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In machine learning ensembles predictions from multiple models are aggregated. Despite widespread use and strong performance of ensembles in applied problems little is known about the mathematical properties of aggregating models and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Jeremy Kedziora

Updating machine learning models with new information usually improves their predictive performance, yet, in many applications, it is also desirable to avoid changing the model predictions too much. This property is called stability. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Morten Blørstad , Berent Å. S. Lunde , Nello Blaser

In the context of large samples, a small number of individuals might spoil basic statistical indicators like the mean. It is difficult to detect automatically these atypical individuals, and an alternative strategy is using robust…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-04 Antoine Godichon-Baggioni , Wei Lu

Uncertainty estimation for unlabeled data is crucial to active learning. With a deep neural network employed as the backbone model, the data selection process is highly challenging due to the potential over-confidence of the model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Xingjian Li , Pengkun Yang , Yangcheng Gu , Xueying Zhan , Tianyang Wang , Min Xu , Chengzhong Xu

We propose a novel iterative algorithm for estimating a deterministic but unknown parameter vector in the presence of model uncertainties. This iterative algorithm is based on a system model where an overall noise term describes both, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-27 Oliver Lang , Michael Lunglmayr , Mario Huemer

Most machine learning techniques are based upon statistical learning theory, often simplified for the sake of computing speed. This paper is focused on the uncertainty aspect of mathematical modeling in machine learning. Regression analysis…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Valentin Arkov

The same machine learning model running on different edge devices may produce highly-divergent outputs on a nearly-identical input. Possible reasons for the divergence include differences in the device sensors, the device's signal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-20 Eyal Cidon , Evgenya Pergament , Zain Asgar , Asaf Cidon , Sachin Katti

Modern machine learning methods including deep learning have achieved great success in predictive accuracy for supervised learning tasks, but may still fall short in giving useful estimates of their predictive {\em uncertainty}. Quantifying…

Research on bias in machine learning algorithms has generally been concerned with the impact of bias on predictive accuracy. We believe that there are other factors that should also play a role in the evaluation of bias. One such factor is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Peter D. Turney

We analyse the geometric instability of embeddings produced by graph neural networks (GNNs). Existing methods are only applicable for small graphs and lack context in the graph domain. We propose a simple, efficient and graph-native Graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-29 Emily Morris , Haotian Shen , Weiling Du , Muhammad Hamza Sajjad , Borun Shi

Deep learning, due to its unprecedented success in tasks such as image classification, has emerged as a new tool in image reconstruction with potential to change the field. In this paper we demonstrate a crucial phenomenon: deep learning…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-05-13 Vegard Antun , Francesco Renna , Clarice Poon , Ben Adcock , Anders C. Hansen

Autoregressive models capture stochastic processes in which past realizations determine the generative distribution of new data; they arise naturally in a variety of industrial, biomedical, and financial settings. A key challenge when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-30 Daren Wang , Yi Yu , Alessandro Rinaldo , Rebecca Willett

Previous work has established that neural network-based node embeddings return different outcomes when trained with identical parameters on the same dataset, just from using different training seeds. Yet, it has not been thoroughly analyzed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Tobias Schumacher , Simon Reichelt , Markus Strohmaier

As large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed in high-stakes and operational settings, evaluation strategies based solely on aggregate accuracy are often insucient to characterize system reliability. This study proposes a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Hikmat Karimov , Rahid Zahid Alekberli

We introduce a statistical physics inspired supervised machine learning algorithm for classification and regression problems. The method is based on the invariances or stability of predicted results when known data is represented as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-19 Patrick Chao , Tahereh Mazaheri , Bo Sun , Nicholas B. Weingartner , Zohar Nussinov

Safety goes first. Meeting and maintaining industry safety standards for robustness of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) models require continuous monitoring for faults and performance drops. Deep learning models are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-03 Aria Khademi , Michael Hopka , Devesh Upadhyay

Many supervised learning problems involve high-dimensional data such as images, text, or graphs. In order to make efficient use of data, it is often useful to leverage certain geometric priors in the problem at hand, such as invariance to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-08 Alberto Bietti , Luca Venturi , Joan Bruna

This paper concerns models and convergence principles for dealing with stochasticity in a wide range of algorithms arising in nonlinear analysis and optimization in Hilbert spaces. It proposes a flexible geometric framework within which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Patrick L. Combettes , Javier I. Madariaga

Hyperparameters play a critical role in machine learning. Hyperparameter tuning can make the difference between state-of-the-art and poor prediction performance for any algorithm, but it is particularly challenging for structure learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-21 Damian Machlanski , Spyridon Samothrakis , Paul Clarke

We propose to use deep learning to estimate parameters in statistical models when standard likelihood estimation methods are computationally infeasible. We show how to estimate parameters from max-stable processes, where inference is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-02 Amanda Lenzi , Julie Bessac , Johann Rudi , Michael L. Stein