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Gradient-boosted decision trees are among the strongest off-the-shelf predictors for tabular regression, but point predictions alone do not quantify uncertainty. Conformal prediction provides distribution-free marginal coverage, yet split…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-27 Vagner Santos , Victor Coscrato , Luben Cabezas , Rafael Izbicki , Thiago Ramos

Natural gradient has been recently introduced to the field of boosting to enable the generic probabilistic predication capability. Natural gradient boosting shows promising performance improvements on small datasets due to better training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-06 Liliang Ren , Gen Sun , Jiaman Wu

Most real-world classification problems deal with imbalanced datasets, posing a challenge for Artificial Intelligence (AI), i.e., machine learning algorithms, because the minority class, which is of extreme interest, often proves difficult…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-28 Gissel Velarde , Michael Weichert , Anuj Deshmunkh , Sanjay Deshmane , Anindya Sudhir , Khushboo Sharma , Vaibhav Joshi

As an adaptive, interpretable, robust, and accurate meta-algorithm for arbitrary differentiable loss functions, gradient tree boosting is one of the most popular machine learning techniques, though the computational expensiveness severely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-21 Daniel Chao Zhou , Zhongming Jin , Tong Zhang

Tree boosting is a highly effective and widely used machine learning method. In this paper, we describe a scalable end-to-end tree boosting system called XGBoost, which is used widely by data scientists to achieve state-of-the-art results…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-14 Tianqi Chen , Carlos Guestrin

Traditional gradient boosting algorithms employ static tree structures with fixed splitting criteria that remain unchanged throughout training, limiting their ability to adapt to evolving gradient distributions and problem-specific…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Boris Kriuk

Many machine learning models require a training procedure based on running stochastic gradient descent. A key element for the efficiency of those algorithms is the choice of the learning rate schedule. While finding good learning rates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-26 Victor Picheny , Vincent Dutordoir , Artem Artemev , Nicolas Durrande

Deep learning requires regularization mechanisms to reduce overfitting and improve generalization. We address this problem by a new regularization method based on distributional robust optimization. The key idea is to modify the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-08 Aurora Cobo Aguilera , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez , Fernando Pérez-Cruz , Pablo Martínez Olmos

This work studies algorithms for learning from aggregate responses. We focus on the construction of aggregation sets (called bags in the literature) for event-level loss functions. We prove for linear regression and generalized linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-08 Adel Javanmard , Matthew Fahrbach , Vahab Mirrokni

Meta-learning methods typically follow a two-loop framework, where each loop potentially suffers from notorious overfitting, hindering rapid adaptation and generalization to new tasks. Existing schemes solve it by enhancing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-16 Ren Wang , Haoliang Sun , Qi Wei , Xiushan Nie , Yuling Ma , Yilong Yin

The calibration and training of a neural network is a complex and time-consuming procedure that requires significant computational resources to achieve satisfactory results. Key obstacles are a large number of hyperparameters to select and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-07 Raffaele Giuseppe Cestari , Gabriele Maroni , Loris Cannelli , Dario Piga , Simone Formentin

Tree-boosting is a widely used machine learning technique for tabular data. However, its out-of-sample accuracy is critically dependent on multiple hyperparameters. In this article, we empirically compare several popular methods for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Floris Jan Koster , Fabio Sigrist

XGBoost, a scalable tree boosting algorithm, has proven effective for many prediction tasks of practical interest, especially using tabular datasets. Hyperparameter tuning can further improve the predictive performance, but unlike neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-16 Sanyam Kapoor , Valerio Perrone

It is known that Boosting can be interpreted as a gradient descent technique to minimize an underlying loss function. Specifically, the underlying loss being minimized by the traditional AdaBoost is the exponential loss, which is proved to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-06-26 Kaidong Wang , Yao Wang , Qian Zhao , Deyu Meng , Zongben Xu

Random Forests are powerful ensemble learning algorithms widely used in various machine learning tasks. However, they have a tendency to overfit noisy or irrelevant features, which can result in decreased generalization performance.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Bastian Pfeifer

Online minimization of an unknown convex function over the interval $[0,1]$ is considered under first-order stochastic bandit feedback, which returns a random realization of the gradient of the function at each query point. Without knowing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-21 Sattar Vakili , Sudeep Salgia , Qing Zhao

ProBoost, a new boosting algorithm for probabilistic classifiers, is proposed in this work. This algorithm uses the epistemic uncertainty of each training sample to determine the most challenging/uncertain ones; the relevance of these…

Overfitting & underfitting and stable training are an important challenges in machine learning. Current approaches for these issues are mixup, SamplePairing and BC learning. In our work, we state the hypothesis that mixing many images…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Maciej A. Czyzewski

We study an approach to learning pruning masks by optimizing the expected loss of stochastic pruning masks, i.e., masks which zero out each weight independently with some weight-specific probability. We analyze the training dynamics of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-25 Soufiane Hayou , Bobby He , Gintare Karolina Dziugaite

In this paper we introduce a significant improvement to the popular tree-based Stochastic Gradient Boosting algorithm using a wavelet decomposition of the trees. This approach is based on harmonic analysis and approximation theoretical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-06 Shai Dekel , Oren Elisha , Ohad Morgan
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