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With negative growth in real production in many countries and debt levels which become an increasing burden on developed societies, the calls for a change in economic policy and even the monetary system become louder and increasingly…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-08 Andreas Hula

We analyze the problem of optimal reduction of the debt-to-GDP ratio in a stochastic control setting. The debt-to-GDP dynamics are modeled through a stochastic differential equation in which fiscal policy simultaneously affects both debt…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-18 Claudia Ceci , Luca Semerari

Market power behaviour often occurs in modern wholesale electricity markets. Mixed Complementarity Problems (MCPs) have been typically used for computational modelling of market power when it is characterised by an oligopoly with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-13 Mel T. Devine , Sauleh Siddiqui

An important issue within the present economic crisis is understanding the dynamics of the public debt of a given country, and how the behavior of average consumers and tax payers in that country affects it. Starting from a model of the…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-28 Roberto De Luca , Marco Di Mauro , Angelo Falzarano , Adele Naddeo

Monetary integration has both costs and benefits. Europeans have a strong aversion to exchange rate instability. From this perspective, the EMS has shown its limits and full monetary union involving a single currency appears to be a…

General Economics · Economics 2018-07-23 Chris Kirrane

We consider a dual model of decision making, in which an individual forms its opinion based on contrasting mechanisms of imitation and rational calculation. The decision making model (DMM) implements imitating behavior by means of a network…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-06-22 Malgorzata Turalska , Bruce J. West

Currency crises are frequently discussed retrospectively as a necessary and deterministic outcome of a finite sequence of fiscal decisions, monetary manoeuvres, and limited exogenous inputs. Parallelly, the Twin Deficits Hypothesis (TDH)…

General Economics · Economics 2025-10-09 Shaunak Kulkarni , Rohan Ajay Dubey

We solve an infinite time-horizon bounded-variation stochastic control problem with regime switching between $N$ states. This is motivated by the problem of a government that wants to control the country's debt-to-GDP (gross domestic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Giorgio Ferrari , Neofytos Rodosthenous

Public debt is one of the important economic variables that quantitatively describes a nation's economy. Because bankruptcy is a risk faced even by institutions as large as governments (e.g. Iceland), national debt should be strictly…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-06-04 Alexander M. Petersen , Boris Podobnik , Davor Horvatic , H. Eugene Stanley

In economic studies and popular media, interest rates are routinely cited as a major factor behind commodity price fluctuations. At the same time, the transmission channels are far from transparent, leading to long-running debates on the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-09-18 Christophe Gouel , Qingyin Ma , John Stachurski

During the last two years, Europe has been facing a debt crisis, and Greece has been at its center. In response to the crisis, drastic actions have been taken, including the halving of Greek debt. Policy makers acted because interest rates…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-10-01 Marco Lagi , Yaneer Bar-Yam

This paper describes a discrete-time model of regularly-issued sovereign debt dynamics under a deficit-driven nominal debt growth regime that explicitly accounts for granular maturity. New issuance follows fixed allocations across a finite…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-24 Christopher Cameron

This paper aims at solving FX market volatility modeling problem and finding the most becoming approach to this task. Validity of two competing approaches, classical econometric generalized conditional heteroscedasticity and mathematical…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-30 Anton Koshelev

We study the effects on economic activity of a pure temporary change in government debt and the relationship between the debt multiplier and the level of debt in an overlapping generations framework. The debt multiplier is positive but…

General Economics · Economics 2022-12-05 Alice Albonico , Guido Ascari , Alessandro Gobbi

Growth of monetary assets and debts is commonly described by the formula of compound interest which for the case of continuous compounding is the exponential growth law. Its differential form is dc/dt = i c where dc/dt describes the rate of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-01 Günter von Kiedrowski , Eörs Szathmáry

The analogies between economics and classical mechanics can be extended from constrained optimization to constrained dynamics by formalizing economic (constraint) forces and economic power in analogy to physical (constraint) forces in…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-06-28 Oliver Richters

The real monetary economy is grounded upon monetary flow equilibration or the activity of actualizing monetary flow continuity at each economic agent except for the central bank. Every update of monetary flow continuity at each agent…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Koichiro Matsuno

All economies require physical resource consumption to grow and maintain their structure. The modern economy is additionally characterized by private debt. The Human and Resources with MONEY (HARMONEY) economic growth model links these…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-06-07 Carey W. King

The nature of monetary arrangements is often discussed without any reference to its detailed construction. We present a graph representation that allows for a clear understanding of modern monetary systems. First, we show that systems based…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-01 Cyril Pitrou

The instability of the financial system as experienced in recent years and in previous periods is often linked to credit defaults, i.e., to the failure of obligors to make promised payments. Given the large number of credit contracts, this…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-17 Thilo A. Schmitt , Desislava Chetalova , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr