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Time series forecasting has become a critical task due to its high practicality in real-world applications such as traffic, energy consumption, economics and finance, and disease analysis. Recent deep-learning-based approaches have shown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Youngin Cho , Daejin Kim , Dongmin Kim , Mohammad Azam Khan , Jaegul Choo

Well-known for its simplicity and effectiveness in classification, AdaBoost, however, suffers from overfitting when class-conditional distributions have significant overlap. Moreover, it is very sensitive to noise that appears in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-22 Zhi Xiao , Zhe Luo , Bo Zhong , Xin Dang

High-dimensional regression often suffers from heavy-tailed noise and outliers, which can severely undermine the reliability of least-squares based methods. To improve robustness, we adopt a non-smooth Wilcoxon score based rank objective…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-29 Meixia Lin , Meijiao Shi , Yunhai Xiao , Qian Zhang

Robust optimization (RO) is a common approach to tractably obtain safeguarding solutions for optimization problems with uncertain constraints. In this paper, we study a statistical framework to integrate data into RO, based on learning a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-03 L. Jeff Hong , Zhiyuan Huang , Henry Lam

Many single-target regression problems require estimates of uncertainty along with the point predictions. Probabilistic regression algorithms are well-suited for these tasks. However, the options are much more limited when the prediction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-08 Michael O'Malley , Adam M. Sykulski , Rick Lumpkin , Alejandro Schuler

In machine learning ensemble methods have demonstrated high accuracy for the variety of problems in different areas. Two notable ensemble methods widely used in practice are gradient boosting and random forests. In this paper we present…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-24 Alex Rogozhnikov , Tatiana Likhomanenko

Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost) faces significant challenges posed by label noise, especially in multiclass classification tasks. Existing methods either lack mechanisms to handle label noise effectively or suffer from high computational costs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-18 Qin Xie , Qinghua Zhang , Shuyin Xia , Xinran Zhou , Guoyin Wang

Deep Neural Networks are well known for efficiently fitting training data, yet experiencing poor generalization capabilities whenever some kind of bias dominates over the actual task labels, resulting in models learning "shortcuts". In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-12 Pietro Morerio , Ruggero Ragonesi , Vittorio Murino

In the era of huge astronomical surveys, machine learning offers promising solutions for the efficient estimation of galaxy properties. The traditional, `supervised' paradigm for the application of machine learning involves training a model…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2022-12-21 A. Humphrey , P. A. C. Cunha , A. Paulino-Afonso , S. Amarantidis , R. Carvajal , J. M. Gomes , I. Matute , P. Papaderos

Overfitting is a well-known issue extending even to state-of-the-art (SOTA) Machine Learning (ML) models, resulting in reduced generalization, and a significant train-test performance gap. Mitigation measures include a combination of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Shreyas Gururaj , Lars Grüne , Wojciech Samek , Sebastian Lapuschkin , Leander Weber

Optimization, a key tool in machine learning and statistics, relies on regularization to reduce overfitting. Traditional regularization methods control a norm of the solution to ensure its smoothness. Recently, topological methods have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-11 Arnur Nigmetov , Aditi S. Krishnapriyan , Nicole Sanderson , Dmitriy Morozov

Under data distributions which may be heavy-tailed, many stochastic gradient-based learning algorithms are driven by feedback queried at points with almost no performance guarantees on their own. Here we explore a modified "anytime…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-01 Matthew J. Holland

Targeted data selection has emerged as a crucial paradigm for efficient instruction tuning, aiming to identify a small yet influential subset of training examples for a specific target task. In practice, influence is often measured through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Guanghui Min , Tianhao Huang , Ke Wan , Chen Chen

Gradient clipping is a commonly used technique to stabilize the training process of neural networks. A growing body of studies has shown that gradient clipping is a promising technique for dealing with the heavy-tailed behavior that emerged…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-26 Shaojie Li , Yong Liu

This paper examines a novel gradient boosting framework for regression. We regularize gradient boosted trees by introducing subsampling and employ a modified shrinkage algorithm so that at every boosting stage the estimate is given by an…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-16 Yichen Zhou , Giles Hooker

Application of deep neural networks to medical imaging tasks has in some sense become commonplace. Still, a "thorn in the side" of the deep learning movement is the argument that deep networks are prone to overfitting and are thus unable to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-12 Anthony Sicilia , Xingchen Zhao , Anastasia Sosnovskikh , Seong Jae Hwang

Latent Gaussian models and boosting are widely used techniques in statistics and machine learning. Tree-boosting shows excellent prediction accuracy on many data sets, but potential drawbacks are that it assumes conditional independence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-24 Fabio Sigrist

Class imbalance classification is a challenging research problem in data mining and machine learning, as most of the real-life datasets are often imbalanced in nature. Existing learning algorithms maximise the classification accuracy by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-05 Farshid Rayhan , Sajid Ahmed , Asif Mahbub , Md. Rafsan Jani , Swakkhar Shatabda , Dewan Md. Farid

It is already reported in the literature that the performance of a machine learning algorithm is greatly impacted by performing proper Hyper-Parameter optimization. One of the ways to perform Hyper-Parameter optimization is by manual search…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Sayan Putatunda , Kiran Rama

This paper introduces the RUMBoost model, a novel discrete choice modelling approach that combines the interpretability and behavioural robustness of Random Utility Models (RUMs) with the generalisation and predictive ability of deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Nicolas Salvadé , Tim Hillel