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In this article, we present a discrete time modeling framework, in which the shape and dynamics of a Limit Order Book (LOB) arise endogenously from an equilibrium between multiple market participants (agents). We use the proposed modeling…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-10 Roman Gayduk , Sergey Nadtochiy

We are looking for the agent-based treatment of the financial markets considering necessity to build bridges between microscopic, agent based, and macroscopic, phenomenological modeling. The acknowledgment that agent-based modeling…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-01 V. Gontis , A. Kononovicius

Events in an online social network can be categorized roughly into endogenous events, where users just respond to the actions of their neighbors within the network, or exogenous events, where users take actions due to drives external to the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-08-20 Mehrdad Farajtabar , Nan Du , Manuel Gomez Rodriguez , Isabel Valera , Hongyuan Zha , Le Song

High-frequency market making is a liquidity-providing trading strategy that simultaneously generates many bids and asks for a security at ultra-low latency while maintaining a relatively neutral position. The strategy makes a profit from…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-10-01 Pankaj Kumar

We present an agent behavior based microscopic model that induces jumps, spikes and high volatility phases in the price process of a traded asset. We transfer dynamics of thermally activated jumps of an unexcited/ excited two state system…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-01 Christof Henkel

Dynamic jumps in the price and volatility of an asset are modelled using a joint Hawkes process in conjunction with a bivariate jump diffusion. A state space representation is used to link observed returns, plus nonparametric measures of…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-10 Worapree Maneesoonthorn , Catherine S. Forbes , Gael M. Martin

The profitability of various investment styles in investment funds depends on macroeconomic conditions. Market ecology, which views financial markets as ecosystems of diverse, interacting and evolving trading strategies, has shown that…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-10-26 Aymeric Vie , Maarten Scholl , Alissa M. Kleinnijenhuis , J. Doyne Farmer

We consider models of financial markets in which all parties involved find incentives to participate. Strategies are evaluated directly by their virtual wealths. By tuning the price sensitivity and market impact, a phase diagram with…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 C. H. Yeung , K. Y. Michael Wong , Y. -C. Zhang

Trade executions for major stocks come in bursts of activity, which can be partly attributed to the presence of self- and mutual excitations endogenous to the system. In this paper, we study transaction reports for five FTSE 100 stocks. We…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-07-29 Isobel Seabrook , Paolo Barucca , Fabio Caccioli

We focus on the influence of external sources of information upon financial markets. In particular, we develop a stochastic agent-based market model characterized by a certain herding behavior as well as allowing traders to be influenced by…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-28 Adrián Carro , Raúl Toral , Maxi San Miguel

We propose a general non-linear order book model that is built from the individual behaviours of the agents. Our framework encompasses Markovian and Hawkes based models. Under mild assumptions, we prove original results on the ergodicity…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-14 Othmane Mounjid , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Pamela Saliba

We study the behavior of simple models for financial markets with widely spread frequency either in the trading activity of agents or in the occurrence of basic events. The generic picture of a phase transition between information efficient…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Matteo Marsili , Maurizio Piai

We consider a mean-variance portfolio selection problem in a financial market with contagion risk. The risky assets follow a jump-diffusion model, in which jumps are driven by a multivariate Hawkes process with mutual-excitation effect. The…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-19 Yang Shen , Bin Zou

In the over-the-counter market in derivatives, we sometimes see large numbers of traders taking the same position and risk. When there is this kind of concentration in the market, the position impacts the pricings of all other derivatives…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-05 Jun Maeda , Saul D. Jacka

A class of heterogeneous agent models is investigated where investors switch trading position whenever their motivation to do so exceeds some critical threshold. These motivations can be psychological in nature or reflect behaviour…

Computational Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 R. Cross , M. Grinfeld , H. Lamba , T. Seaman

One approach to the analysis of stochastic fluctuations in market prices is to model characteristics of investor behaviour and the complex interactions between market participants, with the aim of extracting consequences in the aggregate.…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Erhan Bayraktar , Ulrich Horst , Ronnie Sircar

The purpose of this paper is to advance the understanding of the conditions that give rise to flash crash contagion, particularly with respect to overlapping asset portfolio crowding. To this end, we designed, implemented, and assessed a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-01 James Paulin , Anisoara Calinescu , Michael Wooldridge

In this paper we present an interacting-agent model of stock markets. We describe a stock market through an Ising-like model in order to formulate the tendency of traders getting to be influenced by the other traders' investment attitudes…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-11 Taisei Kaizoji

A characteristic feature of complex systems in general is a tight coupling between their constituent parts. In complex socio-economic systems this kind of behavior leads to self-organization, which may be both desirable (e.g. social…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-29 Aleksejus Kononovicius , Vygintas Gontis

We build an agent-based model to study how the interplay between low- and high-frequency trading affects asset price dynamics. Our main goal is to investigate whether high-frequency trading exacerbates market volatility and generates flash…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-11 Sandrine Jacob Leal , Mauro Napoletano , Andrea Roventini , Giorgio Fagiolo