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We develop a robust convex algorithm to select the regularization parameter in model selection. In practice this would be automated in order to save practitioners time from having to tune it manually. In particular, we implement and test…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-12-03 Dustin Tran

This paper studies the application of the generalized method of moments (GMM) to multi-reference alignment (MRA): the problem of estimating a signal from its circularly-translated and noisy copies. We begin by proving that the GMM estimator…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-06 Asaf Abas , Tamir Bendory , Nir Sharon

We give a simple, generic conformal prediction method for sequential prediction that achieves target empirical coverage guarantees against adversarially chosen data. It is computationally lightweight -- comparable to split conformal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-03 Osbert Bastani , Varun Gupta , Christopher Jung , Georgy Noarov , Ramya Ramalingam , Aaron Roth

In model development, model calibration and validation play complementary roles toward learning reliable models. In this article, we expand the Bayesian Validation Metric framework to a general calibration and validation framework by…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-04 Tony Tohme , Kevin Vanslette , Kamal Youcef-Toumi

We consider a class of semi-parametric dynamic models with strong white noise errors. This class of processes includes the standard Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model, the nonfundamental structural VAR, the mixed causal-noncausal models, as…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-16 Christian Gourieroux , Joann Jasiak

The decision to incorporate cross-validation into validation processes of mathematical models raises an immediate question - how should one partition the data into calibration and validation sets? We answer this question systematically: we…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-08-31 Rebecca Morrison , Corey Bryant , Gabriel Terejanu , Kenji Miki , Serge Prudhomme

Data visualizations typically show retrospective views of an existing dataset with little or no focus on repeatability. However, consumers of these tools often use insights gleaned from retrospective visualizations as the basis for…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2019-11-13 David Gotz , Brandon A. Price , Annie T. Chen

This paper provides a review of model selection and model averaging methods for multinomial probit models estimated using the MACML approach. The proposed approaches are partitioned into test based methods (mostly derived from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-04 Manuel Batram , Dietmar Bauer

Variational inference is an alternative estimation technique for Bayesian models. Recent work shows that variational methods provide consistent estimation via efficient, deterministic algorithms. Other tools, such as model selection using…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-01 Mark J. Meyer , Selina Carter , Elizabeth J. Malloy

Instrumental variables analysis using genetic markers as instruments is now a widely used technique in epidemiology and biostatistics. As single markers tend to explain only a small proportion of phenotypic variation, there is increasing…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-09 Paul S. Clarke , Tom M. Palmer , Frank Windmeijer

The integrated conditional moment (ICM) test is a classical and widely used method for assessing the adequacy of regression models. Although it performs well in fixed-dimension settings, its behavior changes dramatically when the predictor…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-17 Yue Hu , Haiqi Li , Xintao Xia

We employ random matrix theory to establish consistency of generalized cross validation (GCV) for estimating prediction risks of sketched ridge regression ensembles, enabling efficient and consistent tuning of regularization and sketching…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-21 Pratik Patil , Daniel LeJeune

We investigate leave-one-out cross validation (CV) as a determinator of the weight of the penalty term in the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). First, on the basis of the message passing algorithm and a perturbative…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-06-22 Tomoyuki Obuchi , Yoshiyuki Kabashima

Structural equation models (SEMs) are commonly used to study the structural relationship between observed variables and latent constructs. Recently, Bayesian fitting procedures for SEMs have received more attention thanks to their potential…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-12 Khue-Dung Dang , Luca Maestrini , Francis K. C. Hui

Model-based testing (MBT) provides an automated approach for finding discrepancies between software models and their implementation. If we want to incorporate MBT into the fast and iterative software development process that is Continuous…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-05-02 P. H. M. van Spaendonck

Support Vector Machines (SVMs) are popular tools for data mining tasks such as classification, regression, and density estimation. However, original SVM (C-SVM) only considers local information of data points on or over the margin.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2010-09-28 Xin Liu , Ying Ding , Forrest Sheng Bao

The cluster variation method (CVM) is an approximation technique which generalizes the mean field approximation and has been widely applied in the last decades, mainly for finding accurate phase diagrams of Ising-like lattice models. Here…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2015-06-25 Alessandro Pelizzola

Curriculum learning techniques are a viable solution for improving the accuracy of automatic models, by replacing the traditional random training with an easy-to-hard strategy. However, the standard curriculum methodology does not…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-09-23 Petru Soviany

The configuration model is a standard tool for uniformly generating random graphs with a specified degree sequence, and is often used as a null model to evaluate how much of an observed network's structure can be explained by its degree…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-05-31 Upasana Dutta , Bailey K. Fosdick , Aaron Clauset

Tuning parameter selection is of critical importance for kernel ridge regression. To this date, data driven tuning method for divide-and-conquer kernel ridge regression (d-KRR) has been lacking in the literature, which limits the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-20 Ganggang Xu , Zuofeng Shang , Guang Cheng
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