This is a nearest neighbor…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-20 Illes Horvath , Balint Toth , Balint Veto

We study dynamical tunneling in a near-integrable Hamiltonian with three degrees of freedom. The model Hamiltonian does not have any discrete symmetry. Despite this lack of symmetry we show that the mixing of near-degenerate quantum states…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-26 Srihari Keshavamurthy

Motivated by applications in queueing theory, we consider a stochastic control problem whose state space is the $d$-dimensional positive orthant. The controlled process $Z$ evolves as a reflected Brownian motion whose covariance matrix is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-09 Baris Ata , J. Michael Harrison , Nian Si

We present an analysis of the stationary distributions of run-and-tumble particles trapped in external potentials in terms of a thermophoretic potential, that emerges when trapped active motion is mapped to trapped passive Brownian motion…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-02-06 Francisco J. Sevilla , Alejandro V. Arzola , Enrique Puga Cital

Visual navigation is a core challenge in Embodied AI, requiring autonomous agents to translate high-dimensional sensory observations into continuous, long-horizon action trajectories. While generative policies based on diffusion models and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Wuyang Luan , Junhui Li , Weiguang Zhao , Wenjian Zhang , Tieru Wu , Rui Ma

Chi-square processes with trend appear naturally as limiting processes in various statistical models. In this paper we are concerned with the exact tail asymptotics of the supremum taken over (0; 1) of a class of locally stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-20 Peng Liu , Lanpeng Ji

In this paper we consider Bayesian parameter inference for partially observed fractional Brownian motion (fBM) models. The approach we follow is to time-discretize the hidden process and then to design Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

Computation · Statistics 2022-11-02 Mohamed Maama , Ajay Jasra , Hernando Ombao

We study quasi-stationary distributions and quasi-limiting behavior of Markov chains in general reducible state spaces with absorption. We propose a set of assumptions dealing with particular situations where the state space can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

We establish the validity of asymptotic limits for the general transportation problem between random i.i.d. points and their common distribution, with respect to the squared Euclidean distance cost, in any dimension larger than three.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-18 Martin Huesmann , Michael Goldman , Dario Trevisan

In this paper we find asymptotic distribution for some unreliable networks. Using Markov Additive Structure and Adan, Foley, McDonald method, we find the exact asymptotic for the stationary distribution. With the help of MA structure and…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-24 Pawel Lorek